预计 NVDA 将在本季度突破区间并创下新高;上行趋势完好。
逐段跳播
我说过我们还有另一个话题。我们谈过“Net”和“Now”,现在我们要谈“Nvidia”。那么,让我们进入你从“三巨头”中选出的第三个。说实话,这是偶然发生的,但很有意思。今天,是的,我们谈的是“Nvidia”。
它无疑是市场上拥有大量追随者的名字,近期也表现出一定的相对强势。再一次,我认为这是一个在下个季度可能挑战交易区间上限的名字。因此,我相信Nvidia将维持这一上行周期,并可能在本季度突破区间,创下新的历史新高。
I said we had another topic. We talked about "Net" and " Now", and now we're talking about " Nvidia". So, let's move on to your third choice from the Big Three. Honestly, it happened by chance, but it's interesting.
Today, yes, we are talking about "Nvidia". It is certainly a name that commands a large following in the market, and has shown some relative strength recently. Once again, I think it's a name that could challenge the upper limit of the trading range during the next quarter.
Therefore, I believe that Nvidia will maintain this upward cycle, and is likely to break out of the range to record new record highs during this quarter.
好,Rick。那我们接着对Nvidia股票做技术分析。随着我们进入这个新季度,你是否也看到了再次突破的可能性?我们正在接近一个阻力区。我们距离那些旧的历史高点只有约2.7%。这里的这个区域,236.54,是该股达到过的最高水平。
但在该水平之下,我们尚未能突破这里的这个区域。一个接近232的旧峰值,加上一系列在231附近反复出现的峰值。所以,我们有这样一个阻力区,再加上这里逐渐降低的峰值。不过,我们的上升趋势仍然完好。
因此,过去几周我们看到的趋势与我们尚未成功突破的反复出现的阻力上限之间存在一些张力。这里的缺口已被填补。我们这里还有更低的水平,大约在213和207。在这里,我们的移动均线呈上行形态,较快的均线位于较慢的均线之上。
移动均线继续彼此发散。观察它是否出现开始收敛或改变斜率的迹象,作为可能改变方向的指标。我们深蓝色的5日指数移动均线略高于228,与我们的趋势线一致。因此,如果我们看到下行,接近224的21日水平是下一个潜在支撑点。
相对强弱指数(RSI)已开始突破这里向下倾斜的红色趋势线。因此,如果我们继续创出新的相对高点,并且价格成功突破那个阻力上限,这将是一个积极的发展。在这里,我们的成交量分布显示,我们在约218至225之间的这个区域有相对较大的成交量。
这是该股目前最突出的价格区域。所以,如果市场之王开始向那些新的历史高点回升,这确实是一个有趣的情况。是的,我们现在处于230.50水平。52周区间为230.654。所以,我们非常接近。
Okay, Rick. Let's move on to the technical analysis of Nvidia stock then. Do you also see the possibility of another breakthrough as we enter this new quarter? Well, we are approaching a resistance zone.
We are only about 2.7% away from those old record levels. This area here, 236.54, is the highest level the stock has reached . But, below that level, we have not yet been able to get past this area here.
An old peak near 232, plus a series of repeated peaks near 231. So, we have this kind of resistance zone, coupled with gradually decreasing peaks here. However, our upward trend remains intact.
Therefore, there is some tension between the trend we have seen over the past few weeks and the recurring resistance ceiling that we have not yet managed to break through. The gap has been bridged here.
We also had lower levels here around 213 and 207. Here, our moving averages are in an upward pattern, with the faster averages above the slower ones. The moving averages continue to diverge from each other.
Observe it for signs that it might start to converge or change its slope as indicators of a possible change in direction. Our 5-day exponential moving average in dark blue is just above 228, which is consistent with our trend line.
Therefore, if we see a downward move, the 21-day level near 224 is the next potential support point. The Relative Strength Index (RSI ) has started to break through the downward-sloping red trend line here.
Therefore, this would be a positive development if we continue to achieve new relative highs and if the price manages to break through that resistance ceiling . Here, our trading volume profile shows that we have relatively heavy trading volumes in this area between approximately 218 and 225.
That is the most prominent price area for this stock at the moment. So, it's certainly an interesting situation if the king of the market starts to move back towards those new record levels.
Yes, we are now at the 230.50 level. The 52- week range is 230.654. So, we are very close.
好,Dan,面对这样的技术形态,你会如何交易Nvidia股票?是的,看这个例子,这笔交易需要稍长一点时间。我想在这里给她一些时间,同时也把任何潜在的税务影响(如果有的话)推迟到明年1月。
这样,你就有整整一年的时间来研究和管理它。今天的交易示例是买入1月230看涨期权的价差,然后卖出250看涨期权,并卖出215看跌期权,以完全覆盖看涨价差的成本。它让你有机会在下个季度从当前水平参与上涨至250,同时在下行方向形成保护区域。
如果我们跌到215,而我认为Rick指出了213,我的意思是,我还看到了其下方的一个水平。如果我们看到一些疲软且无法突破那些峰值,并且价格跌破215,我认为从长期来看这也是一个不错的水平。
如果我们看到那种疲软,它会变得更有吸引力。再次,这在下行方向创造了一个买入该股的区域,同时也让你在下个季度利用当前价格区间上涨至250。
Okay Dan, with this technical setup, how will you trade Nvidia stock? Yes, this transaction takes a little longer when looking at this example. I wanted to give her some time here, and also postpone any potential tax implications, if any, until January of next year.
This way, you have a whole year to look into it and manage it. Today’s trade example is buying the spread of a January call option at 230, then selling the call option at 250 , and selling the put option at 215 to fully fund the cost of the call option spread.
It gives you the opportunity to participate from its current level up to 250 during the next quarter, and also creates a protection zone on the decline. If we get to 215, and I think Rick pointed to 213, I mean there's a level below that I saw too.
If we see some weakness and are unable to break through those peaks, and if the price falls below 215, I think that's a good level in the long run as well. It becomes more attractive if we see that weakness.
Again, this creates an area on the downside to enter the stock, and also allows you to take advantage of the current price range up to 250 during the next quarter.
好,我们将在11月17日迎来Nvidia的财报事件。我们还得再等一会儿,但它正在到来,而且它在该交易的范围之内。
Okay, we'll have an Nvidia earnings event on November 17th. We have to wait a little longer , but he is coming and he is within the scope of that deal.
观察点
这个频道对 $NVDA 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 19 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。