$NVDA · The Investor Channel · 2026-11-06
NVDA本周下跌约9%,至约187美元,距财报约11天,创下新低,跌破所有已转负的移动均线,并跌穿7月低点。财报前疑问多于答案(中国暂缓进口批准、Neo cloud受到审视),但说话者称这并非世界末日,因为上次移动均线转负后NVDA很快回升;较新的Rubin/GB300需求和SpaceX交易是利好,而财报电话会议本身不如AI情绪的变化重要。
逐段跳播
现在,我们急切等待Nvidia即将发布的财报。
Now, we eagerly await Nvidia's earnings, which will be released soon.
在我看来,这是本周半导体股,更重要的是Neo Cloud股股价下跌的最大原因。
In my opinion, this is the biggest reason behind the decline in semiconductor stock prices , and more importantly, Neo Cloud stock prices this week.
再看Nvidia,其股价本周初在204美元左右,随后一周大部分时间下跌近9%,收于187美元,因为随着财报大约一周后公布,该公司似乎面临压力。
Turning to Nvidia, its stock started the week at around $204, then fell for most of the week by nearly 9% to close at $187, as the company appears to be under pressure with its earnings announcement coming in about a week.
路透社本周报道,由于中国继续拒绝批准进口,Nvidia芯片正在香港积压。显然,这对Nvidia来说并未产生预期效果。随着财报公布日期在仅一周多后临近,该公司将在这个问题上面对许多疑问。
Reuters reported this week that Nvidia chips are piling up in Hong Kong as China continues to refuse to approve imports. Clearly, this has not yielded the desired results for Nvidia.
The company will face many questions on this subject as the earnings announcement date approaches in just over a week.
他们还会被问到 Neo clouds。这是公司业务的一个板块,而且正如其财务数据所显示的,Nvidia 已经开始把 Neo clouds 单独拆分出来,并告诉投资者这将是其增长最快的板块。
They will also be asked about Neo clouds. This is a sector of the company's business, and as evidenced by its financial data, Nvidia has begun separating its Neo clouds and telling investors that they will be its fastest-growing segment.
这些云计算公司的股价本周大幅下跌,原因是外界对其融资操作的审视有所加强,或许还有监管层面的原因——它们建设更多数据中心的能力正受到进一步审视,而且更重要的是,受到进一步质疑,而这些数据中心几乎肯定会搭载 Nvidia 的图形处理器。
Shares in these cloud companies have fallen sharply this week as scrutiny of their capital-raising operations has increased, and perhaps also from a regulatory standpoint, as their ability to build more data centers, which will almost certainly house Nvidia graphics processing units, is subject to further scrutiny and, more importantly, further doubt .
随着 Nvidia 下周财报发布临近,这将是关键的一周,我们会看到市场如何反应,但很可能仍然是问题多于答案。现在,Nvidia 要求其云计算客户至少将 51% 的产品销售给中国以外的客户。
这具体涉及 Neo cloud 服务客户。这些客户如果拿到了 Nvidia 的图形处理器,可以以可能达到卖给美国客户价格的两三倍、甚至四五倍的价格出售。
It will be a crucial week as Nvidia's earnings announcement approaches next week, and we will see how the market reacts, but there are probably still more questions than answers.
Now , Nvidia is requiring its cloud computing customers to sell at least 51% of their products to customers outside of China. This specifically concerns Neo cloud service customers.
These customers, if they have access to Nvidia graphics processing units, can sell them for a price that may be two or three times, and perhaps even four or five times, compared to the price at which they would be sold to an American customer.
我从科技领域同事那里看到了几份非官方报告,显示可能有更多 H100,或许还有一些 Blackwell 芯片,可以以比大约两个月前略高的价格买到。确实有人否认这一点,但主流看法是更多公司想转向最新一代产品,这对 Nvidia 是好事。
I have seen several unofficial reports from my colleagues in the tech field indicating that more H100 units , and possibly some Blackwell chips, may be available at a slightly higher price than they were about two months ago .
It is true that some deny this, but the prevailing opinion is that more companies want to move to the latest generation, which is good for Nvidia.
用户正在从 H100 设备转向、想要获得更新的系统,比如 Rubin 甚至 GB300 系统,尤其是 Microsoft,而且我相信在接下来的一周、一个月和一年里,我们会看到更多公司跟进,这对 Nvidia 其实是好事,因为它未必靠出租旧系统赚钱,尽管它能从中间接获益。
The fact that users are moving away from H100 devices and wanting to acquire newer systems, such as Rubin or even GB300 systems, especially Microsoft, and I am sure that we will see more companies follow suit during the coming week, month and year, is actually a good thing for Nvidia, because it does not necessarily make profits from renting out old systems, although it benefits from them indirectly.
客户能够更长期地租用这些系统,并在正常消费分布之外创造更大利润,这对 Nvidia 是积极的,但这是电话会议上会被大量提及的话题,而且我告诉你,Jensen Huang 最好拿出强劲的表现,因为行业迫切需要他。
The ability of customers to lease these systems for longer years and generate greater profits outside the normal distribution of consumption is a positive thing for Nvidia, but this is a topic that will be brought up a lot during the conference call , and I tell you, Jensen Huang would do well to deliver a strong performance because the industry desperately needs him.
本周我在自己的 Equity Empire 频道发布了一个视频,谈到去年 IREN 本可以发布一份新闻稿,而你可以根据那份新闻稿买入。NVIDIA 或 AMD 本可以宣布一款新芯片,你可以根据新闻稿买入股票,股价就会上涨。
I posted a video this week on my Equity Empire channel where I talked about how last year , IREN could have issued a press release, and you could have bought that release. NVIDIA or AMD could have announced a new chip, and you could have bought the press release and bought the stock, and its price would have gone up.
所以,这绝对值得关注,而且对 Nvidia 来说是好消息,因为 Elon Musk 和 SpaceX 与他们有独家协议。
So, this is definitely worth following, and it's great news for Nvidia, as Elon Musk and SpaceX have an exclusive agreement with them.
至于 Nvidia,它将在本月十七日公布财报。所以,你面前还有一周多一点的时间,大约从现在起 11 天,在我看来,看看华尔街、交易员以及那些押注短期上涨的人会如何应对,会很有意思。
As for Nvidia, it will announce its earnings on the seventeenth of this month. So, you have a little over a week ahead of you, about 11 days from now, and in my opinion it will be interesting to see what Wall Street, traders, and those who bet on short-term ups, will do about it.
在我看来,它在图表上创下了一个新低,这是我们很久没有见过的。我重新测试了我 7 月记录的低点,甚至完全跌破了这些低点。
In my opinion, it has recorded a new low on the chart, something we haven't seen for a long time. I have retested the lows I recorded in July, and even broken through them completely.
你现在已经跌破了 Nvidia 的所有移动平均线,而且它们全部转为负值,这是我们一段时间以来没有见过的。所以,正如我提到 Netflix 时所说的,这并不是世界末日。移动平均线转负了,而 Nvidia 能够迅速恢复。
You are now below all of Nvidia's moving averages, and they are all negative, something we haven't seen in a while. So, as I mentioned regarding Netflix, this is not the end of the world.
The moving averages turned negative, and Nvidia was able to recover quickly.
11 天后的财报公布当然是一个促成因素,但天哪,那场电话会议的重要性将远不及围绕人工智能的主流情绪和态度,而这些在过去几周里显然已经发生了变化。
The earnings announcement in 11 days is certainly a contributing factor, but my God, that conference call will be far less important than the prevailing sentiment and attitudes around artificial intelligence, which have clearly changed over the past few weeks.
这个频道对 $NVDA 的历次判断
The Investor Channel 在这只股票上共 11 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。