SOFI 是强力买入标的,基于会员/盈利增长,长期有望升值至 50-100 美元,但受行业特定债务/破产风险制约。
逐段跳播
这七只股票中的第一只是SoFi Technologies。Sofa。所以,Sophie最有趣的地方是。Sofie今天是一只15美元的股票,对吧?现在,我在我的公开账户上从这只股票上获得了72%的利润。
72%。通常,当我在一只股票上赚了72%的利润时,我不太有兴趣买入更多股票,因为我已经赚了很多钱。像72%,可不是小数目,对吧?72%是人们期望在4到5年期间从指数基金获得的回报率。
而我在Sofa上用了短得多的时间就做到了,对吧?所以,这是个很大的数字,对吧?但与此同时,这也是一个巨大的买入机会。我相信长期来看,Sofa会是一只50到100美元的股票,好吗?
是的,它很棒,但到目前为止我们只赚了一点点钱。SoFi的大利润还在后面,明白吗?
The first of these seven stocks is SoFi Technologies. Sofa. So, the most interesting thing about Sophie is. Sofie is a $15 stock today, right? Now, I have a 72% profit on this stock in my public account.
72%. Usually, when I make a 72% profit on a stock, I'm not that interested in buying more shares because I've already made a lot of money. Like 72%, but not a small amount, right?
72% is the amount of return that people expect to get from an index fund over a 4 to 5 year period. And I did it in a much shorter time on the sofa, right? So, that's a big number, right?
But at the same time, it's a tremendous opportunity to buy. I believe that in the long term, Sofa is going to be a $50 to $100 stock , okay ? Yes, it was great, but we've only made a little money so far.
Big profits are yet to come for SoFi, understand?
现在有趣的是,如果你不了解SoFi,那么要知道它基本上是金融科技和银行的结合,对吧?Sofai最令人惊叹的地方是,如果你看他们的统计数据,你会看到他们在不断吸引更多会员。你可以称他们为客户,随便你怎么称呼,没问题。
几年前他们有520万会员,然后是750万,24年达到1000万,2025年达到1360万,而到2026年第二季度,已经达到近1600万。我认为到今年年底他们会有1700万会员,你知道吗?
所以,他们现在的增长速度相当不错,对吧?这真的很不可思议。
Now the interesting thing is, if you do n't know about SoFi, then know that it's basically a combination of fintech and banking, right ? The most amazing thing about Sofai is that if you look at their statistics, you will see that they are constantly attracting more members.
You can call them customers , call them whatever you want, no problem. They had 5.2 million members a few years ago , then 7.5 million, 10 million in '24, 13.6 million in 2025, and by the second quarter of 2026, it had reached nearly 16 million.
I think they'll have 17 million members by the end of this year , you know? So, they're growing at a pretty good rate right now, right ? And it's really incredible.
另一件事是,他们正在向客户销售更多产品,这是你作为一家金融机构需要做的。也就是说,每位会员的产品数量从2025年第二季度的1.46增加到上一季度的1.54。这才是真正的游戏规则。
如果你身处金融科技或银行领域,而这正是Sofay本质上在做的事,那么事情就是这样。你总是需要吸引更多客户。这些客户的净资产或资产应该随着时间增长,对吧?而如果你能年复一年地向他们销售更多产品,那么如果你能做到这一点,你将在十年内使自己成为世界上最有价值的金融机构之一,好吗?
Another thing is that they are selling more products to their customers, which is what you need to do as a financial institution. That is, the number of products per member increased from 1.46 in the second quarter of 2025 to 1.54 in the last quarter.
This is the real rule of the game. If you're in the fintech or banking sector , which is what Sofay is essentially doing, then that's how it goes. You always need to attract more clients.
Those clients' net worth or assets should increase over time , right ? And if you can sell them more products year after year , you'll make yourself one of the most valuable financial institutions in the world within a decade, if you can do that, okay?
关于Sophie的另一件事是,我们现在在看thousandxstocks.com,好吗?我每天都用它。看看Sophie过去12个月的盈利轨迹,看看它们接下来可能走向哪里。看看Sofie的每股收益(EPS)故事。
我认为这是sofa最被忽视的方面。这家公司过去亏损很多,巨额亏损,对吧?我理解,几年前我开始买入这只股票时,它的价格大约是每股6美元,对吧?当时我能理解为什么有些人不愿意买它,因为它当时还在大量亏损,但我能看到他们会如何扭转局面,而他们确实做到了。
而SoFi的每股收益仍处于早期阶段。你甚至无法想象Sophie长期能从这家公司赚到多少利润,对吧?现在,公司的股东权益在不断增长,有些人把这看作任何金融机构最重要的事,即确保股东权益随着时间增长,对吧?
Another thing about Sophie is, we're looking at thousandxstocks.com now, okay? I use it every day. Look at the trajectory of Sophie's earnings over the past 12 months and see where they could go next.
Take a look at the earnings per share (EPS) story for Sofie. I think this is the most neglected aspect of the sofa. This company used to make a lot of losses, huge losses, right?
And I understand, when I started buying the stock a few years ago, it was priced at like $6 a share, right ? At the time I could understand why some people didn't want to buy it , because it was still making a lot of losses, but I could see how they would turn around and they really did.
And SoFi's earnings per share were still in their early stages. You ca n't even imagine the profits that Sophie can make from this company in the long run, right? Now, the company's shareholder equity is constantly growing and some people see that as the biggest thing for any financial institution, to make sure that shareholder equity is growing over time, right?
现在,SoFi的一大风险——这也是银行业任何东西的风险——是公司变得过度负债的情况,对吧?如果一家公司变得真的过度负债,而你经历一场大衰退,就像大金融危机期间发生的那样,对吧?
你的金融机构可能会破产,这意味着它的价值可能跌到零,或者你可能不得不以1美元、2美元或3美元卖出股票并离开这家公司,对吧?这是大金融危机期间许多金融机构身上发生的事。许多银行破产,跌到零。
其他的则以每股2美元、3美元或4美元被出售,对吧?非常便宜。因为如果你作为一家金融机构陷入困境,就很难脱身,尤其是当情况变得非常糟糕时。
Now, the big risk for SoFi—and it's a risk for anything in the banking sector— is a situation where the company becomes overly indebted, right? What if a company becomes really over-indebted and you go through a major recession, like what happened during the great financial crisis , right?
Your financial institution could go bankrupt , meaning its value could drop to zero , or you might have to sell shares for $1, $2, or $3 and leave the company , right? And this is something that happened to many financial institutions during the Great Financial Crisis.
Many banks went bankrupt and went down to zero. The others were sold for $2, $3, or $4 per share , right ? Very cheap. Because if you get into trouble as a financial institution, it's very difficult to get out of it, especially if the situation gets very bad.
好消息是,Anthony Noto 在这个领域已经深耕多年。很多年前,他曾在高盛担任重要职务。高盛,如果说有哪家金融机构能够找到办法克服任何障碍并最终变得更加成功,那就是高盛,对吧?
所以,他就是那种人。因此,我相信 Anthony Noto 不会让公司因过度负债而破产。不过,这是一家金融机构,所以你在最初投资时需要理解其中的风险。因此,就 SoFi 而言,我建立了一个仓位,可以吗?
但如果他在某个时候做错了什么,我也不会把它当成什么大事,对吧?我认为我们是安全的。但如果那种小概率情况真的发生,我不想因为在一个仓位上过度投资而被套住,可以吗?所以,这就是我看待 SoFi 的方式。
它值得买入。它值得买入。而且它值得买入。长期来看是一只 50 美元的股票。
The good news is that Anthony Noto has been in this arena for a long time. He was an important person at Goldman Sachs many years ago. Goldman Sachs, if there's any financial institution that finds a way to overcome any obstacle and ultimately become more successful, it's Goldman Sachs, right?
So, he is that kind of person. And so, I believe Anthony Noto will not let his company go bankrupt by becoming overly indebted. However, this is a financial institution, so you need to understand the risks when investing initially.
And so, in the case of Sophie, I create a position in it, okay ? But I would n't make it a big deal if he did something wrong at some point , right? I think we are safe. But if that small possibility happens, I do n't want to be stuck with overinvesting in a position, okay?
So, that's how I look at Sophie. It's worth buying. It's worth buying. And it's worth buying. Long term $50 stock.
问题在于,有些股票风险水平非常高,你可能会想:“哇,这家公司可能会破产。”你知道,我们之前谈过 SoFi,对吧?这是一类金融机构,所以如果 Anthony Noto 发疯,把公司推入过度负债的陷阱怎么办?
如果他们破产,又遇上重大经济衰退怎么办?我明白。我明白这一点,对吧?确实存在风险。
It's a matter of, there are some stocks that have a very high level of risk, where you might think, "Wow, this company could go bankrupt." You know, we talked about SoFi before , right ?
This is a type of financial institution, so what if Anthony Notto goes crazy and throws the company into a trap of excessive debt ? And what happens if they go bankrupt and a major economic downturn hits?
I understand. I understand the point , right ? There is a risk.
这个频道对 $SOFI 的历次判断
Financial Education 在这只股票上共 5 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。