Nike 因多重理由值得买入：pinch-punch 指标处于买入区，此前曾带来约一个季度的上涨；专业投资者在吸筹；长期看空的顾问接近低点；按市销率和市盈率衡量是道指中估值最具吸引力的股票之一；以及从 10 月底到 3 月有 77% 的季节性上涨；周期并非完美（2023 年失败）。
逐段跳播
现在说说Nike。这只股票真的让我很感兴趣。他是俄勒冈大学的毕业生，对吧？和Phil Knight是校友。哦，哇。这只股票此前经历了大幅下跌。我是个跑者，我穿Nike的鞋跑步。
我不太喜欢买很多Nike的鞋，因为它一直是一家那么前卫的公司。觉醒派公司。但我也是个交易者。所以，看看这只股票现在处在什么位置。
Now, here's Nike. This one really intrigued me. A University of Oregon graduate, right? Went to school with Phil Knight. Oh, wow. The stock had been in a big decline. I I'm a runner.
I run in Nike shoes. I don't like to buy a lot of them because they've been such a way out there company. Woke company, but I'm a trader, too. So, look at where we are in this stock.
首先，我的pinch punch指标已经进入了这里的vice区域。上一次是在这边，再上一次是在这边，之后都出现了不错的涨势，持续了一个季度。如果我们看市场的吸筹情况，我们在这里看到了专业人士的良好吸筹。
我们在这边也看到过，但当时我们也不在完美的买入区域。我们在这里看到了。在这边，我们看到了大量专业买盘，而且当时我们有pinch punch指标，就像这边一样。看，现在形态是混杂的。
First of all, my pinch punch indicator is entered the vice area that was here. The last time was over here, and the last time over here, nice rallies for a quarter of a year. If we look at the accumulation of the market, we've seen a good accumulation by professionals here.
We saw it back here, but we weren't in the perfect buy area either. We saw it here. Back here, we saw a lot of professional buying and we had the pinch punch indicator as we did back here. See patterns mixed right now.
我真的很喜欢这个顾问情绪指标。之前这里的顾问全都非常看多，大约95%都看多，而那正是市场开始下跌的时候。我真的很喜欢在大下跌趋势中，每当顾问们对市场变得非常看多时就卖出。你看，当他们变得非常看多时，市场就会下跌。
在大熊市中，当他们变得非常看空时，这个指标就没那么有效了，但当他们长时间保持看空时，我认为我们正接近Nike的一个低点。
I really like this advisory sentiment. All the advice were really bullish back here about 95% of them and that was when the market started to come down. I love really love in big downtrend to sell every time that the advisors get very bullish on the market.
You see when they get very bullish on the market, the markets come down. It's not quite as effective in a big down market when they get very bearish, but when they stay bearish for a long time, I think we're getting close to a low in Nike.
所以，它现在也是道指中最好的价值股之一。如果我看市销率、市盈率。所以，它正在形成很好的布局，用我们的指标来看这一点真的很有帮助。
So, it's one of the best value stocks in the Dow now as well. If I look at price sales ratio, PE ratio. So, it's getting set up a lot and it's really helpful to see that with our indicators.
问题是，我们现在处在周期的什么位置？这就是周期。多亏了timing solutions，在Nike上，从10月底到3月，这只股票有77%的时间是上涨的。所以，哇。看起来我们又有了一个这样的情形在形成。
Question is, where are we in the cycle? And here's the cycle. Thanks to timing solutions in Nike. 77% of the time from the end of October into March, the stock has rallied. So, wow.
Looks like we have another of these situations set up.
我们买Nike，不是仅仅因为它一直处在下跌趋势中，不是仅仅因为它是道指中最弱的股票之一，也不是因为没别人想买它。买这只股票有一系列理由的组合，我认为这才是成功股票投资的关键。
Uh, we're not buying Nike just because it's been in a downtrend. not buying it just because it's the one of the weakest stocks in the Dow or because nobody else wants to buy it.
There's a combination of reasons to buy the stock and I think that's really what makes for successful stock investing.
这是我们上一次在2023年看到的情况，Nike的那波走势最终并不太好，我们没能等到这只股票的上涨。这里是2020年，全都像bingo一样，正好，对。所以在这个市场里没有什么是完美的。
周期，人们以为周期是完美的，远非如此。它们只是一般的路线图，价格通常会跟随，如果条件为那个周期在市场中的上涨做好了准备，它们会最好地跟随。
Now this is the last time we saw in 2023 that wave in Nike uh wasn't so good eventually that we could get the rally in the stock. here was 2020 all like bingo right on right so nothing is perfect in this market cycles people think that cycles are perfect far from it there are general roadmap prices usually follow they follow the best if the conditions are set up for that cycle to rally in the marketplace