$SMH

SMH正突破平行通道;收盘站上今日K线将使阻力转为支撑,目标看向635.84美元。

看涨他说的是几天内
《Yields Hit Banks as Head & Shoulders Patterns Trigger》
Verified Investing发布 2026-10-01 · 3 段内容
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3 段内容

SMH 上涨超过 1%。这实际上是受到了本周早些时候经济数据的顺风推动,数据显示 PCE,也就是美联储的通胀指标,略微降温。再加上强劲的就业报告,这给了美联储继续加息的空间。

SMH up over 1%. That was really having tailwinds from earlier this week when we had economic data that showed that the uh PCE, which is the inflation gauge for the Fed, that is coming in a little bit cooler.

Plus, we've got hot jobs reports, which is giving room for the Fed to go ahead and hike rates.

接下来看半导体板块。各位,嘿,我之前已经提醒过你们这一点。我们一步步梳理了半导体板块,从有些看空、遭到拒绝、在图表上被进一步压低,事实上还回到了旧的平行通道,然后我们一步步带你们走过。

每个人也都能做到。只要在你的图表上画几条简单的线。你就能看到 SMH 是如何逐步突破的。各位,它还在继续这样做。今天,它升到了从历史高点到 7 月最近低点的 618 斐波那契回撤位之上。

也就是说,我可以展示给你们看,就在这里在图表上画出来。我只需要几秒钟,你就能清楚地看到我们在这里盘整了好几个交易日,今天收出一根位于该盘整区间之上的日线收盘。这是一个非常正面的走势。

这是基于什么,各位?这是在 MU 财报没有令市场崩盘的背景下发生的。它上涨了。它们只是小幅上涨,这让其余的其他半导体和 AI 科技股得以在图表上进一步走高。大家松了一口气,因为 MU 没有在财报上被打垮。

所以,SMH 出现了不错的上涨。我们看看明天能否继续上涨。如果我们做到了,并收在今天这根蜡烛之上,这个阻力位将从阻力翻转为支撑,然后目标指向下一个上行水平 635.84 美元。

Next up into the semis. Now guys, hey, I've I've given you a heads up about this. We walked through the semis uh from being somewhat bearish, getting rejected, getting uh uh pushed down further on the charts, matter of fact, getting back into old parallel channels, and then we walked you through step by step.

Everybody can do this, too. Just draw some simple lines on your chart. And you can see how the SMH is progressing to break out. And guys, it's continuing to do so. Now, today getting above the 618 fib retrace from the all-time high down to the most recent low that occurred in July. as in I can show you and just draw it here on the chart.

It only takes me literally a couple seconds and you can see clearly we consolidated right here for several trading days today putting in a daily close above that realm of consolidation.

That's a very positive move. And what's that on the back of guys? That's on the back of MU earnings not collapsing in the market. It pushed up. They did so slightly which allowed the rest of the other SIM and AI tech plays to just push up higher on the charts. breathe a sigh of relief that MU didn't get knocked on its earnings report.

So, nice push up on the SMH. We'll see if we can push up tomorrow. And if we do and close above today's candle, this level of resistance will flip from resistance into support and then target this next upward uh level at $635.84.

各位,这是最惊人的信号之一,各位,它也出现在 SMH 上。如果我切换到周线时间框架,它就出现在这里,各位。所以,这个信号能够拉低市场上最强大的板块,

Guys, this is one of the most amazing signals as guys, it occurred on the SMH as well. If I flip to the weekly time frame, it occurred right here, guys. So, this this signal can can pull down the most powerful uh sector in the markets,

观察点

日收盘价站上今日K线
收盘价站上今日K线即确认突破
明天行情图
支撑看涨逻辑;若无法守住则削弱该逻辑

这个频道对 $SMH 的历次判断

Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 18 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-10-01看涨本条
SMH 上涨超过 1%。这实际上是受到了本周早些时候经济数据的顺风推动,数据显示 PCE,也就是美联储的通胀指标,略微降温。再加上强劲的就业报告,这给了美联储继续加息的空间。
2026-09-29看涨
说到不断被触及的区域,各位,SMH图表上这个618斐波那契回撤位60758持续遭到打压。你看,今天我们开在它上方,甚至一度走高,看起来要收在它上方,但今天又一次没有做到。在上涨过程中我们仍未收在其上方。我想提醒老观众和新观众,自从价格走势突破这条下降趋势线以来,我们一直在跟踪这次突破。SMH需要完成一系列突破才达到现在的位置。看,我们正在形成看涨整理。这是你在突破下降趋势线、突破这个平行通道并维持突破关键移动均线之后最想看到的最佳情景,50移动均线现在舒适地位于20移动均线下方。进入健康的间距状态,为价格在图表上走高创造空间。
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