NVDA突破235且RSI高于60,预示进入新的看涨阶段;进一步上行可能性较大。
逐段跳播
现在,Nvidia 出现在了我的通知里。我设置了一个提醒,当 Nvidia 突破 235 这一水平时触发,因为那是 5 月份的价格高点。我们在 9 月初重新测试了那个高点,当时的问题是:突破这一水平能告诉我们关于新一轮看涨阶段的什么信息?
事实上,本周早些时候,具体来说是周五,我收到了一条提醒,说 Nvidia 已经突破了 235 这一水平。随后,价格在周一和周二继续上涨。
Now, Nvidia has appeared in my notifications. I set an alert for when Nvidia breaks the 235 level, because that was the price peak in May. We retested that peak in early September, and the question was: what does breaking this level tell us about a new bullish phase?
Indeed, earlier this week, specifically on Friday, I received an alert that Nvidia had broken the 235 level. Now, the price continued to rise on Monday and Tuesday.
顺便说一句,我认为 Nvidia 这张图表最重要的部分在这里,也就是相对强弱指数(RSI)。看这个指数此前一直是中性的,被限制在 40 到 60 的区间内。顺便说一句,这与标普 500 指数本身的相对强弱指数类似。
如果你看那张图,你会看到同样的情形。但就在过去两天里,该指数已经向上突破了 60 这一水平,把这种横盘动能转化为上行动能。相对强弱指数(RSI)已经升至接近 70 的水平。所以,和前两个标的一样,它们都在接近超买区域,但我要说,该指数突破 60 这一水平这一事实在这里确实令人鼓舞。
I think the most important thing about the Nvidia chart, by the way, is this part here, which is the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Look how the index was neutral, confined to a range between 40 and 60.
This is similar to the relative strength index of the S&P 500 itself, by the way. If you look at that graph, you will see the same thing. But in just the last two days, the index has pushed above the 60 level, upwards, to resolve that sideways momentum into upward momentum.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has pushed up to almost the 70 level. So, like the first two names, they are all approaching the overbought zone, but I would say the fact that the index has broken above the 60 level is really encouraging here.
那么,为什么这很重要?看这里,回到 2026 年初,这里是 2 月、3 月和 4 月,最后在这里,我们突破并创下 3 个月内的新高。最终,相对强弱指数突破了 60 这一水平。看这个指数在所有这些高点期间都未曾超过 60 这一水平,这印证了我们正处于横盘阶段。
看价格现在正在突破阻力位,把相对强弱指数推升到 60 以上。这表明进入了一个新的盘整阶段,并暗示后续可能还有更多上行空间。在 Nvidia 上,我们有点处于一个“你在这里”的时刻。
又一次,我们突破并创下 3 个月内的新高。又一次,相对强弱指数在先前未能突破之后终于突破了 60 这一水平。随着 Nvidia 形成这个新的盘整阶段,相对表现也在加速。所以,Nvidia 是第三个值得关注的图表。
Now, why is that important? Well, look back here to early 2026, here are February, March and April, and finally here, we break to reach a new record high in 3 months. Finally, the Relative Strength Index breaks above the 60 level.
Look how the index has not exceeded the 60 level during all these peaks, which confirms that we are in a sideways phase. Look how the price is now breaking the resistance level, pushing the Relative Strength Index above 60.
This indicates a new consolidation phase and suggests more upside is likely to come. We are kind of in an "you are here" moment with Nvidia. Once again, we break through to reach a new record high within 3 months.
Once again, the Relative Strength Index finally breaks the 60 level after failing to do so previously. Relative performance also accelerates as Nvidia creates this new assembly phase. So, Nvidia is the third chart to watch.
这个频道对 $NVDA 的历次判断
StockCharts TV 在这只股票上共 3 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。