$PLTR · Schwab Network · 2026-11-02
PLTR 跌破 187 以及 21 日和 5 日均线，RSI 低于 50，并自 212.94 的高点处于下行趋势，但周五守住了 181.19 的 63 日均线。进入财报前，期权市场隐含到 11 月 6 日到期约有正负 15% 的波动；说话者采取中性偏多的 170/165 看跌价差，收取 150 美元权利金，盈亏平衡点为 16850，属于高概率但并非保证的布局。
逐段跳播
关于 Palanteer 今天晚些时候将公布的季度业绩。调整后每股收益预计将同比增长近一倍，达到 41 美分。营收预计将增长约 85%，超过 21 亿美元。
On the earnings from Palanteer set to report its quarterly results later today. Earnings are expected to nearly double year-over-year to 41 cents per share on an adjusted basis.
Revenue is expected to grow some 85% to more than $2.1 billion.
现在，这家公司的 B 收益在过去两年的每一份报告中都是如此。Croup 的分析师表示，他们看到 Palanteer 的政府业务需求强劲。他们给出了买入评级和 250 美元的目标价。
Now, the company's B earnings in every report for the last two years. Analysts over at Croup say they see strong demand from Palanteer's government business. They've got a buy rating and a $250 price target.
请记住，该股同比下跌了约 3%。而当我们观察 Palenteer 时，可以看到它略微跑输这里其他所有标的。
Keep in mind the stock is down about 3% year-over-year. And when we do look at Palenteer, we can see it is slightly uh underperforming uh you know everything else here.
与此同时，Palunteer 在过去一个交易年度下跌了约 11%。所以，我们也可以看到，当我们将 Palunteer 与软件板块的其他一些标的进行比较时，它大致处于中间位置，与整个板块组的整体表现大致相当，粗略来说。
Meanwhile, Palunteer down about 11% during the past trading year. So, we can see as well that when we compare Palunteer to some of the other names in the software sector, uh you know, kind of in the middle here, uh roughly uh in line with the overall performance of the the sector group here, roughly speaking.
但可以肯定，这是一家不寻常的公司，一家并没有真正容易直接对标的公司。所以，当我们单独观察 Palanteer 时，可以看到它近期触及了 21294 的高点。
Um but a unusual company to be sure, one that is uh not really one that has an easy direct comparison. So when we do look at Palanteer on its own, we can see that it hit highs recently of 21294.
从那里开始，我们画出了一条向下倾斜的趋势线，用白色标出，横跨我们的高点。这轮下跌走势已经跌破了我们在上一次财报向上跳空后形成的蓝色趋势线。你可以看到，这条蓝线连接了我们在攀升至那些高点过程中看到的几个低点。
From there, we have established a downward sloping trend line in white here going across our highs. This downside action has broken our blue trend line that was formed after our last earnings gap to the upside.
You can see that this uh blue line connects several of our our low points here that we saw on our climb into those highs.
不过就目前而言，我们已经跌破了 187 水平。这条红线，是一个在向上小幅跳空后的显著高点，之后更远处还有一个高点，然后是一系列低点。所以，我们仍处于该水平之下。
For now though, we have uh breached the 187 level. this red line here, a notable high point after a small gap to the upside, another high further down the road, and then a series of lows. So, we remain below that level.
你可以尝试通过在这里画出一个通道形状来预测进一步的支撑位。用我们的向下倾斜趋势线进行外推，并横跨那些低点。这可能会让你大致了解该在哪里寻找支撑。
You could try to project further support by making a channel type shape here. Uh, using our downward sloping trend line, extrapolating it and putting across those lows. Uh, that could potentially give you an idea where to look for support.
我们也可以看到，周五我们的低点落在 63 日 EMA 上。该均线收盘于 18119。
We can see as well our low came in here at our 63-day EMA on Friday. 18119 is where that one closed.
我们还跌破了 21 日和 5 日指数移动平均线，这两条均线大致在 190 出头附近汇合。
We also dropped below our 21 and 5day exponential moving averages which were roughly in confluence near the low 190s.
RSI 在这里也大幅下滑。我们处于 50 中轴线下方，动量指标也呈向下倾斜的轨迹。当我们考虑成交量分布研究时，可以看到当前活动区域附近 172 到 188 的显著成交量区域是大部分交易活动所在。
直到一路下跌到 128 到 139 才出现真正显著的峰值。不过，在 155 附近，情况确实又开始活跃起来。
RSI also has taken a tumble here. We are below the 50 midline with a downward sloping trajectory as well on our momentum indicator. When we think about our volume profile study, we can see that the notable volume areas uh near our current activity 172 to 188 is where much of the trading activity comes in.
Not really a notable spike as well until we get all the way down here 128 to 139. Uh things do start to pick up again here though around 155 as well.
对。那么考虑未来几天的预期波动，我们将目标定在 11 月 6 日，即周五的周度到期日，可以看到高点大致落在我们之前看到的接近 213 的那些旧峰值处。低点大约在 158 左右。所以大致是上下 15% 的波动幅度。
Right. So to think about our expected move here in the coming days, we're going to target November 6th, our weekly expiration here for Friday, we can see that the high comes in here roughly at those old uh uh you know peaks that we saw near 213.
The lows come in near about uh uh 158 or so. So roughly plus or minus 15% move uh to the upside or the downside.
那么交易问题是，11 月 6 日到期、行权价 170 和 165 的看跌期权垂直价差，减去一份，以 150 的净收入构建，中性偏多 outlook，就是卖出这个价差，目标是获得 150 美元的收入，这将是最大利润，最大亏损为 350 美元，盈亏平衡点为 168.50，约 9.6%，下行 6%。
The trading question then minus one November 6th 1701 165 put vertical at a 150 credit a neutral to bullish outlook here uh you know just selling this spread looking to get a $150 credit receive which would be the max profit max loss would be 350 here break even $16850 about 9.6% 6% to the downside.
所以，在这个预期波动范围内，这是一个稍微更激进的设置。希望利用卖出这些期权所能获得的丰厚权利金。在我们进入财报季之际，你可以看到这里的阴影区域，它代表了预期波动的近似值。这更像是一种高概率类型的设置。
当然，从来不是保证，但这将是一种更倾向于寻找对你有利的概率、即价格保持在盈亏平衡点之上的设置。
So, within that expected move range, a bit more of an aggressive setup here. Looking to capitalize on the uh juiced up premiums that we could get from selling these options. As we head into earnings, you can see our shaded area here though that represents a an approximation of the expected move.
This would be more of a high probability type of setup. Never a guarantee of course, but this would be one that would be more of a uh looking for the odds to be in your favor here of it staying above that break even.
以上就是我们的首席市场技术分析师 Rick Dukat 为你带来的 Palanteer 示例交易，该公司也和 Apple 一样，将在今天晚些时候公布财报。
That's Rick Dukat, our lead market technician with your example trade there for Palanteer, which also has earnings due later today along with Apple.
观察点
这个频道对 $PLTR 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 16 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。