预计NVDA将上涨至阻力区但失败,随后下跌,日线周期将在11月见底;横盘或负向周期可能延续至冬季,预计不会超越前期高点。
逐段跳播
Katie,你对 Nvidia 或 Intel 有什么问题吗?
Katie, do you have any questions about Nvidia or Intel?
你能看到 Nvidia。明白了。很好。如你所见,我们这里有两个正向周期。这一段走势非常中性,几乎收在开盘的位置。它突破了最高水平,形成一个正向周期,收在高于起点的位置,而这个周期也勉强突破了那个水平,现在这里的反转指标反映出动能。
you will be able to see Nvidia . Understood. excellent. Well, as you can see, we have two positive cycles here. This session was very neutral, and ended almost where it began. It broke through the highest level, forming a positive cycle that ended at a higher level than its beginning, and this cycle also barely broke through that level, and now we have momentum reflected with the reversal indicator here.
现在,在周线时间框架上,到目前为止还没有什么被明确破坏。基于这个负向动能,我们调整了预测线,但我们必须看日线图,才能获得更多关于正在发生什么的信息,是否有跌破,或者未来几周可以预期什么。
这个周线周期有一个完美的弹簧底。27日是理想日期。
Now, on the weekly timeframe, nothing has been clearly damaged so far. Based on this negative momentum, we have adjusted our forecast lines, but we will have to look at the daily chart for more information on what is happening, whether there is a breakdown, or what to expect in the coming weeks.
This weekly cycle has a perfect spring bottom. 27 is the ideal date.
如果我们看日线图,我在这里放大一下。如你所见,我们即将结束这个日线周期的时间窗口。这就是这两条蓝色虚线垂直线之间的时间间隔。我们可能昨天已经形成了这个底部,现在略微向上移动,但如你所见,这是一次大幅下跌,价格短期内跌破了78.6%斐波那契水平。
If we look at the daily chart, I'll zoom in here. As you can see, we are about to finish the timing window for this daily cycle. This is the time interval between these two blue dashed vertical lines.
We may have formed this bottom yesterday and are moving slightly upwards , but as you can see, this was a significant drop, with the price falling below the 78.6% Fibonacci level in the short term.
基于此,我们昨晚确定了这些阻力区,我们预计 Nvidia 会尝试上涨到这些区域,但预计会失败,然后重新转为下跌。这个周期预计将在11月达到最低点。
Based on that, we identified these resistance zones last night, and we expect Nvidia to attempt to rise to these zones, but is expected to fail to do so, and then return to decline .
This cycle is expected to reach its lowest point in November.
因此,我们可能会在这里看到几个周期,延续到冬季,届时 Nvidia 将面临重大困难。所以,我们预计它无法突破这个高点,未来一段时间我们可能会看到一些横盘或负向周期。
Therefore, we may see several cycles here, extending into the winter when Nvidia faces significant difficulties. Therefore, we expect it will not be able to surpass this high level, and we may see some sideways or negative cycles in the coming period.
换句话说,就是那些大公司。如果你看过上周的节目,我当时重点讲了最大的几家公司,Apple 和 Microsoft,而 Apple、Microsoft 和 Nvidia 合计占该指数的21.5%。
如果这些公司开始回调,我们就会看到更大幅度的下跌。
In other words, those large companies. If you watched the program last week, I featured the biggest companies, Apple and Microsoft, and Apple, Microsoft and Nvidia made up 21.5% of the index.
If these companies begin to correct, we will see a greater decline.