$SOXL · Brian Shannon · 2026-10-27
SOXL 虽处于下跌趋势，但在 80 附近支撑和圆弧底之上形成了更高的低点，随后在空头陷阱中回升至关键缺口水平上方，因此若已持有，该形态具有建设性；约 88 下方的止损距离 12 点、太远，所以他会在 105 附近（年初锚定的 VWAP）部分获利时收紧止损，并在每个新高下方跟踪上移。
逐段跳播
从六月你来的时候起，就有人说，如果你今天在 SOXL 上设一个止损，你能拿到多少美元？有很多事情显然没有告诉我们，也感谢你在这个话题上的超级留言。但我们来讨论一下，可能是哪些过程促使你去投资它，好吗？
由于 SOXL 正在下跌，而我们即将进入财报季，你可能会喜欢它比之前创出了几个更高的低点，这里你正在形成一个小的圆弧底，所以你认为你在这里得到了确认。这就是圆弧底，所以理论上你买入了它。
话虽如此，我不知道这是否正是观众在做的事情，但如果我们这样假设，那么我们已经从 80 附近的一些支撑位反弹回来，并且正在这个突破点买入。现在简单的答案是把止损放在下方。我问你的问题是，你现在从技术角度如何看待 SOXL 的风险回报？
无论是止损还是止盈的位置，这正是我们可以帮助观众的地方。
Since June, when you were coming, it was said that if you set a stop loss on SOXL today, how many dollars would you get? There was a lot that was clearly not being told to us, and thank you for the super chat on this topic.
But let's discuss the processes that might have encouraged you to invest in it, okay? As SOXL is trending down, we're heading into earnings season, you might like that it's made a few higher lows than before, here you're making a little bit of a rounded bottom, so you think you've got confirmation here.
This is the rounded bottom, so in theory you bought it. So, having said that, I do n't know if this is exactly what the audience is doing, but if we assume that, well, we've come back from some support around 80 and we're buying on this breakout.
Now the simple answer would be to place a stop below. My question to you was, how do you view the risk and reward of SOXL technically right now? Whether it's a stop loss or a place to take profit, that's where we can help the audience.
但回到 SOXL，如果你持有它，那很好。看起来，你知道，这正是我实际上在 SMH 上寻找的，就是让它跌破夏季低点，然后再回升。所以，如果你参与其中，我认为你应该看看这个缺口处的锚点，因为那是一个重要的心理点位，它从那里回升。
所以，基本上，当它反弹越过这个水平时，就意味着这是一个空头陷阱。所以，我认为一个安全的止损大概率应该放在 88 附近下方。问题是它离这里有 12 点，谁愿意损失那么多利润呢？我肯定不会那样做。
我不会在那里设任何止损。不过，我认为如果它涨到接近 105 的水平，并且看起来准备突破一些障碍，我就会开始在那里收紧止损并部分止盈，而那里也是从年初锚定的 VWAP 所在。否则，如果它开始做出类似这样的走势，也就是先小幅下跌然后再次创出新高，我就会把止损移到它下方，并继续这个过程，直到止损被触发。
But back to SOXL, if you have it, great. It seems like, you know, that's what I was actually looking for in terms of SMH, to have it drop below the summer lows and then come back up again.
So, if you're involved in this, I think you should look at the anchor from this gap, because that was an important psychological point from which it recovered. So, basically, when it bounced back past this level, it meant it was a bearish trap.
So, I think a safe stop should probably be below around 88. The problem is that it's 12 points away and who wants to lose that much profit? I definitely wouldn't do that. I would n't put any stops there.
However, I think if it gets to a level near 105 and it looks like it's ready to break through some barriers, I'll start tightening my stops there at partial profits and that's where we see the VWAP anchored from the beginning of the year.
Otherwise, if it starts to do something like that, i.e. drop a little bit and then reach a new high again, I will move my stop below it and continue this process until the stop is out.