$NVDA

NVDA 似乎正朝下行方向发展:急跌后横盘整理,读作日线看跌形态,进一步下跌可能将价格推向 200 支撑位。此前的看涨通道情形最高只到 243,未达到 245 目标,并以失败告终。

看跌他说的是几周内
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Verified Investing发布 2026-10-23 · 5 段内容
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5 段内容

我们要讲的第一个交易是我设置的 Nvidia 买入期权,执行价为 245,到期日为 11 月 20 日。第一个是 Nvidia 和那个期权,我们当时看的执行价是 245。现在价格在 212 这一水平。对我来说,这正朝着与我们期望相反的方向走。

the first trade we'll cover is the Nvidia buy option that I've set at an execution price of 245, with an expiry date of November 20. Well, the first one was Nvidia and that option, and we were looking at an execution price of 245.

Now, we are at the 212 level. And for me , this is going in the opposite direction to what we wanted.

从当前的价格走势看,我看到了一波急剧下跌,现在正在经历横盘整理。在我看来,这像是日线级别的看跌形态。这是一个看跌信号。如果价格继续下跌,可能会让价格更接近 200 这一水平,也就是这里的支撑位。

Based on the current price movement, I see a sharp downward move and now we are witnessing a sideways consolidation. This looks to me like a daily bearish science pattern. This is a bearish reading.

If the price continues to fall, it could bring the price closer to the 200 level, i.e., to the support point here.

我们当时看的是这个平行的上升通道,它同时也带有下降趋势的特征,但价格在一定程度上从这个趋势的中线反弹。单看这个通道,它还有进一步上涨的空间。因此,基于这些技术分析,我们认为价格可能继续上涨并突破 240 这一水平。

我们到了 243,已经非常接近,但没有达到目标利润。

Now, what we were looking at was this parallel ascending channel , which is also characterized by a downward trend, but the price was somewhat bouncing off the middle line of this trend.

Based on this channel alone, it has room for further growth. Therefore, based on these technical analyses, we thought that the price could continue to rise and surpass the 240 level.

We reached 243, we got very close, but we did not reach the target profit.

既然我们已经到了 243,我把这里的图放大一下。它也正好落在这个平行通道的不连续部分上。因此,上下边界除了虚线中轨之外,也可以作为支撑和阻力。如你所见,这也是一条趋势线,它让价格出现了反弹。

然后我们这里还有一条长期白色趋势线。一条长线。它一直在 245 附近徘徊,最终阻止了价格进一步上涨。

Since we have reached 243, I will zoom in on the image here. It also lies directly on the discontinuous part of this parallel channel. Therefore, the upper and lower limits can be used as support and resistance, in addition to the dashed middle channel line .

This is also a trend line, as you can see, and it has caused the price to bounce back. Then we also had a long-term white trend line here. A long line. It was hovering around the 245 level, which ultimately prevented the price from rising further.

所以在这笔交易中,如果权利金亏损达到 50%,那就是我打算平仓的位置。就好像那是第一道关口,如果权利金亏损达到 50%,那将是我退出的第一个信号。或者甚至看这里的这个平行通道:如果我们跌破这里的支撑并且下跌得到确认,我们也许能保住一些本金;那样我们只会亏损 20% 到 30%。

但我们决定在那里终止这笔交易,而根据我这里的解读,Nvidia 的股价似乎正在向下走。

So, in this deal, if we reach a 50% reduction in the premium, that's where I'm looking to close the deal. As if that was the first level, if we reach a 50% decrease in the premium, that would be my first signal to exit.

Or even looking at this parallel channel here: if we break the support here and the decline is confirmed, we might be able to save some capital; Where we will only be losing 20 to 30%.

But we decided to terminate the deal there, and based on my reading here, Nvidia's stock appears to be heading downwards.

这个频道对 $NVDA 的历次判断

Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 19 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

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