SE 日线级别短期处于超卖，理应出现技术性反弹，可能测试 $100，但周线并未极度超卖，且近期已触及趋势线，因此存在进一步跌破的可能；关键斐波那契支撑位为 6965，策略会在该位置加仓，并等待回踩确认后再度上行。
逐段跳播
不过首先，SE 今天下跌了5.65%。跌幅不小。如果切到日线图，最近两个交易日都是相当不错的阴线，收盘正好落在一条重要的长期上升趋势线上。
Now, first off though, SE dropped 5.65% today. A decent decline. If we flip to the daily chart, last two trading days, pretty decent red candles closing right on a significant long-term inclining trend line.
但在这之前，我想先让你注意这条平行通道。注意看，当价格跌破这条平行通道后，我们停顿了四周，然后继续下跌，而这次跌破发生在本周，也就是今年3月。直到今年8月，我们才回抽到这条平行通道。
But first, before we get into that, I want to bring your attention to this parallel channel. Notice how when price broke down through this parallel, we paused for four weeks, broke down, and this week that we broke down here on March of this year.
We didn't retrace this parallel until August of this year.
所以你可以看到，你可能会预期这些回抽会快得多。很多情况下确实如此，但在 SE 这张图上，看看这次跌破花了多长时间才站稳脚跟、然后获得动能、一路回升到这条上升平行通道。
So, you can see, [clears throat] and you may anticipate these retraces to occur much faster. In a lot of cases, they do, but in this situation on the chart of SE, look how long it took for that breakdown to catch its footing and then gain traction and move right back up to the inclining parallel channel.
注意，我在这里标了两个阻力位。一个是今年1月的高点枢轴，另一个是平行通道，两者都非常有效。看那次回落，就像当年的 Kimbeay Matumbbo 摇着手指说：不行不行不行，今天不能进这条平行通道，于是价格直接掉头向下。
Now, notice I had two levels of resistance there. I had this pivot high from January of this year and the parallel channel, both of which worked like a charm. Look at that rejection like the Kimbeay Matumbbo from back in the day shaking that finger.
Uh uh uh not in that parallel channel today. instead coming straight down.
近期来看，这是一个超卖的局面，从时间周期上看也该有一次技术性反弹了，可能把我们带回100美元关口去测试。让我保持观望的一点是，它不久前才刚触及这条趋势线。而且，周线上我们并没有极度超卖。
日线上是超卖的，但如果你注意看这里，当价格在25.74的时候，我们当时也相当超卖，而那时的价格走势离当前价格并不算远。
Now, near-term, this is an oversold situation in a time count due for a technical bounce that could take us back up to test the $100 mark. The one thing that's keeping me at bay is just it touched this trend line not that long ago now.
And also, we're not extremely oversold on the weekly. We are on the daily, but if you notice back here, we were decently oversold at 25.74 when price action really wasn't that far away from where current price is.
这算是不错的背离，但这也告诉我，我们可能还会看到对那条趋势线再稍微多跌破一点，这就是为什么我标出下一个非常关键的位置，6965的斐波那契支撑位。
Now, that's some decent divergence, but that also tells me we could see a little bit more uh of a breach of that trend line, which is why I show this next very key level, Fibonacci level of support at 6965.
我大概率会这样制定策略：在枢轴低点附近进场，在6965附近加仓，等价格回抽图上现在可能成为第二条被跌破的上升趋势线，观察价格能否回升到那条趋势线所在的位置，就像先下探一下再直接涨回去，那可能就是你下一笔交易。
I'd likely plan in a strategy by getting in near the pivot lows, adding near 6965, waiting for price to retest what now could be the second broken inclining trend line on the chart to watch for a return back up to the scene of that trend line much like a dip and come right back up there and that could be your next upcoming trade.
这个频道对 $SE 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 2 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。