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$NVDA

$NVDA · Mark Roussin, CPA · 2026-10-27

AI 摘要 · Mark Roussin, CPA

NVDA 是当前最容易的买入机会之一:从 240 美元跌至 210 美元以下是恐慌性抛售,订单排到 2027-2028 年,按 9.28 美元 EPS 计算的 13 倍远期盈利,加上预计再增长 70% 的利润,使其值得在 2026 年底前逢低吸纳以获取多年收益,不过 AI 资本开支削减可能对其构成压力。

看涨他说的是几年内
《4 Stocks I'm BUYING Before 2027》
Mark Roussin, CPA发布 2026-10-27 · 16 段内容
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16 段内容
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在我看来,这是我目前认为市场上最容易买入的机会之一。这是小投资者恐慌的典型例子。这只股票几周前每股还定价240美元,上周就跌破了210美元。但正是在这种时候,理性的投资者会进场再次买入。

This is one of the stocks that I consider to be among the easiest buying opportunities in the market right now, in my opinion . This is a perfect example of small investors panicking.

This is a stock that was priced at $240 per share just a few weeks ago , then dropped below $210 last week. But this is when rational investors step in to buy again.

利润并没有放缓,订单也没有停止。不,这是一家订单已经排到2027年甚至2028年的公司。这里看一下这只股票过去十二个月的表现。走势相当平淡,股价只上涨了约10%。但自4月以来,我们看到这只股票开始缓慢地创出更高的高点和更高的低点,这正是我们乐于见到的。

Profits did not slow down. And the orders didn't stop. No, it's a company whose orders extend into 2027 and even 2028. Here's a look at the stock's performance over the past twelve months.

Performance has been rather subdued , with the stock rising by only about 10%. But since April, we've seen the stock slowly begin to make higher highs and lows, which is what we like to see.

在屏幕右侧,你可以看到我们的“Edge Score”,它非常强劲,Nvidia 得了86分。任何高于70的分数都是我希望看到的。所以,达到八十几分是很棒的。

On the right side of the screen, you can see our "Edge Score", which is very strong, scoring 86 for Nvidia. Any number above 70 is what I like to see. So, reaching the level of the eighties is great.

我们说的是一家季度营收接近1000亿美元的公司,这意味着它的业务规模已经扩大了一倍以上。上个季度,数据中心部门贡献了其中约890亿美元的营收。这代表着约120%的年增长率。这不是一家增长突然停滞的公司的财务业绩,而是一家产品需求异常旺盛的公司的业绩。

We are talking about a company that generates quarterly revenues of nearly $100 billion , meaning it has more than doubled the size of its business . The data center division was responsible for approximately $89 billion of that revenue in the last quarter.

This represents an annual growth rate of approximately 120% . These are not the financial results of a company whose growth has suddenly stopped . Rather, these are the results of a company experiencing exceptional demand for its products.

以下是我认为 Nvidia 依然极其重要的原因。这不仅仅是图形处理器这一个故事。Nvidia 已经开发出一套集成计算系统,包括先进的加速器、网络技术、软件以及嵌入式人工智能计算系统。

Here's why I believe Nvidia remains extremely important. It's not just about the story of graphics processing units . Nvidia has developed an integrated computing system. This includes advanced accelerators, networking technologies, software, and embedded artificial intelligence computing systems.

但我不认为人工智能计算市场应该是一个“赢家通吃”的机会。事实上,我认为对算力的需求可能依然足够大,足以支撑多家成功的公司。Nvidia 仍然处于非常有利的位置。

But I don't think the AI computing market should be a "winner-takes-all " opportunity. In fact, I believe the demand for computing power may remain large enough to support several successful companies. Nvidia remains in a very privileged position .

现在,我们来谈谈估值。看这里,你可以看到分析师预计该公司下一财年每股收益将达到9.28美元,这相当于前瞻市盈率只有——你准备好了吗?——13倍。13倍。你可能会以为这是一家利润增速大概只有个位数的公司。

但并非如此,这是一家今年利润增长接近翻倍的公司,而且接下来一年还要在此基础上再增长70%。

Now, let's talk about the evaluation. Looking here, you can see that analysts expect the company to achieve earnings per share of $9.28 in the next fiscal year, which equates to a forward price-to-earnings ratio of only.

Are you ready for this? 13 times. 13 times . You might think this is a company whose profits are growing at a rate that is perhaps in the single digits . But no, this is a company that has nearly doubled its profit growth this year.

And an additional 70% on top of that in the following year.

考虑到过去几年我们从 Nvidia 这类公司身上看到的增长,他们能实现这样的增长数字简直令人惊叹。但我认为,投资者恰恰在这里错过了机会。那些有耐心、在低位时逐步买入的人,长期来看会得到回报。

The fact that they are achieving these growth figures is simply astonishing, considering the past few years of growth we have seen from companies like Nvidia. But this is where I think investors are missing the opportunity.

Those who are patient , and those who accumulate shares when they are low, will be rewarded in the long run .

看这里,你可以看到分析师对未来十二个月的目标价平均约为每股340美元,这意味着较当前水平有超过50%的上涨空间。但同样,对于拥有多年投资期限的投资者来说,我认为近期的疲软值得关注。

Nvidia 仍然是我非常希望在2026年底之前、在这些估值水平上逐步买入的股票之一。

Looking here, you can see that analysts' price targets for the next twelve months average around $340 per share, which means an increase of more than 50% from current levels. But again, for investors with a multi-year time horizon , I think the recent weakness is worth paying attention to.

Nvidia remains one of the companies whose shares I am very keen to accumulate at these valuations before the end of 2026.

这家公司不需要去预测哪家半导体制造商最终会占据主导地位,无论是 Nvidia 或 AMD 这样的公司,还是 Broadcom 或 Marvell 这类更定制化的芯片。

The company does not need to predict which semiconductor manufacturer will ultimately dominate , whether it be the likes of Nvidia or AMD, or more customized chips with the likes of Broadcom or Marvell.

但看看88分的卓越评分。这比 Nvidia 等公司还要高。

But look at the excellence score of 88. That's higher than the likes of Nvidia.

我们讨论了四家公司:Nvidia、AMD、Lam Research 和 Sterling。虽然这四家公司都受益于技术投资,但它们处在市场的不同环节。Nvidia 提供先进的人工智能计算平台,

We discussed four companies: Nvidia, AMD, Lam Research and Sterling. Although all four companies benefit from technological investment , they are positioned in different parts of the market .

Nvidia provides advanced AI computing platforms,

持有这四家公司并不自动意味着你的投资就实现了分散。因为尽管它们身处不同行业,却共同暴露于技术投资和更广泛的人工智能基础设施周期之中。如果大型科技公司开始削减资本支出,其中许多公司可能会面临压力。这正是我们在过去几周所目睹的情况。

Owning these four companies does not automatically mean you have diversified investments. Because despite working in different industries, they share exposure to technology investment and the broader AI infrastructure cycle.

If major technology companies begin cutting capital expenditures, many of these companies could come under pressure. This is what we have witnessed over the past few weeks .

因为我希望获得长期增长机会的敞口,同时又不让整个投资组合依赖于市场的某一个领域。说到买入这些股票,我并不试图精准预测底部。我当然也不建议投资者把全部鸡蛋放在一个篮子里。相反,我倾向于逐步利用波动。

这可能意味着分阶段买入股票,或者,视公司情况和可获得的期权权利金而定,考虑现金担保的看跌期权。但最重要的是了解这门生意,并确定你愿意为它付多少钱。因为再好的公司,如果你付的价格太高,也可能是一笔糟糕的投资。

股价更低并不自动意味着估值有吸引力。这就是为什么我想继续关注盈利、自由现金流、资产负债表以及未来的增长预期。就这些。有四只股票是我期待在2026年底之前可能买入的。

Because I want exposure to long-term growth opportunities without making my entire portfolio dependent on one area of the market. Now, when it comes to buying these stocks, I'm not trying to accurately predict the bottom.

I certainly don't suggest that investors put all their eggs in one basket. Instead, I prefer to take advantage of fluctuations gradually. This could mean buying shares in stages, or, depending on the company and the option premiums available, considering cash-guaranteed put options.

But the most important thing is to understand the business and determine how much you are willing to pay for it. Because a great company can still be a bad investment if you pay too much.

A lower share price does not automatically mean an attractive valuation. That's why I want to continue monitoring earnings, free cash flow, balance sheets , and future growth projections .

So, that's all . There are four stocks I'm looking forward to potentially buying before the end of 2026.

虽然科技板块近期的抛售带来了不确定性,但我认为它也创造了机会,因为其中一些公司仍在实现异常强劲的营收和利润增长。而另一些公司则受益于支撑人工智能所需的基础设施投资,其中许多公司目前的股价低于近期高点。

这并不意味着我们已经触底,也不意味着名单上的每只股票都便宜,但我认为,随着2027年的临近,这四只股票值得更仔细地研究。

While the recent sell-off in the technology sector has created uncertainty, I believe it also creates opportunities because some of these companies continue to achieve exceptional revenue and profit growth.

Other companies, however, are benefiting from the infrastructure investments required to support artificial intelligence, and many of them are currently trading below their recent highs.

This does n't mean we've hit rock bottom, nor does it mean every stock on the list is cheap, but I think these four deserve a closer look as we approach 2027.

现在,我想听听你的想法。如果今年年底之前你只能买入这四只股票中的一只,你会选哪一只?Nvidia、AMD、L&M Research,还是 Sterling?

Now, I want to hear your thoughts. If you could buy just one of these four stocks before the end of this year, which one would you choose? Nvidia, AMD, L&M Research, or Sterling?

观察点

即将发布的财报中的营收、自由现金流和订单增长
营收和利润持续异常增长,订单延伸至2027-2028年
2026年底之前财报
支持在当前估值下逢低买入的观点

这个频道对 $NVDA 的历次判断

Mark Roussin, CPA 在这只股票上共 6 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

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