SLV存在活跃的看跌形态(看跌旗形、头肩顶),目标位为5326;但近期从长期通道支撑位反弹,若10年期收益率下行,则可能上行至6650。
逐段跳播
现在来看白银。白银今天在图表底部也确实有一根不错的下影线,但它并没有我在黄金上看到的那种回升力度,至少短期内没有。它仍处于一个看跌旗形形态中,同时头肩顶形态依然有效。这确实告诉我,目标位仍可能向下推进到5326。
如果下周10年期收益率在图表上走低,白银下周可能会迎来一段喘息。如果白银短期内向上推进,我要关注的关键位是这条颈线。价格一旦站上这条颈线,就会使下方5326美元这个头肩顶目标失效。
不过请注意它今天在哪里反弹,就在这个平行通道的50%区域。我在这里画了很多技术分析,所以缩小时有点难以分辨,但各位,这个平行通道,如你所见,要一路追溯回去。让我们切到周线,这样你能看得更清楚一些。
这个平行通道始于2008年1月。这真是了不起,各位。这很了不起。这很有启发性。这是你们应该带回家的东西,因为当你看到价格走势下来触及这个平行通道的50%区域,然后从中获得反弹。
我们说的是图表上一个如此古老的形态,但这个50%在价格上破之后、如今又回落下来之后,仍然在发挥支撑作用。所以,短期内要结合10年期收益率关注白银。如果收益率有任何回落,我们就会去攻击图表上大约6650这个位置的颈线。
Now into silver. Silver also did have a decent wick at the bottom of its chart today, but it didn't really have the returning power that I see in gold, at least for the near term.
Still in a bare flag pattern, still with a head and shoulders pattern active. That does tell me target could still push down here to 5326. Medium reprieve would be uh in due or a store for silver next week if we do have those 10-year yields pulling down on the chart.
The key level for me to watch if we do have silver pushing up near term is this neckline. We get price above this neckline that exes out this head and shoulders target down here at $5326.
Notice though where it bounced today, right here on the 50% area of this parallel channel. Now, I've gotten a lot of TA through here, so it's kind of hard to uh distinguish when I zoom out, but this parallel channel, as you see here, guys, it goes all the way back.
And let's flip on the weekly so you can see it a little bit better. We start this parallel back here in January of 2008. That's just remarkable, folks. That's remarkable. It's insightful.
It's something that you guys should take home with you because when you see price action come down and tag that 50% area of the parallel and then get bounces off of it. We're talking about something with the chart that's so old, but yet this 50% is still playing a part in support after price went above and then since now come back down and has gotten support.
So, be watching silver in the near term with that 10-year yield. If we have it pulled back any at all, we're going to be making an attack for that neckline right around this 6650 mark on the charts.
观察点
这个频道对 $SLV 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 4 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。