SCHD 是一只具吸引力的基础型股息 ETF;配置约 25%。其收益率约 3.5%(最高 4.2%),10 年股息复合年增长率约 11%,5 年约 7.23%,采用较低者。分散度广(约 100 只持仓),年度成分股调整可缓解估值风险。适合收益与股息增长需求。
逐段跳播
我们投资组合中的第一笔投资将是一笔基础性投资,它在收益型投资群体中非常受欢迎,那就是 SCHD。我们将把投资组合约25%的资金,也就是25万美元,配置到它上面。
our first investment in the portfolio will be a foundational investment, which is very popular in the income community, and that is SCHD. We will allocate about 25% of the portfolio, or $250,000, to it.
如果我们回顾 SCHD 的历史表现,从股息率的角度来看,它过去5年的平均基础收益率大约在3.5%左右,有时会升到4.2%。不过,从历史来看,3.5%算是一个大致的平均水平。
If we look at SCHD historically, what we see from a dividend yield perspective is that its average primary yield over the last 5 years has been around 3.5%, and at times it has gone up to 4.2%.
However, 3.5 % is considered a rough average historically.
所以,我们会按3.5%的收益率来测算这笔配置,这意味着这笔投资在第一年大约能带来8750美元的收益。当然,这正是 SCHD 历史上一直表现出色的地方。为什么呢?因为看看那个股息增长率就知道了。
我们可以看到,SCHD 每年都在持续提高其股息派发。
So, we would apply a 3.5% yield to that allocation, which means that this investment would yield roughly $8,750 in the first year. And of course, this is where SCHD has historically been successful.
Why? Because take a look at that dividend growth rate. We can see that SCHD continues to increase their dividend payments every year.
10年股息复合年增长率约为11%,5年增长率约为7.23%。
The 10-year dividend CAGR is around 11% and the 5- year rate is around 7.23%.
所以,我们会取这两个数字中较小的那个,因为我认为,即使他们能够以更快的速度增长股息,我们的目标也不是过于乐观。
So, we'll take the smaller of these two numbers , because I think that even if they are able to grow the dividend at a faster rate , our goal is not to be overly optimistic.
所以没错,SCHD 的初始股息率很棒,股息增长率也非常出色,而且由于它是一只 ETF,你还能获得额外分散化的好处。我们可以看到,这只 ETF 大约持有100只股票。
So yes, SCHD's initial dividend yield is great, the dividend growth rate is excellent, and since it's an ETF, you get the benefit of additional diversification. We can see that there are roughly 100 holdings in this ETF.
而且它在行业分布上也非常分散。虽然这一切都是事实,但关于 SCHD 还有一件非常重要的事。我们知道,当前市场的估值正处于其历史上最高的水平之一。然而,SCHD 能够缓解许多估值风险。
and it is also very well diversified in terms of sectors. And while all of this is true, there is another very important thing about SCHD. We know that the market is currently trading at one of the highest valuation levels in its history. However, SCHD mitigates many valuation risks.
信不信由你,SCHD 在一定程度上降低了这种风险。为什么会这样呢?这主要归功于 SCHD 每年通过其流程所进行的重组。
Believe it or not, SCHD reduces this risk to some extent. Why does this happen ? This is mainly due to the restructuring that is carried out every year through the SCHD's procedures.
所以基本上,SCHD 有一个特定的股票池或股票范围。他们从道琼斯美国广泛股票市场指数中挑选股票,该指数不包括 REITs。此外还有一些基本的筛选流程,比如考察流动性、最低市值和股息派发历史。
So basically, SCHD has a specific stock universe or range of shares. They select their stocks from the Dow Jones US Broad Stock Market Index, which does not include REITs. There are also some basic screening processes , such as looking at liquidity, minimum market cap, and dividend payout history.
虽然有一些质量或质量验证方面的筛选,但我们需要特别注意的是:通过初选的优质股票会按年度股息率进行排名,只有排名前50%的股票才有资格被纳入。
Although there are some quality or quality verification screens , the thing we need to pay special attention to is. The best stocks that pass the preliminary selection are ranked based on annual dividend yield, and only the top 50 percent are eligible for selection.
但想一想,为这只 ETF 挑选股息率最高的股票,自然会产生什么结果。当一家公司的股价上涨速度快于其股息时,它的股息率就会下降。而由于 SCHD 所跟踪的指数筛选的是高于中位数的股息,并将股息纳入其综合排名,所以当一只股票的价格超过其股息派发时,它被纳入的竞争力就会下降。
But think about what naturally happens as a result of choosing the highest dividend- paying stocks for this ETF. When a company's share price increases faster than its dividend, its dividend yield decreases.
And since SCHD's underlying index screens for dividends above the median and includes dividends in its composite ranking. A stock becomes less competitive for inclusion when its price exceeds its dividend payout.
换句话说,如果一只股票的价格上涨速度远高于其整体股息率,这很可能意味着该股票的市盈率在下降。而由于他们每年都实施这一重组流程,SCHD 自然持有许多市盈率远低于标普500的股票。
In other words, if a stock's price is increasing at a rate much higher than its overall dividend yield , it most likely means that the stock's PE multiple is decreasing. And since they implement this restructuring process every year, SCHD naturally holds many stocks that have PE multiples much lower than the S&P 500.
所以像去年那样,当 SCHD 的股价涨幅超过25%时,我们很可能会在3月份的年度重组中看到许多股票被剔除出该基金,同时有新股票加入。
So in a year like last year , when SCHD saw a share price increase of more than 25 percent, we will likely see many stocks drop out of the fund and new ones join during the annual restructuring in March.
所以你看,从股息的角度、从股息增长的角度,甚至从缓解估值风险的角度来看——它都是股息投资组合中非常有吸引力的基础配置。无论你追求的是即时收益、股息增长,还是两者兼得。
So you see, from a dividend perspective, a dividend growth or dividend growth perspective, even from a valuation risk mitigation perspective— it's a very attractive foundation in a dividend portfolio.
Whether you're looking for immediate income, dividend growth, or both.
观察点
这个频道对 $SCHD 的历次判断
Dividendology 在这只股票上共 6 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。