RSP 相对标普 500 下跌约 7%(标普为 2%);若进一步走弱,可在 205 美元附近买入;预计随着小盘股反弹、超大盘股停滞,RSP 将跑赢大盘。
逐段跳播
这是RSP,也就是等权重的标普500 ETF。现在看看这个惊人的位置。我发现它的时候,简直不可思议。当我发现这些东西时,就像是在沙里淘金一样。这里有一个前枢轴点。看看这个高点、高点、高点和高点。
这实际上是一个小的反向头肩形态。它突破了。它在这里形成了一个小缺口。在这个205、20470的位置有一个尚未回补的缺口。此外,看看这个。如果我们从这个低点到这个高点做斐波那契回撤,50%回撤位与那个位置完美重合。
所以,我在图表中寻找的其中一件事就是多个因素重合。在这个案例中,我们有一个前阻力枢轴点,在突破前多次触及,这就是一次回撤。这将是回到犯罪现场式的回撤。在同一个位置,我们有一个缺口回补,还有一个斐波那契50%回撤,全都在同一个位置。
So, this is your RSP, which is your equal weight S&P 500 ETF. Now, look at this amazing level. I discovered it was it was absolutely incredible. When I find these things, it's like finding a diamond in the rough type situation.
You have this former pivot right here. Look at the high, high, high, and high. This was actually a little inverse head and shoulders. It broke out. It formed a little gap right here.
There's a gap that hasn't been filled right at this 205 20470 level. In addition, look at this. If we do my Fibonacci retrace from this low to this high, the 50% retrace aligns perfectly with that level.
So, one of the things I look for in the charts is when multiple factors align. In this case, we have a former resistant pivot, multiple hits before it broke out, which is a retrace.
This would be a retrace to the scene of the crime. At that same level, we have a gap fill and we have a Fibonacci 50% retrace all at the same level.
你可以看到这是等权重的。所以它受到了重创,因为记住,那是等权重,意味着一家小型标普公司与Nvidia权重相同。这向我们展示的是,我们现在基本上较历史高点下跌了7%,而普通标普只下跌了2%。
我在看的是,如果我们再出现一点疲软,基本上跌到205,那将是买入等权重的位置。或者你可以从另一个角度看,说:“嘿,我要买入那些被打击的标普成分股。它们应该会反弹,而大型科技股可能实际上会停滞。”
也就是说,标普实际上可能会停滞一点。我认为除非我们跌破那条中性线,否则它不会跌太多,但等权重总体上应该会跑赢。只是一个值得关注的位置,各位。非常、非常有意思。
And you can see this is the equal weight. So, it's gotten hammered because remember that's equal waiting, meaning one small S&P company is equal to Nvidia. This is what it shows us is that we're now down basically 7% off the all-time highs while the regular S&P is just down 2%.
What I'm looking at is if we get a little bit more weakness basically to 205, this would be the level to pick up the equal weight. Or you could take it from another perspective and say, "Hey, I'm going to buy the beaten down S&P names.
They should bounce back and maybe the mega caps actually stall out." Meaning the S&P could actually stall a little bit. I don't think it goes down much unless we break that neutral line, but the equal weight should outperform overall.
Just a level to watch, folks. Very, very interesting.
观察点
这个频道对 $RSP 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。