$NVDA · Verified Investing · 2026-11-03
NVDA 尚未确认跌破其长期上升平行通道，正试图回到通道内；近期走势中性，看起来短期内不愿跌破。若日线收于 10 月 30 日K线区间下方，可能跌向 194.49 美元支撑位（略低于 200 美元），届时可能尝试回升至通道底部。看起来接近崩塌，但尚未完全滑落；11 月 17 日公布财报。
逐段跳播
尽管今天收了一根阴线，Nvidia 仍上涨了2.29%，是我们主要公司中涨幅最大的。对 Nvidia 来说这是不错的一天，但我想给你们看看 Nvidia 图表上正在发生什么。这是一条长期上行的平行通道。
这里可以看到，我标出了财报公布日期，要到本月晚些时候，11月17日。在过去三个交易日里，可以清楚地看到我们一直在该平行通道下方交易。现在，关键在于我们尚未确认收在该平行通道下方。
我们只是在这里录得了一根不错的收盘K线。下一根K线，我们并没有收在其下方。显然，今天我们也没有收在这根K线的区间下方。在确认 Nvidia 股票这条平行通道被跌破之前，需要先出现这种情况。
到目前为止，Nvidia 在奋力抵抗，尽力回升，触及了该通道的下沿，最重要的是，重新回到了通道内部。如果卖压因任何原因回归，Nvidia 接下来将测试的支撑位是194.49美元，就在200美元心理关口下方。
这可能是 Nvidia 尝试重新攀升至该平行通道底部的位置。但一切都取决于我们如何收盘。我们是否会先连续每天收在10月30日周五那根K线下方？如果出现这种情况，概率很可能指向进一步下跌至该支撑位，然后尝试回到平行通道底部。
目前，我们处于某种中性区域。当前价格在这三根K线的上沿附近交易，表明 Nvidia 短期内不想跌破，而是在试图修复平行通道，并未确认跌破。Nvidia 正在发生有趣的事情；看起来它处于崩溃状态，但还没有完全滑落。
Despite a red candle today, Nvidia rose 2.29%, the largest among our major companies . Good day for Nvidia, but I wanted to show you what's happening on Nvidia's chart . This is a parallel channel that is rising in the long term .
Here you can see, I have the earnings announcement date. Not until later this month, on November 17th . In the past three trading days, you can clearly see that we have been trading below this parallel channel.
Now, the main thing here is that we have not confirmed the closure under this parallel channel. All we did was record one good closing candle here. With the next candle , we did not close below it.
Clearly, we did not close below this candle range today either. This is what needs to be done before we can confirm a breakdown in this parallel channel for Nvidia's stock. So far, Nvidia is fighting and doing its best to recover, touching the lower end of this channel, and most importantly, getting back inside it .
If selling pressure returns for any reason, the next support level Nvidia will test is $194.49, which is just below the psychological barrier of $200. This could be the position where Nvidia can attempt to climb back to the bottom of this parallel channel.
But everything depends on how we close down. Will we close each day under the candle on Friday, October 30th first? If that happens, the odds are likely to point to a further decline towards the support level, then an attempt to return to the bottom of the parallel channel.
At the moment, we are in a somewhat neutral zone. Trading currently near the upper range of these three candles indicates that Nvidia does not want to break down in the near term, and is instead trying to restore the parallel channel without confirming the breakdown.
Interesting things are happening at Nvidia; It looks like it's in a state of collapse, but it hasn't completely slipped yet.
观察点
这个频道对 $NVDA 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 31 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。