RKLB 正接近关键支撑位，暗示可能出现反弹；看多观点预计价格将上行并突破 70 美元。
逐段跳播
我们将讨论一个我在 Rocket Lab 上看到的交易方案，我会做一点技术分析。
we'll discuss a trade setup I saw on Rocket Lab and I'll do a little technical analysis.
好，各位，我正在看 Rocket Lab。代码是 RKLB。我希望大家放大看这条向下倾斜的趋势线。好吗？作为一名逆向交易者，我看到价格在上涨，但正在缓慢回落。自7月底以来，我们一直看到价格持续处于下行趋势。
所以，我认为 Rocket Lab 现在正寻求在接近一些重要支撑位时反转。
Okay guys, I'm looking at Rocket Lab. The ticker is RKLB. I want you all to zoom in on this downward sloping trend line. Okay? As a contrarian trader, I see that prices are rising, but they are slowly coming down.
We have been seeing a continuous downward trend in prices since the end of July. So, I think Rocket Lab is now looking to turn around as it approaches some important support levels.
这里有两条从这轮下跌中延伸出来的上升趋势线，好吗？这一条来自2025年4月7日。它有一、二、三、四、五个触点。所以，这是一条有效的趋势线。我们要确保这些趋势线至少有三次触点。有时它们会像这样被击穿并跌出去，但第二天又会恢复过来。这强化了我的趋势线。
I have two upward trend lines coming out of the downtrend here , okay? This one is from April 7, 2025. It has one, two, three, four, five hits. So, this is a working trend line.
We want to make sure that these trend lines have at least three hits. Sometimes they break through like this and come out , but they recover again the next day. This strengthens my trend line.
回到我对支撑位的讨论，这里有一个来自2025年7月17日的水平枢轴顶部，正好与这里的价格走势相交。如你所见，它很快就会更接近价格。我们甚至可能在周五的盘中交易中触及这一水平。所以，那两条支撑趋势线在约63美元至65美元处汇聚，而 Rocket Lab 现在在67美元。
我认为这将会出现一次大幅反弹，好吗？作为一名逆向交易者，这正走向一个关键的多因素支撑位。我的看涨观点是，它理应向上推进。在这种情况下，我认为我们可以突破70美元。但是，这条趋势线会在哪里限制我们？
就在这里，抱歉。我认为一旦这条趋势线被突破，动能就会停止，大约在73美元至74美元。所以，我正试图利用这段利润空间做一个期权交易。
Returning to my discussion of support levels , there is a horizontal pivot top from July 17, 2025, intersecting the price action right here. As you can see, it is getting closer to the price very soon.
We can even reach this level in Friday's intraday trading. So, those two support trend lines are converging at around $63 to $65, and Rocket Lab is now at $67. I think this is going to get a big bounce , okay?
As a contrarian trader , this is moving towards a key multi-factor support level. My bullish view is that it deserves a push to the upside. In this case, I think we can cross $70.
But, where will this trend line limit us? Right here, sorry about that. I think the momentum will stop once this trend line is broken, around $73 to $74. So, I'm trying to make an options play by taking advantage of that profit space.
我想弄清楚的是 Rocket Lab 何时开始放弃上行。所以，当我们往回看时，它非常不稳定。作为一名技术分析师，这并没有给我一个非常重要的水平。是的，我们在这里上涨了，但我们仍然回落到15美元的水平。
好。从这个低点，从这里开始，Rocket Lab 变了。那时它开始像火箭一样向上攀升。现在，我们已经开始向上攀升。你可以看到价格正在尊重这些彩色线条。你看它上来并停在这条线上。
它上来了，并不完全完美，但总体来看你可以看到它在遵循这些水平。
What I'm trying to understand is when Rocket Lab starts to surrender upwards. So, when we go back , it's very unstable. As a technician, this does n't give me a very important level.
Yes, we went up here, but we still came back down to the $15 level. Okay. From this low, from here, Rocket Lab has changed. That's when it started to rise upwards like a rocket.
Now, we have started to climb upwards. You see that the price is respecting these colored lines. You see it coming up and resting on this line. It's coming up and not quite perfectly, but overall you can see it's following these levels.
所以，我们在 Rocket Lab 上有一个看涨的布局，因为它正向下走向支撑。我认为我们至少可以突破70的行权价，也许是73至74，然后看看能否从中获利。
So, we have a bullish setup on Rocket Lab as it is moving down towards support. I think we can get past at least 70 strikes , maybe 73 to 74 , and see if we can make a profit from there.
不过，今天我们关注的是 Rocket Lab。好。所以，我正在看 Rocket Lab 的一个看涨期权方案。而且，价格只差几个百分点。所以，我不会为此买周度合约。你知道，我喜欢在这类事情上用稍长一点的时间框架。
However, today we are focusing on Rocket Lab. Okay. So, I'm looking at a call setup from Rocket Lab. And you know, the price is only a few percent off. So, I won't take a weekly contract for this.
You know I like a little longer timeframe on these things.
目前，Rocket Lab 的标的资产价格为67美元。我们说过，Tabby，如果你还记得，那条将充当阻力的下降趋势线，我认为它不会涨到多高的价格之上？我想你说的是67。嗯，75。
哦，等等。不，是的。我记的是75、74，接近那个区域。75，我搞错了。
And currently, Rocket Lab's underlying price is at $67. We said, Tabby, if you remember, that downward trendline that would act as resistance, I didn't think it would go above how much price ?
I think you said 67. Um 75. Oh, wait. No, yes. I have 75, 74, near that area. 75, I made a mistake.
好，没问题。所以，我不认为价格……我原本以为75的行权价像一堵墙。嗯。不过，70的行权价就在那里，根据我们的技术分析，我们认为可以在这个水平获得反弹，而70到74或75的区域将是我们的利润口袋。我们将尝试从这里获利。
Okay, no problem. So, I don't think the price...I assumed the 75 strike was like a wall. Hmm. However, the 70 strike is there and according to our technical analysis , we think we can get a bounce at this level and the area from 70 to 74 or 75 will be our profit pocket. We will try to make a profit from here.
那些70行权价的 delta 是0.49。我非常喜欢。所以，我们获得了不错的敞口。如果我们朝我们的方向获得一次好的反弹，我们应该会处于价内。而且我们需要确保有流动性。
We have a delta of 0.49 on those 70 strikes. I like it very much. So, we are getting good exposure. If we get a good bounce in our direction, we should be in-the-money. And we need to make sure we have liquidity.
除此之外，这对买方来说很方便，因为 IV 百分位只有4%。这对期权买方来说是一个便宜的环境。而且我们不是在逆势而为。不，我们不是在逆势。今天，我们的看跌看涨比率是0.49。哦，太好了。所以，趋势现在是看涨的。这真的很好。
And on top of that, it's convenient for buyers because the IV percentile is coming in at 4 percent. This is a cheap environment for option buyers. And we are not fighting against trends.
No, we are not fighting. Today, our put-call ratio is 0.49. Oh, great. So, the trend is now bullish. This is really good.
对于那个交易图表和 Rocket Lab，这是我们的看涨期权方案，它对买方非常有用，这对我们来说是好事。看涨期权的行权价是70美元。到期日是42天后，大约是感恩节前后。IV（IV）为4%，这意味着对买方来说波动率非常便宜。
看跌看涨比率为0.44，表明今天是一个看涨头寸。趋势是看涨的，这意味着对我们来说真的很好。这之所以有效，是因为低 IV 加上看涨趋势，以及看涨期权一侧的重仓。我的意思是，在这一点上这是一个非常容易的决定。
For that trade graphic and Rocket Lab, this is our call setup and it's very useful for buyers, which is great for us. The strike price for the call was $70. The expiration date is 42 days later, which is around Thanksgiving.
IV (IV) is at 4 percent, which means it is very cheap volatility for buyers. The put-call ratio is 0.44, indicating a bullish position today. The trend is bullish, which means it's really good for us.
The reason this works is that there is a low IV with a bullish trend and a heavy position on the call side. I mean, it's a very easy decision at this point.
这个频道对 $RKLB 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。