SMCI 困于一个明确的区间内，且偏向下方——动能与周线周期形态均偏负，因此我倾向于卖出。在年底之前，它可能不值得投资者关注；11月3日财报前后隐含波动率较高，适合采用跨式或宽跨式策略。
逐段跳播
这是SMCI。这家公司公布了财报，其表现极其波动。我想让你看看这些周线周期形态，它们当然指向12月，而当价格跌破支撑位时，它在这里企稳，这是日线图。这里他们上调了预期，股价上涨了，但财报要到11月3日才会发布。
如你所见，这里的周期形态很明显，这是一次大幅上涨。当动能转为负向时，在我看来，你可能是在这里的一个既定区间内交易。所以，对于这类股票，当我看到这类走势时，我要找的是一个价格区间，因为如果你做期权，它可能是那种可以用“跨式”或“宽跨式”策略的股票之一。
这就是这里的区间，如你所见，目前处于区间的中部。我会在这里寻找一个略微偏向卖出的机会，因为动能是负向的，周期形态看起来也是负向的，但你有这波大反弹，利润也随之而来，所以它很可能会出现较高的隐含波动率。
This is SMCI. This company announced its earnings, and its performance was extremely volatile. I want you to look at these weekly cycle patterns, which of course point to December, and when the price drops below the support level , it stabilizes here, and this is the daily chart.
Here they raised their expectations and the share price rose , but the earnings report will not be released until November 3. As you can see, the periodic pattern is evident here , and this is a large rise.
When momentum turns negative, it seems to me that you may be trading within a defined range here. So, with this type of stock, when I see this type of movement, what I'm looking for is a price range, because it might be one of those stocks that you could use a " straddle" or "strangle" strategy on if you're an options trader.
This is the range here, and as you can see, it is the middle of the range at this point. I would look for an opportunity with a slight bias towards selling here, because the momentum is negative, and the cycle patterns look negative, but you have this big bounce, and here come the profits, so it is likely to see high implied volatility.
但在我看来，这只股票可能在年底之前都处于投资范围之外，之后才对投资者有价值，而在我看来，到那时它可能就会变得有价值。这是SMCI股票，它是一只非常小的股票，目前在我看来，它是在一个既定区间内交易，并带有下行倾向。这就是SMCI股票。
But this stock, in my opinion, may remain outside the scope of investment until the end of the year before it becomes worthwhile for investors, and it seems to me that it may become so at that time.
This is SMCI stock, which is a very small stock, and it currently appears to me to be trading within a defined range with a tendency towards the downside. This is SMCI stock.
这是SMCI股票。这是半导体股票的总体前景，这无疑是一幅警示性的图景。
This is SMCI stock. This is the general outlook for semiconductor stocks, and it is certainly a cautionary picture.