$NVDA · InvestAnswers · 2026-11-06
NVDA的暴跌——单日跌近7%、市值蒸发近5000亿美元、深度跌破200日移动均线、在ATR模型中处于第五级，两者均前所未有——使其在189至180美元附近成为便宜货；我预计将从约188.50美元均值回归，但表示只能等待。其13倍远期市盈率比标普500更便宜，而它的增长和盈利都跑赢标普500。
逐段跳播
Nvidia 跌了近7%，Tesla 跌了9%，但它们今天大幅反弹了。
Nvidia down nearly 7%, Tesla down 9%, but they rebounded hard today.
仅 Nvidia 一家就损失了近5000亿美元。仔细想想，这些数字简直离谱。一天之内5000亿美元。噗，就没了。
Nvidia alone lost nearly half a trillion dollars. These numbers are bonkers when you think about it. Half a trillion in a day. Poof, gone.
但 Nvidia 的市盈率，顺便说一下，这些是远期市盈率，是13。所以 Nvidia 比整个标普500便宜得多。它的增长速度也比整个标普500快。它的盈利能力也比整个标普500强。
But the PE of Nvidia, these are forward PES, by the way, um is 13. So Nvidia is a lot cheaper than the whole S&P 500. It's also growing faster than the whole S&P 500. It's also more profitable than the whole S&P 500.
但你看现在的 Nvidia，它已经跌破200美元了。它彻底崩了。它从来没有跌破过200日移动平均线。看看这个。深深地、深深地跌在200日线下方。那些黄线是我在周三技术分析视频里画的通道线。
它就是一路暴跌。现在我们在第五级下方，再说一次，Nvidia 不仅从来没有跌破过200日移动平均线，它在 ATR 模型里也从来没有跌到过第五级。所以就是这样。如果你看到它跌到189、180，那就是便宜货。188.50美元，它就会均值回归。你只需要等。
But if you look at Nvidia here, uh it is under 200 bucks. It completely fell out of bed. It never falls under the 200 day moving average. And look at this. Deep, deep under the 200 day.
The yellow lines in my channels that I had in there for the Wednesday TA video. And it just tanked. And right now we're under level five, which again, not only is Nvidia never down under the 200 day moving average, but it's also never down at level five in the ATR model.
So there we are. If you see this thing down at 189, 180, it's a bargain. 188 bucks.50 and it will mean revert. You just have to wait.
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