$PDD

Bendodo是高险正回报的押注;打造第三项全球业务可能使其价值翻倍或翻三倍,达到2000至3000亿。

看涨他说的是几年内
《3 Positive Asymmetric Buys From The Bets Quadrant...》
Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.发布 2026-10-07 · 2 段内容
19:14/ —打开原视频

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2 段内容

然而,Bendodo 的市值为 1070 亿,拥有 660 亿现金,留给公司的是 500 亿,这意味着它的市盈率是四倍。

However, Bendodo, with a market capitalization of 107 billion, has 66 billion in cash, leaving 50 billion for the company, meaning its price-to-earnings ratio is four.

他们从团购模式起步,在中国表现异常出色。然后他们走向全球,在短短几年内成为一项巨大的业务。现在他们正在打造“Shin Bin Mo”,一个面向品牌的直接面向消费者的业务。他们投资 1000 亿元人民币,也就是 660 亿现金中的 150 亿。

3 年内的目标是再打造一家“Bendodo”公司。考虑到现金流,以及其他一切,再考虑到他们已经非常迅速地建立了两家伟大的全球性公司。如果他们建立起第三家,市盈率将升至 15,利润将更高,你将拥有一家价值 2000 亿、也许 3000 亿的企业,翻倍或翻三倍。

鉴于他们的现金流和他们拥有的业务,Timo 可能正走向盈利。这是另一笔风险极高、回报为正的赌注。

They started with a group buying model, and performed exceptionally well in China. Then they went global , becoming a huge business in just a few years. And now they are building "Shin Bin Mo," a direct-to-consumer business for brands.

They are investing 100 billion yuan, which is 15 billion out of 66 billion in cash. The goal within 3 years is to build another "Bendodo" company . Considering the cash flow, and everything else, and considering that they have already built, very quickly, two great global companies.

If they build the third one, the price-to-earnings ratio will rise to 15, the profits will be higher, and you will have a business worth 200 billion, maybe 300 billion, double or triple .

Given their cash flow and the businesses they own, Timo may be heading towards profitability. This is another bet with very high risks and positive rewards .

这个频道对 $PDD 的历次判断

Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D. 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-10-07看涨本条
然而,Bendodo 的市值为 1070 亿,拥有 660 亿现金,留给公司的是 500 亿,这意味着它的市盈率是四倍。
2026-09-03
管理层表示,他们将在未来三年内打造下一个“拼多多”。如果他们信守承诺,这只股票的价值将翻倍或增至三倍。如果他们不守承诺,股票可能会停滞不前。因此,考虑到他们正在建设的东西,现金流等方面的下行风险可能有限。潜在收益可能相当可观。但对于这些中国公司,你总是要警惕那些承诺。他们总是在建设、建设,投资、投资,你永远不知道什么时候会成功。这就是为什么它属于“糟糕”类别。业绩不错,仍有8%的增长,一切看起来都很好。利润率因投资而略有下降。但如果你看看现金、短期投资和受限现金,相对于1200亿美元的市值,这是一大笔钱,意味着50%是现金。但他们将用这些钱来打造下一个“拼多多”。
原话 21:55 ›
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