纳斯达克(QQQ)技术面强劲、动能积极且近期创出新高,但因日线周期已成熟,面临短期见顶风险。
逐段跳播
我们将讨论为什么这对股票很重要,然后我们会在高收益债券和罗素指数中跟踪这一关系,在那里我们看到的技术面损伤远大于标普和纳斯达克指数中所看到的。
We will discuss why this is important for stocks, and then we will follow this relationship in high-yield bonds and the Russell index, where we have seen much greater technical damage than we have seen in the S&P and Nasdaq indices.
纳斯达克指数更加强劲。我们接下来就看它。这是纳斯达克指数的周线图。周线结构仍然具有建设性,价格保持在所有重要的周均线上方,并在本周向新的历史高点迈进。这里的延伸区域包含上一轮周期中一个非常重要的周期高点,以及一些重要的月线斐波那契水平。
所以总体来看,在这张周线图上,我们仍然拥有上行动能。我们指数的动能是正面的,没有出现像我们在罗素指数中看到的那种崩塌。
The Nasdaq index is even stronger. We'll take a look at it next. Here is the weekly chart for the Nasdaq index. The weekly structure remains constructive with the price staying above all significant weekly averages and moving towards a new record high this week.
This extension area here contains a very important cycle peak from the previous cycle and also some important monthly Fibonacci levels. So overall on this weekly chart we still have upward momentum.
Our index's momentum is positive and there is no collapse similar to what we saw in the Russell index.
我们现在转向日线图。因此,这显然仍是主要指标中最强的一个。它今天早些时候创下约31,018的新历史高点,即使从该水平回落之后,它仍稳稳守在上升的“Slim”柱上方,并远高于其89日移动均线。
短期动能是正面的。这里有一个反映探测器,根据动能将我们的K线染成红色、绿色或灰色。自9月中旬以来它一直保持正面,我们的反转探测器也显示动能正面。但就像标普500一样,这是一个成熟的日线周期。我们正走向一个必须警惕出现顶部的可能性的区域。
We will now move on to the daily chart. Therefore, this clearly remains the strongest among the major indicators. It reached a new record high of around 31,018 earlier today, and even after retreating from that level, it is still holding steady above the rising "Slim" bar and well above its 89-day moving average.
The short-term momentum is positive. Here is a reflection detector that colors our candles red, green, or gray depending on the momentum. It has remained positive since mid- September, and our reversal detector also shows positive momentum.
But just like the S&P 500, this is a mature daily cycle. We are moving towards an area where we must be vigilant for the possibility of a peak.
这个频道对 $QQQ 的历次判断
Steve Miller 在这只股票上共 3 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。