NFLX在持续下行的均线下方仍具风险；若下探至约64以扫清止损盘，可能标志着筑底的开始。
逐段跳播
在同样的背景下，我看到一个关于这只股票的问题，也是我自己想问的。Netflix 受到了相当严厉的对待，亲爱的 Brian。看周线图，我面前就是周线图，因为我觉得它更清楚一些，我想拉远来看 2021 年的高点，大约在 70 美元那个水平。
2024 年在那 70 美元水平有过一次突破，而现在它勉强守在这一区域下方。你看，短线交易者的部分想法是：好，我们在下方盘整，这里有一个向下突破。如果它真的跌破，你会看到一次下跌，还是说除非它在这里守住一阵子，否则就一文不值？
In that same context, I saw a question about this stock, something I wanted to ask along those lines myself. Uh, Netflix has been dealt with quite harshly, my dear Brian. And looking at the weekly chart, I have the weekly chart in front of me because I find it a bit clearer, as I want to be able to zoom out to see the 2021 high, somewhere around that 70-dollar level.
There was a breakout in 2024 at that 70-dollar level, and it is now barely holding its ground below this area. Look, part of the short-term trader is saying: "Okay, we are consolidating underneath.
There is a downward breakout here." If it were to break through, would you see a dip, or is it worthless unless it holds its ground here a bit?
我认为我们已经或多或少测试了这个关键水平，那就是我们看 2022 年低点并朝那里去，做我们刚才对 Moderna 做的同样的事，也就是斐波那契，但规模要大得多。61.8% 的回撤差不多正好落在这个水平。
而且那也是，我们从 2022 年低点设锚点，然后转移到这里，那是一个此前被测试过、价格从那里反弹的水平。所以你可能会回到这个区域，而更好的是对这个低点略微下破，以扫掉下方的止损。
那些一路买上来、把止损放在下方的人，止损还挂在那里。他们很可能会被扫掉股票。所以，对这个大约 64 的水平略微下破，然后我认为你可以开始看到它真正启动筑底过程。但它仍然有点危险。
它位于下行的 20 日、50 日和 200 日均线下方。所以我希望看到它先测试这个 7 月低点，然后再做出更大的转向。
I think we have already more or less tested this key level, and that is when we look at the 2022 low and head there and do the same thing we just did with Moderna , namely a Fibonacci, but on a much larger scale.
The 61.8% retracement comes out pretty much at this level here, you know . And that is also, you know, we have the anchor from the 2022 low and then the transfer here, and that was a level that was tested previously and from which the price rebounded.
So you might return to this zone, and what would be even better is a slight underbid of this low to take the stops lying below it. You know, people who bought all the way up here and placed their stopper underneath still have that stopper standing there.
They will probably be stripped of their shares . So, you know, a slight underbidding of that level around 64 and then I think you can start to see that it, you know, is really starting its bottoming process.
But it is still a bit dangerous. It lies below the declining 20-, 50-, and 200-day moving averages. So I would like to see it test this July low before it makes its bigger turn.
这个频道对 $NFLX 的历次判断
Brian Shannon 在这只股票上共 3 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。