ONTO 拥有 11 亿美元订单储备；利润转化情况尚不明朗。周线图尚未突破 6 月高点；创新高需要多次尝试，下一次跌破下行趋势线的概率为五五开。目前正从一条上升趋势线反弹。若支撑位失守，250 是强支撑；下方为 256.41 和 247.30。在该位置下跌后可能反弹；第四次或第三次尝试可能突破下行趋势线。
逐段跳播
现在，我们来看 ONTO，也就是 ONTO Innovation。ONTO 有大量积压订单。如你所见，ONTO 在电子技术领域有价值11亿美元的积压订单。他们能把这些转化为利润吗？
Now, we move on to ONTO, which is ONTO Innovation. ONTO has a huge backlog of orders. As you can see here, ONTO has a backlog of orders worth $1.1 billion in the field of electronic technology. Can they turn that into a profit?
看周线时间框架，我们发现我们尚未达到最高水平，我们在6月录得一个周线峰值。自6月以来，价格一直没有升破这一水平。这并不意味着我们不能再涨，但这个峰值的周线上影线说明了它对图表的影响有多大，因为除非经过多次尝试，否则很难创出新的纪录水平。
Looking at the weekly timeframe, we find that we have not yet reached our highest levels, and we recorded a weekly peak in June . Since June, the price has not risen above this level .
This does not mean that we cannot rise again , but this weekly tail of the peak illustrates how much it affects the chart, as new record levels are difficult to achieve except after several attempts.
如你所见，我通过这条下降趋势线说明了这一点。我们尝试了一次，然后是第三次，接着是第二次，这基本上是对下降趋势线的第三次触及。下一次尝试，也就是第四次触及，突破的概率是50/50。这仅仅取决于支撑位在哪里。
As you can see, I have illustrated this through the downward trend line. We made one attempt, then a third, then a second, which is essentially the third hit on the downtrend line.
The next attempt, the fourth strike, will have a 50/50 probability of penetration. It's simply a matter of where that support is located.
现在，如你所见，我画了一条上升趋势线，连接到9月3日的最低枢轴水平。这里的底部是7月29日，连接到9月3日，注意价格如何突破该区域，但从未远离这条趋势线。事实上，在那些日子里，价格走势更像是紧贴趋势线，因此在图表上获得了向上的反弹。
如你今天所见，我们正目睹价格从最低水平反弹，这要归功于这条上升趋势线。这是一个有意思的低位支撑水平。
Now, as you can see, I have an upward trend line connected to the lowest pivot level on September 3rd. This bottom here was on July 29, connected to September 3, and notice how the price broke through that area, but never moved away from the trend line.
In fact, on each of those days, the price movement was more like clinging to the trend line, and thus got an upward bounce on the chart. As you can see today, we are witnessing a rebound from its lowest level, thanks to the upward trend line . It's an interesting low support level.
现在，如果这一水平被跌破，你会看到 ONTO 股票下方有两层双重支撑。首先，这条平行线的底部将在256.41，其次是247.30。简而言之，250水平将形成强劲支撑，在第四次和第三次尝试反弹至其上方时，突破下降趋势线的概率很高。
因此，请关注 ONTO 股票这一带有支撑的区间。如果价格跌至这一水平，反弹的概率很高。
Now, if this level breaks down, you will see a double support layer below it for ONTO stock. Firstly, the bottom of this parallel line will be at 256.41, and secondly at 247.30.
In short, the 250 level will form a strong support level, with a high probability of breaking the downtrend line , on a fourth and third attempt to bounce back above it. Therefore, keep an eye on this range for ONTO stock with this support.
If the price drops to this level , there will be a high probability of a rebound.
这个频道对 $ONTO 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。