$PLTR · InvestAnswers · 2026-11-04
Palantir 如今对技术分析有反应，这是好事：在 213 出现卖出信号后下跌，回落至 164-172.5 属于 2.3 个标准差的均值回归——为 2026 年 3 月以来最超卖，此类回归有 84.8% 的概率奏效——因此预计将反弹，并提到 162 这一水平。
逐段跳播
Palantir 小幅上涨，但 Palantir 终于开始对技术分析做出反应了，这很好。
Palantir rose a little , but finally Palantir is starting to respond to technical analysis, and that's good.
顺便说一句，Palantir 今年的表现一直很稳定。它的波动也极大。
By the way, Palantir's performance has been stable this year. It is also extremely volatile.
但那些预测错了：Marvell、Altrix、Micron、Nvidia、Palantir、Bitcoin……
But the predictions that were wrong: Marvell, Altrix, Micron, Nvidia, Palantir, Bitcoin...
Balantir。Palantir 没有遵循技术分析。我记得卖了一些备兑期权合约，以为它们会回到160或170的均值水平，就我所能回忆的。这短暂发生了，但它又跳到了历史最高水平。
现在，它开始遵循技术分析了。这个卖出信号在这里，213。股票在卖出信号处明显下跌。我认为它很可能再次在第五水平反弹，也就是162。我们目前在170。让我们查一下实时价格。172.5。
今天它跌到了164。所以是的，它又在回升的路上了。这是在完全抛售见顶的情况下。如果我们切换到更短的时间框架，比如两小时，我们就能看到回归均值有多显著。你看到这个向均值2.3个标准差的急剧偏离了吗？
那就是你的信号，好吗？它已经超过6个月没有见过如此强烈的抛售了。当你这样做……让我们运行反向测试。为什么它不工作？让我们说清楚，我喜欢进攻性或非常进攻性的设置。这应该是“Live Ho”，我总是用“Live Ho”60 60。
所以你进入第一笔交易，然后如果它再跌一点就再次买入。你感觉很好。但这是回归均值的反向测试，不是吗？84.8%的时候。我们到了。而且我们实际上有，让我们看得更远一些。你上一次在回归均值中得到2.3是什么时候？
那是在2026年3月。所以，这是 Palantir 自2026年3月以来见过的最超卖的状况。你可以押注它。
Balantir. Palantir did not adhere to technical analysis. I remember selling some covered option contracts thinking they would return to their average level of 160 or 170, as far as I can recall.
This happened briefly, but it jumped again to its highest level ever. Now, she is committed to technical analysis. This sell signal is here, at 213. The stock clearly dropped at the sell signal.
I think it's likely to bounce back at the fifth level again, which is 162. We're currently at 170. Let's check the real-time. 172.5. Today it dropped to 164. So yes, it is on its way to recovery again.
This is in the case of a complete sell-off peak. If we move to a shorter time frame, such as two hours, we will be able to see how significant the return to the average is. Do you see this sharp deviation towards the mean of 2.3 standard deviations?
That's your signal, okay? It hasn't seen such intense selling for more than 6 months. When you do... and let's run the reverse test. Why isn't it working? Let's make this clear, I like the offensive or very offensive setup.
This should be "Live Ho", I always use "Live Ho" 60 60. So you enter your first trade, then buy again if it drops a little further. You get a good feeling. But this is a reverse test of returning to the average, isn't it?
84.8% of the time. Here we are. And we actually have, let's look further afield. When was the last time you got a 2.3 in Return to Average? That was in March 2026. Well, so this is the most oversold condition Palantir has seen since March 2026. You can bet on it.
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