$SITM · Schwab Network · 2026-11-09
SITM 是一个被忽视的 AI 时钟/计时垄断者,也是极佳的长期机会:其时钟/计时内容对同步 AI 系统至关重要,每一代架构都需要更多计时内容,推理所需的每台 CPU 服务器计时内容可能接近三倍,光通信还扩大了机会;它提供不可或缺的工具,而无需在 AMD、Intel 或 ARM 之间做选择。数据中心业务增长超过 202%,ARR 超过 10 亿美元,毛利率为 71%。今日超过 11% 的涨幅突破了约 457 上方的下降趋势线;下一步回补 480 附近的缺口,更长线看 525/600,而 335 和随后的 305 是支撑位。
逐段跳播
Shay,我得告诉你,我对你在“三巨头”中的最新选择还不够熟悉。我选的是 SiTime,交易代码是 SITM,但你看今天的走势,它上涨了超过11%,逆势而行。所以,最后这两只股票之间有一点差别,它们在过去的五个交易日里表现负面、遭遇大量抛售。
而这只股票实际上涨了超过10%。那么,跟我们讲讲 SiTime,以及你是怎么发现它的,因为我认为这是一只在这里被忽视的潜力股。
Now, Shay , I must tell you that I am not sufficiently familiar with your latest choice among the Big Three. I have chosen SiTime. Its trading symbol is SITM, but when you look at today's movement, which rose by more than 11%, it bucked the trend .
Therefore, there is a slight difference here between the last two names, which performed negatively during the past five trading days with heavy selling. This stock, however, has actually risen by more than 10%.
So, tell us about SiTime and how you found it, because I contend that it is a potential stock that is being overlooked here .
是的,我是说,我说它是AI架构里的“采茶工”是在开玩笑,因为根本没人谈论这家公司,但为什么会这样呢?它是AI架构中最无聊的部分,但他们在自己的领域拥有垄断地位,因为现在AI正在形成的瓶颈与精确定时有关。
这就是 SiTime 做的事。你可以先用图形处理器(GPU)、中央处理器(CPU)、网络适配器和光链路搭建庞大的推理系统。每个组件都必须以极高的精度保持同步,否则整个系统就会失去效率。
所以,我把 SiTime 描述为本质上是人工智能内部的时钟。让这个论点对未来尤其有趣的是,每一代架构都会需要更多与时间相关的内容。上周我就看到了证据,SiTime 的数据中心业务板块增长了超过202%。
公司年度经常性收入(ARR)超过了10亿美元。毛利率也达到71%。所以,我认为未来真正有意思的地方在于,推理可能要求每台CPU服务器配备接近三倍的定时内容。而向光学的转变会进一步扩大这个机会。
所以,这简直就是人工智能这个巨大领域里的一个绝佳投资机会,如果你真的不想在 AMD、Intel 或 ARM 之间选出一个赢家,这就是一家为赢家提供必要工具的公司。我认为它是那种尚未被发现的公司之一,但他们在自己的领域拥有垄断地位,而且这种地位只会越来越明显。
Yes, I mean, I'm joking when I say it's the "tea pick" of AI architecture because nobody ever talks about this company, but why is that? It is the most boring part of the AI architecture, but they have a monopoly on what they do because the bottleneck that is now forming in AI is related to the timing of accuracy.
This is what SiTime does. You can start by building massive inference systems using graphics processing units (GPUs), central processing units (CPUs), network adapters, and optical links.
Each component must remain synchronized with extreme precision, otherwise the entire system will lose its efficiency. Therefore, I describe SiTime as essentially the clock inside artificial intelligence.
What makes this thesis particularly interesting for the future is that each generation of architecture will require more time-related content. I saw the evidence already last week when SiTime's data center segment grew by more than 202%.
The company exceeded $1 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR). The gross profit margins are also 71%. So, where I think it gets really interesting for the future is that inference may require nearly three times the timing content per CPU server.
While the shift towards optics increases the opportunity even further. So, this is simply a great investment opportunity in the huge field of artificial intelligence, and if you really don't want to choose a winner between AMD, Intel, or ARM, this is a company that provides the essential tools for winners.
I think it's one of those companies that hasn't been discovered yet, but they have a monopoly in their field, and it's only getting more pronounced.
好。所以,就是投资于基础工具。在我脑子里,它会永远被叫作“Shay Time”而不是“C Time”,这样我才记得住。但 Rick,当你从技术角度看这里的形态时,图表同样有些相似,通道稍宽一些。但你对 SiTime 究竟看到了什么?
Good. So, investing in the basic tools here. In my head, it will forever be called "Shay Time" instead of "C Time" just so I remember it . But Rick, when you look at the setup here from a technical point of view, again, the chart is somewhat similar with a slightly wider channel . But what exactly do you see for SiTime? exactly
这些图表重复着同样的场景。不过,这张图这里有一个明显的不同。不同之处在于,虽然我们再次看到较宽的通道形态,两者都向下倾斜,但蓝色的那条更陡的趋势线已经被今天的价格走势突破了。所以,这是一个有意思的变化。
因此,这条下降趋势线的突破也把我们推升到了这些前期低点以及随后高点之上,这些位置大约在457水平。对乐观者来说,下一步将是回补480附近的缺口,或许从那里再向上取得一些进展。长期来看,600这个水平也很突出。
还有525,作为一个相对高点。另一方面,向下看,335附近的相对低点是下行方向上值得注意的位置,乐观者会希望守住它。如果这个水平被跌破,那么305附近反复出现的底部将是下一个需要关注的支撑区。
至于移动平均线,我们已经上穿了深蓝色的5日指数移动平均线,它与这里的趋势线紧密吻合。所以,看起来向上突破已经在发生。429.28就是那条移动平均线所在的位置。接下来要关注的是接近479的蓝绿色月线。
这里的相对强弱指数,图表形态又惊人地相似。我们已经走出了抛售高峰区。在这种情况下,我们已经上穿了下降趋势线。现在在相对强弱指数上也接近上穿50中轴线。这表明我们的动能指标出现了向上转变。
现在看成交量分布,这是这些图表中最不同的方面。这里在低位有一个成交量节点。我们的粗红线364是所有区域中成交最密集的地方。我们已经从这个位置反弹回来。成交量直到560到598的水平才再次显著上升。
再次注意我们在这里看到的高点。在我们正在形成的这轮上涨中,最近出现了非常活跃的交易。
. Repeating the same scene with these graphs. However, this graph has a notable difference here. The difference is that while we once again have the wider channel shape, both of which are trending downwards, the sharper trend line in blue has been broken here with the price activity we are seeing today.
So, this is an interesting development here. Therefore, this breakout of the descending trend line has also pushed us above these old lows and subsequent highs that we saw here at approximately the 457 level.
The next step for the optimists will be to close the gap here near 480, and perhaps make some progress towards the upside from there. Level 600 also stands out to me in the long term.
Also 525, as a relative peak. Moving downwards on the other hand, we see that the relative lows here near 335 are a noteworthy point on the downside, which optimists will want to hold onto.
If this level is broken, the recurring bottom here near 305 will be the next support area to watch. So, as for our moving averages, we have crossed the 5-day exponential moving average in dark blue, which closely aligned with the trend line here.
So, it seems that an upward breakout is already taking place. 429.28 is the level at which that moving average is located. Next to watch is our monthly average in greenish-blue near 479.
Here, the Relative Strength Index again, eerily similar chart patterns here. We have made our way out of the peak selling zone. In this case, we have crossed our downtrend line.
We are now close to crossing the 50 midline as well on the Relative Strength Index. This indicates an upward shift here in our momentum indicator. Now , the size profile, this is the most different aspect in each of these graphs.
Here we have a volume knot at these low levels. Our thick red line, 364, is the heaviest trading area of all. We have bounced back from this point here. Volume does not rise significantly again until the 560 to 598 level.
Again, note the highs we have seen here. Very heavy trading has occurred recently during this upswing that we are developing here.
是的,目前这波上涨非常显著。“Shay Time”上涨了大约11.5%,报464.90,但正如我所说,“Shay Time”会永远留在我脑子里。所以我得记着,在直播时别把它叫成“Tea Time”。
Yes, at the moment that rise is very significant. We are up approximately 11.5 percent for "Shay Time" at 464.90, but as I said, "Shay Time" will stay in my mind forever. So, I'll have to make a note of not calling it "Tea Time" when we're on air .