$NKE

说话者做多 NKE,并在下跌中加仓,将极度悲观情绪与分析师的一致看空视为逆向信号,支撑其困境反转的判断。

看涨他说的是几个月内
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Verified Investing发布 2026-10-02 · 9 段内容
00:59/ —打开原视频

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9 段内容
0:5918:15

Nike。哦,那是Nike。抱歉。

Nike. Oh, that's Nike. I apologize.

我们接下来会讲Nike,可惜它跌得更多了。

We'll get to Nike, which unfortunately is going down even more.

如果像Nike这样的股票在盘前出现大量成交,我会利用这一点。

Now, if there's heavy volume in the pre-market on something like a a Nike, I will use that.

各位,重头戏是Nike。看一下。你们刚才已经看到了一些,Nike盈利超预期,但营收不及预期,而且指引也不及预期。他们下调了指引。所以,你可以看到,每股收益实际是48美分,预期是44美分。

所以,从表面数字看,他们超了4美分。这其实相当不错。但当你掀开那辆车的引擎盖看里面时,情况就不那么好了。营收不及预期,112.1亿对预期113.2亿。而关键——这对每只股票来说始终是关键——是指引怎么样,因为盈利和营收都是上一季度已经发生的事。

指引怎么样?指引方面,他们从之前预期的1.69美元下调到了1.15到1.35美元。所以,他们下调指引的幅度相当大。

The big one, folks, is Nike. Take a look. You guys saw this a little earlier, but Nike beating on earnings, but missing on revenue and missing on their guidance. They lowered guidance.

So, you can see right there, EPS actual was 48 cents versus expected to be 44. So, they beat by 4 cents on a headline basis. That is actually pretty good. But when you look under the hood of that car, things don't look so good.

Revenue missing 11.21 billion versus 11.32 billion expected. And the key in and this is always the key for every stock is what's the guidance because the earnings and revenue are what happened last quarter.

What's the guidance? And guidance they lowered to 1.15 to 1.35 from a buck 69 that had been expected. So, they lowered guidance pretty hefty.

信不信由你,我做多Nike,而且我继续看好它。事实上,随着它昨天盘后下跌,我已经加仓了,从它已经被打得稀烂这个角度来看。而且我认为,你面对的是极度的负面情绪。你知道,我是个很大的逆向投资者。

如果你看看社交媒体上或者甚至分析师们说的话,他们都讨厌它。而当他们都讨厌它的时候,我就开始吸筹。这不是那种短期的、今天买入明天就赚30%走人的东西。这更像是一种关于困境反转的思路,我确实认为他们会想明白。

其中一部分是他们在美国的营收实际上是超预期的。所以,这很好。中国营收疲软,我们也知道中国经济疲软。如果中国开始好转,我猜Nike也会好转。

Now, believe it or not, I I am long Nike and I continue to like it. In fact, I've added to it as it dipped in yesterday's after hours from the aspect of it's already been beaten up to a pulp.

And I think again, you have max negativity. And you know, I'm a big contrarian. If you look at what's being said on social media or even by analysts, they all hate it. And when they all hate it, I start to accumulate.

Now, this isn't a short-term, you know, buy it today and be out of it for 30% tomorrow type thing. It's more of a thought process of a turnaround that I do think they will figure out.

Now, part of it is their revenue in the US actually beat. So, that's good. China revenue was weak and we know the Chinese economy is weak as well. If China starts to turn around, my guess is Nike turns around

好,让我们回到图表。Nike,我们就在这里。Nike再次跌到低至31.35美元。它在这里反弹得相当不错,但仍比昨天收盘下跌约8%。

All right, let's go back to the charts here. Nike, here we are right here. Nike again dropping as low as $31.35. It has bounced back pretty nicely here, but still down about 8% from yesterday's close.

我们在财报发布前看的是Nike的10分钟图。Nike一整天都在往上磨,磨,磨。然后突然之间,看这里的图表,对吧?这是Nike进入下午3点时段时的位置。这是图表。所以再说一次,Nike昨天开盘,一路磨高,然后3点到了,看看发生了什么。

看看这个。对吧?所以基本上它在当天最后一个小时崩了,跌了超过1美元,也就是超过3%,成交量巨大,就在财报发布之前。

And we were looking at Nike on the 10-minute chart going into earnings. And Nike all day long had been grinding up, grinding, grinding up. And then all of a sudden, and look at the chart here, right?

So this is where Nike was going into the 300 p.m. time frame. Here's the chart. So again, Nike opened yesterday, was grinding higher, and then 3:00 comes, look at what happens.

Look at this. Right? So basically it collapsed in the final hour of the day over a dollar which is over 3% on massive volume going into the earnings release.

关键在于,非常明显,在Nike上,有人提前得到了消息,非常明显。

the point is is very clearly on Nike, someone got the news ahead of time, very obviously.

如果我们调出Nike的图表,有没有一个价位?我们得往回拉很远。基本上,我们现在正交易到这些价位。看看这个,各位。这是个挺有意思的小区域。我们基本上到了32,这个区域。所以,确实有技术支撑。

我想说清楚,有可能跌到低至28到29,但这些会是你的下一批支撑位。32,也就是我们现在所在的位置。所以,确实有技术支撑。你可以在图表上大致看出来。我知道当我回到2013年、再回到2012年时很难看清。

但这就是你的两个价位,32美元支撑和28美元支撑。

If we bring up the chart on Nike, is there a level? Well, we got to go really far back here. Um, and basically, we're trading now into levels here. Take a look at this, guys. This is kind of an interesting little zone.

We're basically into 32, this area here. So, there is technical support. I do want to be clear, there is a chance it could go as low as 28 to 29, but these would be your next supports. 32, which is where we are right now.

So, there is technical support. You can kind of see it on the chart. I know it's so hard to see when I go back to 2013 and then 2012 here. But these are your two levels, $32 support and $28 support.

观察点

中国区营收复苏
如果中国区开始好转
未知财报
支撑看多逻辑;若中国区持续疲软则削弱该逻辑

这个频道对 $NKE 的历次判断

Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 5 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-10-02看涨本条
Nike。哦,那是Nike。抱歉。
2026-10-01
比如Nike,对吧?Nike基本上处于多年低点,处于52周低点。它的表现一直非常糟糕。所以,在季末你会看到的是“窗口粉饰”式的抛售,机构资金管理者如果持有Nike,就会在季末抛掉Nike,因为他们不想向客户展示自己曾持有它。
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