$QQQ

QQQ 趋势已转跌,他已退出 QQQ,并建议投资者眼下回避科技股;只有在纳斯达克找到底部或市场企稳之后,他才可能重新做多。若收盘跌破 660,QQQ 可能下探至约 555。

看跌
《Panic Selling Continues; Trader Dumps Stocks Before Next 20% Drop | Chris Vermeulen》
David Lin 发布 2026-10-16 · 6 段内容
00:24/ —打开原视频

逐段跳播

6 段内容
0:2412:17

如果 QQQ 在 660 附近被跌破,它可能会一路回落到大约 555。

If on the QQQ around 660 gets broken and it could come all the way back down to about 555.

我们这周平掉了一个 NASDAQ 头寸。所以我们退出了 QQQ。信不信由你,趋势今天或昨天在 NASDAQ 上确实发生了变化。我们现在实际上已经是负趋势,NASDAQ 处于下行趋势,也就是说你现在根本不想持有科技股。

We we closed out a NASDAQ position this week. So we got out of the QQQ. believe it or not the trend actually changed uh today or yesterday on this on the NASDAQ. We're actually now have a negative trend, a trend down for the NASDAQ, meaning you don't want to hold technology stocks at all right now.

如果股市,比如 NASDAQ,走强并可能开始上涨,我们可能会做多,顺势吃下下一波上涨。但我们不会一直持有,因为从我们跟踪 NASDAQ 的技术面来看,它实际上在告诉我们资金正在流出。趋势向下,这东西可能会以相当大的幅度继续调整。

If the stock market, like the NASDAQ, firms up and potentially starts to go higher, we may get long and and ride it for that next leg. But we are not going to hold it because technically based on how we follow the NASDAQ, it is actually telling us that money is now flowing out.

The trend is down and this thing could continue to correct in a fairly big way.

是的。所以我们退出了,我们就在这个位置退出了。我们基本上就是在它现在所在的位置退出的,因为我们不想持有,因为趋势可能已经改变了方向,或者它可能会长时间横盘震荡。所以我们干脆就离场观望了。

Yeah. So we got out we got we got out right here. We we got out pretty much right where it is right now because we don't want to hold it because the trend has potentially changed direction and it or it might trade sideways for a long time. So we simply have stepped aside on that.

所以这告诉我们,这是 NASDAQ 的日线图。它告诉我们新的上升趋势何时开始,也告诉我们新的下降趋势何时开始。我们现在就处在这个位置。我们的策略在说:“嘿,出于某种原因,基于价格走势、动能、资金流向、市场情绪,我们的策略在说,避开 NASDAQ,这某种程度上是一个科技股判断,意思是现阶段远离科技股,因为它将会举步维艰。”

So this tells us this is a daily chart of the NASDAQ. Tells us when a new uptrend has started, tells us when a new downtrend has started. And that's where we are right now. Our strategy is saying, "Hey, for some reason based based on price action, momentum, money flows, sentiment, our strategy is saying, steer clear of the NASDAQ, which is, you know, kind of a technology call saying stay away from technology at this point because it's uh going to be struggling."

让 NASDAQ 先找到一个底部,然后我们才想再次做多,只是为了保护本金。嗯,我觉得,看 NASDAQ 的话,如果我们跌破这个低点,这是图上非常明显的一个枢轴低点。但它是一个重要的水平。

我不知道它在回撤位上处于什么位置。我其实没怎么看过,但事情通常会大致吻合。所以,如果我们看看这一整波上涨,你可以看到这恰好是一个 50% 回撤。所以,如果它跌破 50%,那将会相当看空。

你其实不希望回调超过 50% 这个点。它也恰好是我们在交易开始时锁定部分利润的一个点位。当然,它也是一个枢轴低点。所以,这是一个非常技术性的水平,如果 QQQ,呃,这个大概在 660 附近被跌破,并且收在它下方,它可能会一路回落到大约 555。

所以,这里有很多潜在的下行空间,我们需要意识到。

let the NASDAQ find a bottom before we want to get long again, you know, u just to protect the capital. Well, I I think I think like if looking at the NASDAQ, if we were to break this low, it's a very obvious pivot low on the chart. uh but it's it's a significant level.

I don't know where that falls in terms of the retracement. I haven't really looked at it, but things usually kind of align. So, if we take a look at this overall move to the upside, you can see this happens to be a 50% retracement.

So, if it breaks 50%. That is going to that's going to be fairly bearish. You don't really want a pullback to go beyond the 50% point. It's also it also happens to be a point where we locked in some some partial profits when the trade started.

And of course, it's also it's also a pivot low. So, this is a very technical level that if on the QQQ uh what is this around 660 gets broken and it closes below it, it could come all the way back down to about 555 there.

So, there's there's a lot of potential downside we need to be aware of here.

跨洋听风