继续前请同意我们的使用条款、隐私说明及 YouTube 服务条款。

$NVDA

$NVDA · Meet Kevin · 2026-10-27

AI 摘要 · Meet Kevin

NVDA 是看多持仓并持续买入:在 218 美元、23.37 倍市盈率和 34.43% 的四年平均增长下,PEG 为 0.675,而合理值为 2.4,意味着公允价值 775 美元,按当前 PEG 计算 NVDA 价值为 AMD 的一半。预计在即将到来的超级计算机周期中的某个时点,227 的价格将被越过,价值翻倍约在 1080,超过 10 万亿也并非不合理;现在仍为时过早,说话者也可能判断错误。

看涨他说的是几年内
《holy sh*t JENSEN!!!》
Meet Kevin发布 2026-10-27 · 12 段内容
00:00/ —打开原视频

逐段跳播

12 段内容
0:0023:37

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang 已经公开说出了此前被认为是秘密的内容。在这段视频里,我们将回顾几个不同的片段,Jensen 在其中坦率地告诉我们,现在与过去相比有什么不同。

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has publicly stated what was considered a secret . In this video, we will review several different segments in which Jensen tells us frankly about what is different now than it was before.

过去六个月我们一直这么乐观的原因之一,无论是 QS 指数在 700 时逢低买入,还是对 AMD、Nvidia,甚至 SpaceX 或 Tesla 这样的公司感到兴奋,不是吗?这些都是我们当时看好并买入的东西。

one of the reasons we've been so optimistic over the past six months, whether it's buying the dip at 700 on the QS index, or getting excited about companies like AMD, Nvidia, or even SpaceX or Tesla, is n't it?

These are all things we were excited about and bought.

然后是 AMD,然后是 Nvidia,对吧?这些是建设者。所以,这些是芯片制造商。

Then you have AMD, then you have Nvidia, right? These are the builders. So, these are the chip manufacturers.

年初时人们预测 Nvidia 的盈利会沿着这条灰线走,你可以看到 2026 年盈利是 2.53 美元。而目前已经达到 3.83 美元的水平。

where people were predicting at the beginning of the year that Nvidia's earnings would follow this gray line, and you can see the 2026 earnings at $2.53. It is currently at a level of $3.83.

这些 AI 股票已经变得非常便宜,我们正稳定在 700 这个点位附近,就在我鼠标光标所在的位置。你是这个意思吗?看,看看这张图。我们在 700 这个水平上反弹过多少次?一次又一次,一次又一次。

如果我们和伊朗达成协议,我认为我们再也见不到 700 这个水平了。但即使撇开伊朗协议不谈,我也非常兴奋,因为现在是布局股票的好时机。

these AI stocks have gotten very cheap and we're settling around the 700 mark, right where my mouse cursor is. Do you mean that? Look, just look at the graph. How many times have we bounced off the 700 level?

Over and over and over again . If we get a deal with Iran, I do n't think we'll ever see the 700 level again . But even apart from the Iran deal , I'm very excited because now is a great time to get exposed to stocks.

但让我们先聚焦 Jensen。回到这份订单记录的话题。我特别想谈谈 Vera Rubin 的未来愿景,因为 Vera Rubin 正在转向极高的需求。听听 Jensen 对此怎么说。

我举个例子。我们现在做一个思想实验。如果你必须递给某人一张 1000 亿美元的支票,现在就为下一代产品下单。好。如果你想预订“Vera Rubin Ultra”的位置,现在就是申请的时候。

哇。甚至还没见到它。好。没错。但他们有信心。那么,假设你必须把 1000 亿美元投给某个人。好。首先,你怎么知道它会好?没错。但因为是 Nvidia 做的,你就知道它会比 Vera Rubin 更好,对吧?

而 Vera Rubin 很出色,不是吗?大家信任 Vera Rubin 的原因,是 Grace Blackwell 非常出色。好。因此,他正在为 Nvidia 的推广打下基础,靠的是他们的声誉如何把他们带到这里。

But let's focus on Jensen for a moment. Let's get back to the topic of this order log. And I specifically want to move to Vera Rubin’s future vision, because Vera Rubin is turning to ultra demands.

And listen to what Jensen has to say about it. Let me give you an example. Let 's conduct a thought experiment now. If you had to hand someone a check for $100 billion to place an order now for a future generation.

Okay . If you want to reserve your spot for "Vera Rubin Ultra", now is the time to apply. wow. Without even seeing him. Okay . correct. But they have confidence. So, let's say you have to invest $100 billion in someone.

Okay. First, how do you know it will be good? correct. But because Nvidia makes it, you know it will be better than Vera Rubin, right? And Vera Rubin is wonderful, is n't she? The reason everyone trusted Vera Rubin was that Grace Blackwell was brilliant.

Okay . Thus, he is building the foundation for Nvidia's promotion around how their reputation led them to this .

我们来评估一下 Nvidia。这是我在这里想做的最后一件事。

Let's evaluate Nvidia. This is the last thing I wanted to do here.

那么,我们拿 Nvidia 来说。Nvidia。我们要做的是,我来画一下,因为有时候这些数字是怎么来的并不完全清楚。我喜欢用市盈率相对增长倍数。你现在应该已经知道了。我认为一家公司不应该只按市盈率来估值,因为这样做你就忽略了公司的增长前景。

比较增长预测能帮我们看清,等等,这家公司和另一家公司相比如何?

So, let's take Nvidia. Nvidia. What we will do is I will draw this because sometimes it is not entirely clear how these numbers appear. I like to use price-to-earnings growth multiples .

You should know this by now. I don't think a company should be valued solely on the price-to-earnings ratio, because by doing so you are ignoring the company's growth prospects.

Comparing growth projections helps us to see, wait, how does this company compare to another company?

或者像 Nvidia 或 AMD 这样的公司每年增长 55%。Nvidia 可能每年增长 30% 多一点。这都取决于数据。我们来看一下。好。对 Nvidia,我有增长预测……27 年是 69.51%,然后是 34.82%,然后是 18.32%,然后是 15.13%,除以 4,我得到 34.4%。

增长:好吧,我们就说四年增长是 34.43%。好,我们保持简单清楚。这只股票目前交易在 218 美元。我认为这是一笔划算的交易。我也持有 Nvidia,并且我继续加仓。1 月 27 日的市盈率是 23.37,

Or a company like Nvidia or AMD will grow by 55% annually. Nvidia may grow by 30 and a fraction percent annually. It all depends on the data. Let's take a look at this. Good. For Nvidia, I have growth projections for... 27 at 69.51%, then 34.82%, then 18.32%, then 15.13%, divided by 4, I have 34.4%.

Growth: Well, we'll say growth is 34.43% over four years . Okay, let's keep this simple and clear. The stock is currently trading at $218. I think this is a winning deal. I also have exposure to Nvidia and I continue to buy more of them.

The price- to-earnings ratio for January 27 is 23.37,

现在,我们可以算出所谓的“PEG”比率。我们要做的就是用市盈率除以增长率。所以,23.27 除以 34.43。这给我们 Nvidia 的 0.675,而坦率地说,它应该在 2.4 左右。

Now, we can extract what is called the "PEG" ratio. All we will do is divide the price-to-earnings ratio by the growth rate. So, 23.27 divided by 34.43. This gives us 0.675 for Nvidia, and frankly it should be around 2.4.

所以 Nvidia 目前的估值只有 AMD 的一半。从估值角度看这太疯狂了。好。两者很可能都应该在 2.4 的比率。按 PEG 比率 2.4 除以 0.675,Nvidia 的价值很可能是……

我们看看,算一下。我在这里换个颜色。775 美元。因此,按照合理评估,Nvidia 的价值可能高达 775 美元。在即将到来的超级计算周期的某个时点,我认为 227 这个价格对 Nvidia 来说将成为过去。

我知道这听起来很疯狂,因为它会成为一家市值超过 10 万亿美元的公司。但考虑到这一转变,这并非不合理,而这一转变在过去六个月里已经开始积聚强劲势头。我真的相信这只是开始。我同意它仍处于早期阶段。我可能错了。

So Nvidia is worth half the price of AMD at the moment. This is crazy in terms of rating. Good. Both should most likely be at a ratio of 2.4. At a PEG ratio of 2.4 divided by 0.675, the Nvidia value is likely to be... let's see, let's calculate that.

I will choose a different color here. $775. Therefore, Nvidia could be worth as much as $ 775 according to a fair assessment . At some point in the upcoming supercomputer cycle, I think the 227 price will be a thing of the past for Nvidia.

I know this sounds crazy because it will become a company worth over 10 trillion. But it is not unreasonable given this shift, which has begun to gain strong momentum in the past six months .

I truly believe it's just the beginning. I agree that it is still in its early stages. I may be wrong.

好。这里,这意味着 Nvidia 或 AMD 的价值翻倍。所以,不需要做计算,那会让我们达到大约 1080。我们把它写下来。大约 1080。所以,你在这里肯定还有更大的上涨空间。

Good. Here, this means doubling the value for Nvidia or AMD . So, without needing to do the calculations, that would put us at around 1080. Let's write that down. Around 1080. So, you definitely have more room to grow here.

这个频道对 $NVDA 的历次判断

Meet Kevin 在这只股票上共 40 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

跨洋听风