Rivian 自 8 月以来从 17 美元跌至 13.75 美元后处于超卖状态（RSI 31.85），正第六次测试自 2024 年 4 月以来的平行通道底部，此处向下破位的可能性略大；在 10 月 29 日财报前预计会出现反弹，但可能先小幅下探至 13.51 美元，上行目标为 1553–1575。
逐段跳播
我们先从 Rivian 说起，它很快就会公布财报。但我们来看看 Rivian 最近的情况，自8月以来，它的股价已从17美元暴跌至13.75美元。
Let's start with Rivian, which will announce its earnings soon. But let's see what's been happening with Rivian lately , since August, when its stock price has plummeted from $17 to $13.75.
现在看这条长期平行通道。这条通道始于2024年4月，已经触底一次、两次、三次、四次、五次。这是第六次。目前两种可能性大致相当，突破这一区域略占优势。
Now look at this long- term parallel channel. This channel started in April 2024, and hit the bottom once, twice, three times, four times, five times. This is the sixth time. Now, the odds are roughly equal, with a slight advantage to breaking through this zone.
但各位，我们正处于超卖区域，日线相对强弱指数即将跌破30点关口，目前为31.85。
But guys, we are in an oversold zone , about to cross the 30- point threshold on the daily Relative Strength Index, which is currently at 31.85.
所以，我认为在 Rivian 这笔具体的交易中，尽管我们现在预期会出现反弹，但我们本质上处于一条需要谨慎的道路上。我预计会小幅下跌，价格有可能下探并触及13.51美元。
So, what I think will happen in this particular deal with Rivian, even though we are expecting a bounce now, is that we are essentially on a cautionary path. I expect a slight decrease with the possibility of the price dropping and touching the $13.51 mark .
现在让我给大家展示即将公布的财报结果，让你们也有所了解，因为在财报公布前价格大幅下跌时，10月29日将发布的任何利好消息都可能推高股价，带来强劲反弹。
Now let me show you the upcoming earnings results so that you are also aware of them, because when the price drops sharply before the earnings announcement, any good news that will be released on October 29 is likely to raise the price and give it a strong rebound.
那么，这张图上的这次反弹会把我们带向哪里？让我展示给你们看。我会使用趋势线，回到之前的枢轴点，画一条趋势线连到那个枢轴点，然后立即连接到下一个枢轴点。你可以看到股价如何突破这一区域，甚至再次突破，然后回落，突破这一水平，但最终向上走高。
Now, where will this bounce on this chart lead us? Let me show you. I will use trend lines, go back to the previous pivot points, draw a trend line to that pivot point, and then connect it to the next pivot point immediately.
You can see how the stock price breaks through this area, and even breaks through it again, then bounces back, breaks through this level, but ultimately heads upwards.
这是附近的目标位之一。我会解释这张图，让你们看得更清楚。如你所见，大约在1572水平处有一个“X”标记。我预计，如果 Rivian 的股价从这个当前位于1374的平行水平回落，或下跌至1351，这次潜在反弹可能把我们推升至1553至1575区间，也就是趋势线开始收敛的位置。
This is one of the nearby destinations. I will explain the graph so that you can see it better. As you can see, there is an "X" mark approximately at the 1572 level. I expect that if Rivian's stock price bounces down from this parallel level, currently at 1374, or down to 1351, this potential bounce could push us up to the 1553 to 1575 range, where the trend lines begin to converge.
这是一个绝佳的机会。如你所见，Rivian 的股价长期维持在这个平行区间内，并且两年多来一直从该区间底部强劲反弹。所以，这是一个有意思的投资机会，未来几天我会特别关注它。
This is an excellent opportunity. As you can see, Rivian's stock price has remained within this parallel range for a long time, and has made strong bounces from the bottom of this range for more than two years.
So, it is an interesting investment opportunity , and I will pay special attention to it in the coming days.
观察点
这个频道对 $RIVN 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。