$PLTR · Invest with Henry · 2026-11-04
Palantir按当前价格非常昂贵，其市盈率没有像预期那样快速下降；在200美元以上买入并不合理。说话者仍长期乐观，认为可能出现向186的技术性反弹，但只想在165美元买入，因此短期持谨慎态度。
逐段跳播
抱歉，但 Palantir 非常贵，在这个视频里我会告诉你为什么。我现在不太喜欢的一只股票是 Palantir。长期来看我对它乐观，但短期来看我不喜欢 Palantir 当前的价格。
I'm sorry, but Palantir is very expensive, and in this video I'll show you why. One stock I'm not really liking right now is Palantir. I'm optimistic about it in the long term, but in the short term I don't like Palantir's current price.
首先，我们稍微讨论一下 Palantir 的技术分析。Palantir 的第三季度财报已经发布了。很棒，对吧？但是，他们没能揭示投资者想要的东西。他们没能给投资者想要的披萨上的番茄酱。酱太少了，味道也不够，你知道吗？
First, let's discuss a little about Palantir's technical analysis. Palantir's third-quarter earnings report has been released. Great, right? But, they could not reveal what the investors wanted.
They couldn't give investors the tomato sauce they wanted on their pizza. There was too little sauce and it didn't have enough flavor, you know?
看 Palantir，我只在我的 Discord 社区里处于获利了结的立场。我说如果它超过每股200美元，最好远离它。禁区。当其他人在做关于 Palantir 的视频并热情高涨时，我说“不”。
在200美元以上买入是不合理的，因为我之前说过，在每股109美元时这只股票非常便宜且有价值。
Looking at Palantir, I was only in a position to take profits in my Discord community. I said if it's over $200 per share, it's better to stay away from it. No go zone. While others were making videos about Palantir and were enthusiastic, I said 'no'.
It is not reasonable to buy above $200, because I said earlier that at $109 per share this stock was very cheap and valuable.
我做了那个跳跃期权，我社区里的每个人都赚了很多钱。然后，当 Palantir 超过200美元时，我对它失去了兴趣。而且我不得不缴很多税。我缴了很多税，因为我退出了这只股票。
I took the leap option, everyone in my community made a lot of money. And then, when Palantir went past $200 , I lost interest in it. And I had to pay a lot of taxes. I paid a lot of taxes because I got out of the stock.
我目前对 Palantir 的立场是，我想重新买入这只股票。这不是一只坏股票。我只是认为它现在的价格不是最好的。好，所以我目前的计划是一个165美元的看跌期权。我有20个将于11月20日到期的卖出订单。
我的目标是投资 Palantir，而且我很高兴价格在下跌，因为我希望它跌到165美元。
My current position on Palantir is that I want to get back into this stock. This is not a bad stock. I just don't think it's at the best price right now. Okay, so my current plan is a $165 put option.
I have 20 sales orders that will expire on November 20th. My goal is to invest in Palantir , and I'm happy that the price is falling because I want it to drop to $165.
嗯，当我们在200美元以上卖出时，当我告诉我的社区“各位，我要退出了”时，有一点愧疚，因为我和这只股票在一起很久了。总之，把我的愧疚放在一边，现在这是正确的做法，好吗？我知道很多人喜欢 Palantir，我也仍然喜欢 Palantir。我只想以165美元买入它。
Well, when we sold above $200 , when I told my community, "Guys, I'm getting out of here," there was a little bit of guilt because I had been with this stock for a long time. Anyway , putting my guilt aside, this is the right move now, okay?
I know a lot of people love Palantir, and I still love Palantir. I only want to buy it for $165.
在这个阶段，这对我来说似乎不合逻辑，我也不想浪费那么多时间解释为什么。主要原因是，从根本上说，市盈率并没有那么好。它没有像我预期的那样快速下降。我从 Palantir 上市以来就一直在做关于它的视频。
我从它每股20美元时就持有它。我个人从 Palantir 上赚了超过50万美元。好，说到我的社区，我不知道他们总共赚了多少。但市盈率并没有真正达到我希望的水平。
It doesn't seem logical to me at this stage and I don't want to waste so much time explaining why. The main reason for this is that fundamentally the PE ratio is not that great.
It's not going down as fast as I expected. I have been making videos about Palantir since the IPO. I've had it since it was $20 a share. I have personally earned over $500,000 from Palantir.
Okay, and speaking of my community, I don't know how much they collectively earn. But the PE ratio is not really getting to the level where I want it to be.
我们简单聊聊技术面。从技术上看，按照布林带，它非常便宜。所以，如果 Palantir 的价格上涨，我不会感到意外。它可能还会再涨，我们在这里加一条移动平均线。我打开指标，设置一下移动平均线。
移动平均线是186。所以，这只股票大概率可能回到186，因为那原本就是它所在的位置。
Let's briefly talk about technical issues. Well, technically speaking, it is very cheap according to Bollinger Bands. So, I wouldn't be surprised to see Palantir's price increase.
It might go up again, well, let's add a moving average here. Let me go to the indicator. Let's set the moving average. The moving average is 186. So, the stock could probably go back to 186 because that's where it was originally.
有一个概念叫均值回归。通常，一只股票会回归到它的均值，也就是它交易价格的平均值。你可以把它比作一个不断撒谎的人，你不想再和他做朋友了。他们说：“我变了，我变了。”也许他们并没有变。
骗子永远是骗子，对吧？但你明白我的意思，对吧？或者就像，比如说一个懒惰的人。如果一个人很懒，然后说：“哦，我现在很勤奋了。”这很好，但如果他们第二天又说我不再懒了，那么克服懒惰需要的不止一天。
这是我手头最好的例子。也许不是最好的例子。我在这里想说的是，均值回归意味着某个东西会保持在它的平均值附近。平均而言应该发生的事大概率会发生。不会有太大变化。所以，当像 Palantir 这样一家优质公司变化太大时，它很可能会回归到它的均值。
There is a thing called mean reversion. Typically, a stock returns to its mean , the average of the prices at which it is trading. You can compare it to a person who constantly lies and you don't want to be friends with them anymore.
They say, "I have changed. I have changed." And perhaps they haven't changed. A liar is always a liar, right ? But you understand what I'm saying, right? Or it's like, let's say a lazy person.
If someone is lazy and says, "Oh, I'm so hardworking now." That's good, but if they say the next day that I'm not lazy anymore, then it takes more than a day to overcome laziness.
This was the best of the examples I had. Maybe not the best example. What I mean here is that mean reversion means that something will stay close to its average. What is supposed to happen on average will probably happen.
Not much will change. So, when a good quality company like Palantir changes too much, it will likely revert to its mean.
好，那么根据移动平均线，这里的平均值或均值是186。我们比它低10美元。我认为 Palantir 可能上涨10美元。但我会卖出执行价为165和175的看跌期权。因为，让我打开 Palantir 的期权交易。
我给你们看看这些期权能有多值钱。我觉得11月来得有点太快了。现在让我转到12月。我想给你们看。然后我会讲 Google。那么，我们去看卖出看跌期权，转到12月18日。好吗？所以，如果我卖出175的期权，你会看到它把我的平均成本降到每股163美元。
这就是卖出看跌期权的力量。即使你以完全当前的价格卖出看跌期权，也就是 Palantir 正好在175美元时，它的隐含波动率也非常高。让我展开讲讲这个期权。这个隐含波动率是51。
这太高了。不是太高，而是更高。这很好。这太棒了。隐含波动率越高，你收到的权利金就越高。
Okay , so based on the moving average, the average or mean here is 186. We are $10 below that. I think Palantir could go up to $10. But I will sell put options at strike prices of 165 and 175.
And because, well, let me go to Palantir's options trade. I'll show you how valuable these options can be. And I think November is coming a little too soon. Let me now move on to December.
I want to show you. Then I will talk about Google. So, let's go to the sell put option and go to December 18th. Okay? So, if I sell the 175 option, you'll see that it brings my average cost down to $163 per share.
This is the power of selling put options. Even if you sell a put option at the exact current price, where Palantir is at exactly $175 , its implied volatility is very high. Let me expand on this option.
This implied volatility is 51. That's too much. Not too much, but more. This is good. This is wonderful. The higher the implied volatility, the higher the premium you will receive.
所以，我在 Palantir 上看到的是高隐含波动率，这是一个平值期权。我收到的权利金如此之多，以至于如果被行权，我的实际平均成本会是163。所以，Cal Min，这个，你知道，我现在就开仓。
像其他所有 YouTuber 一样，我不只是说说，我实际操作。他们光说，甚至不给你看。即使有人给他们看，他们自己也不做。所以，让我们比那些展示自己投资组合的人更进一步。我更进一步。
我现在宁愿用一些真金白银。我要做10份合约。我很好地完成这10份合约。我要11.95美元，我将赚大约12,000美元。我保留了相当大的一笔保证金。所以，每当我做辅导时，我会和拥有小型、中型或大型投资组合的人合作。
当然，我更喜欢和拥有超过25,000美元的人合作，因为更多的钱会为你做更多的事。所以，这总是好的。但没错，我在这里签了10份协议。我拿到了那12,000美元。我明白。我的投资组合很大，所以从一笔交易中赚12,000美元对我来说并不难，但我是在向你们展示，你也可以通过这样思考来成长，对吧？
So, what I see in Palantir is high implied volatility, it's an 'at the money' option. I'm getting paid so much that if I were assigned, my effective average cost would be 163. So, Cal Min, this is, you know, I'm going to open it up right now.
Like all other YouTubers, I don't just talk, I work. They talk, but do n't even show you. Even if someone shows them , they don't do it themselves. So, let's go one step further than those who show their portfolios.
I go up one step. I'd rather use some real money right now. I'm going for 10 contracts. I am completing these 10 contracts very well. I'm going for $11.95 and I'm going to make about $12,000.
I am keeping a fairly large deposit. So, whenever I coach, I work with people with small, medium, or large portfolios. Of course, I prefer to work with people who have more than $25,000, because having more money does more work for you.
So, that's always good. But yes, I have signed 10 agreements here. I got that 12 thousand dollars. I understand. My portfolio is large, so it's not difficult for me to earn 12 thousand from one trade, but I'm showing you that you can also grow by thinking this way, right?
所以，当你看到我开的仓位时，情况是这样的。如果 Palantir 在1.75。我就在那里。我就在那里。我 literally 差10美分，差9美分。我差9美分。Palantir 差8美分。
Palantir 在175.09。我不认为这是现在最好的价值。我认为它可能再次反转，但我是一个保守的投资者。我试图做的，而且经常为我自己做，尤其是因为我已经退休了，当我与想要退休的人合作时，我专注于在获得高收入与不承担过多风险之间取得正确的平衡。
那么，我能买入 Palantir 的看涨期权吗？当然可以。看涨期权能翻倍吗？能。这并不意味着它一定会发生，对吧？所以，与其试图猜测可能发生什么，或者做一些有风险或危险的事情，比如短期买入看涨期权，我宁愿通过卖出看跌期权来收取一些权利金，并被行权到我选择的股票上。
即使我不太喜欢这个价格，我得到了更低的价格，因为我卖出了看跌期权，所以基本上我可以以更低的价格买入，对吧？所以，这就是 Palantir 的故事，简而言之。
So, here's what happens when you see the position I opened. If Palantir is at 1.75. I'm right there. I'm right there. I'm literally 10 cents away, 9 cents away. I'm 9 cents away.
Palantir is 8 cents away. Palantir is at 175.09. I do n't think this is the best value right now. I think it could turn around again, but I'm a conservative investor. What I'm trying to do, and often for myself , especially since I'm retired, and when I work with people who want to retire, I focus on the right balance of getting a high income without taking on too much risk.
So, can I buy call options on Palantir? Of course. Can a call option be doubled ? Can. That doesn't mean it will happen , right? So, instead of trying to guess what might happen or doing something risky or dangerous like buying a call option in the short term , I would rather collect some premium by selling a put option and get assigned to the stock of my choice.
Even if I don't like it very much at this price , I get a lower price because I'm selling a put option, so basically I can buy it at a lower price, right? So, that's the Palantir story in a nutshell.
就 Palunktier 而言，隐含波动率是51。这是一个很大的差异。这真的是一个很大的差异，不是吗？
In the case of Palunktier, the implied volatility is 51. This is a big difference. That's a really big difference, isn't it?
这个频道对 $PLTR 的历次判断
Invest with Henry 在这只股票上共 9 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。