$NVDA · T3 Live · 2026-11-09
NVDA 已破位，最好回避：其突破是假突破，此后一直位于均线下方，并在年内低点处于 18146 之下，若该水平失守，下一个参考位是 160 多。CEO 丑闻也令其关于循环融资的保证受到质疑；别处有更容易的交易，只有五年期持有者属于另一种情况。
逐段跳播
你看到 Nvidia 的新闻了吗？看到 CEO Jensen Wang 了吗？他正因对妻子不忠而被调查，而且他出轨的对象恰好是一名中国间谍。
did you see the Nvidia news? Did you see the CEO Jensen Wang? You know, he's being investigated for uh cheating on his wife and uh he happened to cheat on his wife with a Chinese spy.
也许他们只会把这件事局限在 Nvidia 身上，其他半导体股会上涨，因为 AMD 的 CEO Lisa 也许没有背叛家人之类的。
maybe they'll just isolate it to Nvidia and other semis will be up because maybe the CEO Lisa didn't cheat on her family, you know, from AMD or something like that.
所以现在，市场算是把 Nvidia 单独关进了小黑屋。是 CEO 出了轨，不是整个科技板块，尽管 Nvidia 确实掌握着很多关键的东西。还记得大家都有点担心的循环融资吗？如果 Jensen Wong 连对妻子都不忠诚，能当面骗她，能骗她全家，你觉得他会怎么对待华尔街——在采访里说“哦，一切都会好的”“我们能控制 AI”，或者那些互相提供资金的交易都是安全的？
So, right now um the the market is kind of putting Nvidia in the box. You know, the CEO did the cheating, not not the whole tech sector, even though Nvidia really holds the keys to a lot of things.
Remember the circular financing that everybody was a little worried about, you know? Well, if if if if Jensen Wong can't be um faithful to his wife and could lie to her face and lie to her death family, what do you think he could do to you know, his interviews on Wall Street about, oh, everything will be okay.
You know, we could we can control AI or we I'm not even or or all these deals that are funding each other are are safe.
眼下，Q's 又涨了一点。Nvidia 跌了八。有人问我能不能讲讲 Nvidia 的图表。Nvidia 已经坏得不能再坏了。还记得 Nvidia 那次假突破吗？那是最糟糕的一次突破。
我们试着做了，然后就在这里离场了。谢天谢地。之后它就一直位于均线下方。也许在低位有很小的买入机会，但主要只是短暂的反弹，还是离它远点。现在看看这里会怎样。这是 18146。Nvidia 18146。
它能守住 18146 吗？我不知道。我觉得这只股票上会有很多很多议论。你可能想避开它。所以它已经在这下方了，在 18146 下方。所以这是年内低点，它在所有东西下方。这里在均线上方。
也许这里还行。不。赶紧离场。你的钱对你来说是有意义的，对吧？如果你是作为投资者持有 Nvidia 已经五年了，那是另一回事。但总之，你甚至可以把这条线往下移到这里，因为那是低点。
这没什么意义。Nvidia 甚至还没到低点，3 月的低点。所以假设有人说：“红狗，下一个参考点在哪？”我想你可以说下一个参考点在下面这里，也就是 160 多。所以，我会直接忽略它。
不是忽略它，而是你不必待在里面，你不必去交易它。会有很多事情发生。这里有一个很大的缺口。相比 Nvidia，可能有更容易交易的东西，但话说回来，有时它会成为逆风，有时可能只局限于 Nvidia，但至少 Nvidia 给了你很多理由去退出大多数东西。
At this point, again, the Q's are up a little bit. Nvidia is down eight. Someone asked me if I could do the chart of Nvidia. Um, you know, Nvidia is just broken as broken could be.
Remember this false breakout in Nvidia? That was the worst breakout ever. You know, we try to play it and then get out of the way right here. Thank goodness. And then it's been below the moving averages ever since.
You know, tiny little maybe buys in the hole, but mostly just short bounces and uh stay out of the damn way. And and now we'll see what happens here. This is um this is uh 18146.
Nvidia 18146. Is it going to hold 18146? I don't know. I think there's be a lot of lot of banter going on in this stock. You might want to stay away. So, this is already below.
It's below 18146. So, this is at the low of the year. It's below everything. Right here is above the moving averages. Maybe it's okay right here. No. Get the hell out of the way.
Your money means something to you, doesn't it? If you've been in Nvidia for like five years as an investor, that's a different story. But anyway, um so you could actually even move this down to here because that's the low.
This means nothing. Um, you know, this was, uh, you know, Nvidia is not even at the low, the March lows. So, say someone's like, "Red dog, where's the next point of reference?"
Um, well, uh, I guess you could say the next point of reference is down here, which is, uh, the 160s. So, and and you know, I would just I would just ignore it. Not ignore it, but you don't have to be there.
You don't have to be trading it. There's going to be a lot of things going on. You have a you have a big gap here. there might there'd be probably easier things to trade versus Nvidia, but again, sometimes it'll be a headwind and sometimes it might be just isolated to Nvidia, but at least Nvidia gave you a lot of reasons to get out of most things.
Nvidia 现在被关在小黑屋里，而它本该是世界上最重要的人物之一。连对妻子和孩子都不忠诚，就是些愚蠢的事。总之，它跌了九，在 181 下方。看看它能不能待在那下方。
You know, you do have Nvidia in the in the penalty box, and it should be freaking one of the most important guys in the world. Can't even stay faithful to his wife and his kids, and just dumb dumb stuff right there.
Anyway, uh so that's down nine. It's below 181. See if it stays below there.
这个频道对 $NVDA 的历次判断
T3 Live 在这只股票上共 22 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。