$OKTA · Schwab Network · 2026-11-02
OKTA 的下跌似乎在190附近企稳，50日移动均线支撑强劲，因此他卖出11月185-195的看跌期权价差，价格约4美元，理由是隐含波动率极高且12月1日之前没有财报。但5日EMA已跌破21日EMA，且187.53附近的63日EMA已被跌破，因此可能进一步走弱。
逐段跳播
Okta是第三只股票，一家软件公司，我们看到它随着SaaS模式的出现而下跌，但过去六个月它确实有所改善。其股价上涨了超过160%。Scott，你怎么看Okta？
Okta is the third stock, a software company that we saw decline with the emergence of the SaaS model, but it has certainly improved over the past six months . Its stock rose by more than 160%. Scott, what do you think of Okta?
是的，在我讨论这件事之前，我想澄清一下，我今天早上确实卖出了一些看跌价差。但在50日移动平均线处有强劲支撑，强劲的技术支撑，今天早上早些时候就在那里。隐含波动率极高，使得期权非常昂贵。
所以，我计划做的是卖出11月185-195的看跌价差，价格约为4美元。今天早些时候股价就在这个水平交易。该股从最低点上涨了约三美元。这就是我计划做的。我相信这个区域提供了支撑。
Yes, and before I discuss the matter, I would like to clarify that I did indeed sell some put spreads this morning. But there is strong support, strong technical support at the 50-day moving average, which was there earlier this morning.
Implied volatility is extremely high, making options very expensive. So, what I plan to do is sell November put spreads at 185-195 for about $4. The price was trading at this level earlier today.
The stock rose about three dollars from its lowest point. This is what I plan to do. I believe this artistic area provides support.
鉴于此，有几件重要的事。Okta 将于11月4日加入标准普尔500指数。在这笔交易的时间段内，其利润不会披露。其利润要到12月1日才会公布。因此，我们没有这个激励。
Given this, there are some important things. Okta will join the Standard & Poor's 500 index on November 4. Their profits will not be disclosed during the time period of this deal.
Their profits will not be announced until December 1st. Therefore, we do not have this incentive.
这里有两条方向线相互靠近。我们的最高位在235。我们可以画出这条连接后续各个高点的下行线。但同样，财报公布后我们有一个向上跳空缺口。这个缺口给了我们一个值得关注的显著底部，它连接了后续的这些底部。
到目前为止，当前的下跌似乎在190这一水平附近企稳。至于我们的水平位，235是我们此前的高点，下一个高点在228附近，这就是那两条红线。但在这里，我们注意到近期在184有一个低点。
然后是这些更早的高点凸显出来，接着是向上盈利缺口之后在156的后续低点。所以，这些是非常清晰的区域，很多交易者很可能都在关注。现在，我们看到5日和21日指数移动平均线非常接近，都在210附近。
所以，较快的均线已开始跌破较慢的均线，表明进一步走弱，也可能意味着趋势转向下行。63日指数移动平均线，在黄金图上位于187.53，也代表着趋势线的跌破。还应指出，较快均线与较慢均线的交叉，以及5日均线与21日均线的交叉，尚未发生。
重要的是要等到这些事情真正发生，并等到当天交易结束，以避免基于虚假信号仓促做出决定。所以，我们还注意到红色下行趋势线依然成立。我们也跌破了50的中线，表明在这种情况下进一步向下偏移。
至于成交量，看起来有点奇怪。我们有许多小点，外观非常细微。这些点大多位于这些水平之间，大约170、190和207。这些是从交易角度需要监控的关键区域，尤其是就成交量而言。
Here we have two directional lines moving towards each other. Our highest level was at 235. We can draw this downward line connecting the subsequent highest levels. But also, we had an upward gap after the earnings announcement.
This gap gave us a notable bottom point to watch that connects these subsequent bottoms. So far, the current decline appears to have stabilized around this level of 190. As for our horizontal levels, 235 is our previous high, and our next high is near 228, and these are the two red lines.
But here , we note a recent dip at 184. Then these earlier highs stand out, followed by subsequent dips after the upward profit gap at 156. So, there are very clear areas that many traders are likely to be watching.
Now, we see that the five- day and 21-day exponential moving averages are very close, as they are around 210. So, the faster average has started to fall below the slower average, indicating further weakness, and possibly a shift in the trend towards the downside.
The 63-day exponential moving average , which is at 187.53 in gold , also represents a break of the trend line. It should also be noted that the intersection of the faster average with the slower average, and the intersection of the five-day average with the 21-day average, has not yet occurred.
It is important to wait until these things actually happen, and until the end of the day's trading , to avoid rushing into a decision based on a false signal. So, we also note that the red downtrend line is still standing.
We have also fallen below the midline at 50, indicating a further downward shift in this case. As for the trading volume, it seems a bit strange. We have many small dots, with a very delicate appearance .
Most of these points are located between these levels, approximately 170, 190 and 207 . These are the key areas to monitor from a trading perspective, especially with regard to trading volume.
看 Octa，我们发现它已下跌约3.9%，接近4%，目前交易价约为19,995美元，略低于200美元这一水平。
Well, looking at Octa, we find that it has fallen by approximately 3.9%, or nearly 4 %, and is currently trading at $19,995, which is slightly below the $200 level.