$SOXX · Verified Investing · 2026-10-29
SOXX 的突破尝试失败：它升至2025年4月以来平行通道的50%位置，但收盘回落至其下方，并持续在该处被拒绝，使价格停留在通道下半部。支撑位于541.62的缺口回补位，若抛售延续，则看通道底部534。
逐段跳播
关于半导体，正如我们昨天讨论这个话题时我说的，那次很不错的突破尝试是怎么发生的——我们只是看到了一次回调，然后价格又回到这条下降趋势线，结果反而在可追溯到 2025 年 4 月的这个平行通道底部获得了支撑。
昨天我说过：“上升趋势很好，但这个平行通道的 50% 区域是阻力位。”价格上升，突破了那个水平，随即又回落，收在 50% 门槛之下，使价格走势保持在这个更窄的平行通道的下半部分 50% 区间内。
今天你会看到价格在盘后下跌，继续在 50% 区域被拒绝，这使得下一个支撑位成为这里的缺口回补位，在 541.62。注意，如果我们明天开始跌破那个水平，这个平行通道的底部也是支撑，在 534，然后是 541，抱歉，是 541 和 62 美分。
如果我们看到半导体股票继续被抛售，这个区间将成为明天的支撑摇篮。
Regarding semiconductors, as I said when we were talking about this yesterday, how did this great breakout attempt happen and we simply saw a pullback, then we went back to this downtrend line , and instead we got support at the bottom of this parallel channel dating back to April 2025.
And yesterday I said: " Great uptrend, but the 50% area of this parallel channel is the resistance point." The price rose, broke through that level, and immediately fell back down to close below the 50% threshold, keeping the price action within the lower 50% range of this narrower parallel channel.
Today you will see the price drop after trading hours, continuing to reject that 50% area, which makes the next support level the gap filler here, at 541.62. Note that if we start selling across that level tomorrow, the bottom of this parallel is also support, at 534 and then 541, sorry, 541 and 62 cents.
This range will be the cradle of support tomorrow if we see continued selling in semiconductor stocks.