由于独立价格走势风险以及财报后混乱的技术面,说话者拒绝交易NKE。
逐段跳播
Nike 今天被打得很惨。
Nike is getting crushed today.
天哪,Nike,你能相信它就是不争气吗?就像他们在 CNBC 上刚说的,下跌 8%,简直是一直被碾压。我一位写交易形态的好朋友在 Nike 上做了一笔非常漂亮的期权交易,风险是 37 美分,而它大概能赚到 2 美元左右。
想象一下,冒 37 美分的风险去赚 200 美元,或者用 370 美元去赚 2000 多美元。那会挺好的。
Oh man, Nike, can you believe it is not doing it? As they just said on CNBC, down 8% literally just continues to get crushed. Uh, one of my good friends who writes about trade setups put on an amazing options trade in Nike where you risk 37 cents and it's probably going to make around $2.
Imagine risking 37 cents to make $200 or $370 to make more 2,000. That would be that would be nice.
但真是疯狂,从风光到落魄,对吧?Nike。人们说它现在仍然被高估,但它之前有一个类似 Lululemon 的形态。
but it's crazy what a fall from grace, right? Nike. And people say it's still overvalued here, but it had like a Lululemonlike setup.
我今天不打算交易 Nike。我不打算交易 Nike。
I am not going to trade Nike today. I am not going to trade Nike.
今日关注个股是 Nike,在公布喜忧参半的第一季度财务业绩后,周五盘前交易中暴跌超过 10.2%,2%。
Stocks in focus for today are Nike plunged over 10.2% 2% in pre-market trading on Friday after reporting mixed first quarter financial results.
Nike 需要 Nelson Peltz 100。
Nike needs Nelson Peltz 100.
我拒绝购买 Nike 的产品。但这并不意味着,如果我能从他们的股票上赚钱,我就不去赚。我们这里是什么情况?是的,这东西已经被痛打很久了。所以,我们就来看一看,是不是快接近一个重要位置了。
我看到我在这里画了这条线。这大约是 3340。所以,我们基本上就在这个位置附近。而这大概可以追溯到,哦,是的。看那个。这可以追溯到很久以前,对吧?
I refuse to buy Nike products. But that doesn't mean I wouldn't make money off off their stock if I could. Um, so what do we got going on here? Yeah, this thing has been like getting pummeled for a long time.
So, let's just take a look to see if we're getting close to an important level. I see I got this line here drawn out. This is about 3340. So, we're pretty much kind of like right there.
And that probably goes back to Oh, yeah. Look at that. This goes back a long time, right?
Nike 显然因财报下跌 8%。
Nike obviously down 8% on earnings.
如果我们是在说 Nike,你知道,Nike 嗖地一下之类的,对吧?
if we were talking about Nike um you know, Nike whooshed or something like that, right?
这就对了,Nancy。Nike 是稳赢的。不过没错,这正是我在找的。Nike 是稳赢的,好样的。
There you go, Nancy. Nike is a shoein. But yeah, that that's what I'm looking for. Nike is a shoe in good one.
Nike 刚刚,我是说,我要这么说。那我们就趁准备开盘的时候聊一下 Nike。从交易员的角度看,你进入这一天,有很多事情在发生,你今天想赚钱。Nike 的危险就在这里。Nike 的危险就在这里。它会处在自己的世界里。
Nike just uh I mean I I will say this. So let's talk about Nike for a second as we get ready for the open. Um from a trader perspective, you're coming into the day and there's a lot of things going on and and you want to make money today.
Here's the danger of Nike. Here's the danger of Nike. It is going to be um in its own world.
那我们趁准备开盘的时候聊一下 Nike。从交易者的角度看,你进入这一天,有很多事情在发生,而你想今天赚到钱。这就是 Nike 的危险之处。这就是 Nike 的危险之处。它会处于它自己的世界里。
So let's talk about Nike for a second as we get ready for the open. Um from a trader perspective, you're coming into the day and there's a lot of things going on and and you want to make money today.
Here's the danger of Nike. Here's the danger of Nike. It is going to be it is going to be um in its own world.
任何一只股票在财报后、财报次日都会处在自己的世界里。对吧?所以如果我们知道 Nike 处在自己的世界里,而我们有一个正在飞涨的市场,我们不想——这就是今天交易 Nike 的风险。
如果你试图买回调,也许它会涨到转正。有很多人做空。它可能会涨。我可能还是会交易它。但你可能遇到这样一天:市场涨了 2%。人们真的在谈论市场这一天有多棒,而你整天坐在那里交易 Nike,它却走低了。
在交易中,没有什么比做多一只股票、它却在全市场上涨时下跌更难受的了。所以当你交易 Nike 时,如果你今天打算做多,你不仅是在冒错过这波上涨的风险,你还在冒这样的心理风险:在一片赢家中找到那个唯一的输家。
Any stock post earnings on the day after earnings is going to be in its own world. Right? So if we know that Nike is in its own world and we have a market that's flying up and we don't want this is the risk of trading Nike today.
If you try to buy a dip and maybe it rallies to positive. There's a lot of people short. It could rally. I still might trade it. But you could have a day where the market's up 2%.
People are literally talking about what a great day it was in the market and you sat there all day trading Nike, which went lower. And there's nothing that feels worse in trading than being long a stock and having it go down while the whole market is going up.
So when you trade Nike, if you are going to look to be longer today, not only are you risking just not participating in the rally, you are also risking the psychology of finding the one loser in a sea of winners.
你知道,Nike 有很多空头。也许它会在收盘或开盘时被打下去。它跌到 31,然后强势拉升到 34,那就是那波操作。
You know, lots of shorts in Nike. Maybe it gets hit on the close on the open. it comes down to 31 and then makes a power move up to 34 and that was the play.
顺便说一句,Nike 的新计划叫 Pace。所以,他们也在玩谐音梗。我只是想让你知道。
by the way, Nike's new plan is called Pace. So, they're doing the pun thing, too. I just want you to know.
暂无中文转述,仅英文原句可核对。
Um, Nike 32, Q752.
我是说,开盘我们要盯的东西里有 Nike,因为它有意思。但像 Nike,我其实不太想盯,不过我会把它放进我今天的扫描器里。
I mean, things we're going to watch on the open are Nike because it's interesting. Um, but like Nike I don't really want to watch, but I'll put it in my scanner for the day.
看看。Nike 报一下。Nike 在干什么?3240。我不打算参与它。我不打算参与它。
Let's see. Nike check in. What's Nike doing? 3240. I'm not going to get involved with it. I'm not going to get involved with it.
我一手拿着 Nike,没动。3250。要说的话,我觉得第一波走势会是向下。我想在那里做点什么吗?我有点想。哦,我是不是刚错过了?我的天。我刚错过了。我的天。我说过我不想做多 Nike,但我会做空它。
我的天。你看到那波走势了吗?我的天。我买错了数量。什么都抓不到。看看。来了。Nike 这些期权我完全错过了。
I got Nike in one hand, not moving. 3250. If anything, I think the first move would be down. Do I want to do anything there? I kind of do. Oh, did I just miss it? Oh my god. I just missed it.
Oh my god. I said I didn't want to buy Nike long, but I will buy it short. Oh my god. Did you see that move? Oh my god. I bought the wrong amount. Let's Can't get anything. Let's see.
Here goes. Nike totally missed it these options.
Nike 很有意思。你怎么看 Nike?你对 Nike 是什么看法?好。所以,这会是今天的大新闻。顺便说一句,我告诉过所有人不要交易 Nike。这是这个市场里你唯一不想交易的一只股票,而我在 Nike 上亏了 700 美元。
Nike is interesting. What do you think about Nike? What what what's your take on Nike? All right. So, it's gonna be a big story of the day. Um, by the way, I told everyone not to trade Nike.
This is the one stock you don't want to trade in this market, and I'm down $700 in Nike. Um,
财报。财报。但它处在 52 周低点。被大量做空的股票。而且看看它今天怎么走还挺有意思的。今天这个故事有意思。比如我已经有这种感觉了,它会成为那种来回假动作、整天原地不动的东西。
而如果你是像我一样买期权权利金的,我试过买它,我错过了那些看跌期权,错过了,等我拿到的时候,它们立刻就跌下来了。所以,
Earnings. Earnings. But they're they're at a 52- week low. Um, heavily shorted stock. And just kind of interesting to see how it plays out for the day. The story is interesting for the day.
Like I'm getting the feel already that it's going to be one of those things that just makes head fakes back and forth and goes nowhere all day. And if you're buying options premium like I did, like I I tried to buy it, I missed the puts, missed them, and by the time I got them, they literally came down right away. So,
是的,你知道,我在这种财报后的情况里的想法是,我首先要看的是,我有没有跌破盘前低点?凌晨 5 点给了我们盘前低点,那根 5 点的 K 线。到目前为止,我们守住了那个盘前低点。如果我进入我的开盘 K 线形态,我们回到那一分钟。
我们会盯着它看,对吧?我进入我的一分钟 K 线。我看那个盘前。为什么我那里有 3197?我以为那个数字——哦,不对。我明白我做了什么了。好。所以我做的是,我没有用盘前低点,而是说,好吧,我们从财报事件开始在哪里筑了底?
我就用那个作为我的低点。然后它在这里开盘。我去看一分钟。现在看看那一分钟低点在哪里。它就在中间,但随后它跌破,触及那个台阶,现在它试图向上走。但问题是它基本上仍然在那根一分钟 K 线内部。
所以这是不交易。你不想在那里交易。而且这是动能。我觉得这完全就是你说的。它会来回抽打,到处乱走。现在,如果你与此相反,你说,嘿,我不信你,女士。它在上涨是因为它有一个逼空行动事件。
它会走。这里的这个突破给你,好,我做多。假设你买一个看涨期权,零日到期看涨期权。而我是说,我嘛,我会卖一个看跌期权,但那只是因为我是个期权卖方惯犯。所以,你可以在这里的突破进场。
第一个目标位会在 3370,下一个会沿着盘前事件里发生的那些噪音往上走。所以你的止损会是那根一分钟 K 线的实体,开盘实体,也就是 3264。这样你有 90 美分的止损。但如果你盯着这波走势看,你会看到它会进入下一个台阶,就是这里它所在的 334,然后就会变得超级混乱。
这是我最受不了交易的那种图表。原因是它处在盘后区间和隔夜事件价值区之内。所以交易员们说的是,嘿,我们中间夹着这一大堆。我们在这里试图向下突破它。我们在这里似乎又突破不上去。所以这是无人区。
而我最讨厌的最后一件事,我最讨厌做的事就是照看任何一笔交易。它把我逼疯。我的耐心受不了。我要么看着某个东西说,好,它要跌破了。我们撤。如果它停下来又恢复,我就出。但如果它坐在这个大口袋里,不了,谢谢。
yeah, you know, my my thought in in something like this post earnings, the the first thing I'm going to look at is, have I broken my pre-market low? And 5:00 a.m. gave us the pre-market low, the the 5 a.m. candlestick.
And so far, we're holding that pre-market low. If I come in to my opening candle formation, let's go back to that one minute. We'll stare it down, right? I come into my one minute candlestick.
I look at that pre-market. Uh why do I have 3197 there? I thought that that number Oh, no. I see what I did. Okay. So, what I did was instead of the pre-market low, I said, "All right, where did we build a base from the earnings event?
I'm going to use that as my low." And then here it opens up. I'll go to the one minute. Now take a look at where that one minute low is. It's right in the middle, but then it breaks down, hits that ledge, and now it's trying to move up.
But the problem is it's essentially still inside of that one minute candle. So it's no no trade. You don't want to trade there. And it it's the momentum. I think it's exactly what you said.
It's going to whip back and forth, move all the way around. Now, if you are contrary to that and you go, hey, I don't believe you, lady. It's moving up because it's got a squeeze action event.
It's going to go. This break right here gives you, all right, I'm taking it long. Let's say you buy a call, zero DT call. Um, and I mean me, I would sell a a put, but that's just because I'm a serial option seller.
And so, you could take the break right here. The first spot would be at 3370 and the next one is going to walk up the noise that happened in that pre-market event. So your stop would be the body, the open body of the one minute candle, which is 3264.
So you got 90 cents of a stop. But if you're staring down this motion, you're going to see it's going to go into the next shelf, which is right here where it's sitting 334 and then it's just going to be super messy.
This is the kind of chart I can't stand to trade. And the reason being is it's sitting inside of the postmarket range and the value event for what happened in the overnight. So what the traders have said is, hey, we got all this slash in between.
Uh we try to break below it right down here. We can't seem to break above it right up here. So it's no man's land. And the last thing that I hate, the thing I hate doing most is babysitting any kind of trade.
It drives me insane. My patients cannot take it. I either look at something and go, "Okay, it's going to break down. Let's move out. If it stops and it recovers, I'm out." But if it's sitting inside of this big pocket, no thanks.
然后再加上,我得告诉你,我觉得 Nike——我在直播里提过这个。我觉得 Nike 已经麻木不仁十几年了,你知道现在怎么样,突然之间他们要去,哦对,让我们来修好事情,而那要花上一阵子,因为现在竞争太多了。
Nike,当 Nike 登场的时候,真的,他们字面意义上就是城里唯一的玩家,而现在情况根本不是这样了,根本不是这样了,所以如果你想交易它,它正在打开上行压力,问题是上行压力到什么位置
And then plus I have to tell you I think Nike I've mentioned this on the stream. I think Nike's been tonedeaf for a dozen years and you know what now all of a sudden they're going to go oh yes let's fix things and and that's going to take a hot minute because there's so much competition now.
Nike when Nike came aboard there's really they were the only game in town literally and now that that's just not the case that it's just not the case so if you want to trade it it is opening up upside pressure the question is upside pressure to what
这个频道对 $NKE 的历次判断
Benzinga 在这只股票上共 4 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。