$SMH · Verified Investing · 2026-11-09
SMH 预计短期反弹，此前单根K线的趋势线跌破未能延续，今日价格上涨 5.05%，抛售高峰时 RSI 低于 30 的超卖状态支撑反弹。明日阻力约在 492 美元，除非 SMH 跳空高开越过该位；仍需观察通过下降趋势线和 2025 年 4 月上升支撑对该水平的确认。
逐段跳播
这条上升趋势线目前正在 SMH 指标中支撑 655.27 美分的价格。这与 Q 指数和标普 500 非常相似，我们预期会出现反弹。但如果你看这里，SMH 指标中的这次跌破只有一根K线位于上升趋势线下方。
第二根K线没有继续下跌，反而为价格再次上涨打开了道路。这就是 SMH 指数短期内发生的情况。今天价格上涨了 5.05%。明天，阻力基本上将位于今天达到的高点，图表上大约 492 美元。
这个水平是下降趋势线的结果，它显示了最初的价格突破点，随后出现反弹，但没有反弹回趋势线上方，而是价格跌穿了它。因此，如果我们没有看到价格向上跳空突破该水平，它很可能在明天的交易时段成为阻力位。
然后，我们将开始监测 SMH 指标是否会通过下降趋势线以及可追溯至 2025 年 4 月低点的上升支撑线，确认其升破该水平。
this upward trend line is the line that is currently supporting the price at 655.27 cents within the SMH indicator. This is very similar to the Q Index and the S&P 500 in that we expected a rebound.
But if you look here, this breakdown in the SMH indicator was with one candle below the upward trend line. This second candle did not continue to fall, but rather opened the way for the price to rise again.
This is what happened in the short term in the SMH index. The price rose by 5.05% today. Tomorrow, resistance will essentially be at the high it reached today, around $492 on the chart.
This level is the result of a descending trend line, which shows the initial price breakout point, followed by a subsequent bounce, without bouncing back above the trend line, but rather the price fell through it.
Therefore, if we do not see an upward price gap above this level, it is likely to be a resistance level during tomorrow's trading session. Then, we will start to monitor whether the SMH indicator will confirm its rise above this level via the descending trend line, as well as the ascending support line dating back to the lows of April 2025.
看看 Q 和 SMH 指标。两张图表都表明我们已经超出了可接受的范围，并且我们即将反弹，受到超卖的相对强弱指数（RSI）支撑，当我们在 SMH 指数上达到抛售压力峰值时，该指数低于 30。
Look at the Q and SMH indicators. Both charts indicate that we have exceeded the acceptable limit, and that we are about to bounce back, supported by the oversold Relative Strength Index (RSI), which was below 30 when we reached the peak of the selling pressure on the SMH index.
这个频道对 $SMH 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 30 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。