SPY维持倒头肩形态,目标位为800.92美元;若缺乏确认,则易出现破位下跌。
逐段跳播
那我们来看看图表,先从标普 500 开始。如你所见,过去一周的主题,各位,一直是头肩形态。而且大量反向头肩形态正在各个图表上冒出来。其中一个就在你面前的标普 500,也就是 SPY 日线周期上。
今天的价格走势回落,早盘一直舒适地在那条颈线下方交易。你可以看到我们跳空低开,形成一个难看的熊旗,然后在 11:30 抛压缓解,把价格推升到那个跳空缺口之上,此后整个尾盘都横盘震荡。
对 SPY 来说好消息是,它仍然维持着这个形态,而这个形态确实带有一个量度目标,一直指向这上方、略高于 800 美元的位置,即 800.92 美元。
So let's take a look at the charts starting off with the S&P 500. As you see here, the theme over the last week, guys, has been head and shoulders. And a lot of inverse head and shoulders are popping up all throughout the charts.
One of which right here in front of you on the S&P 500, the SPY daily time frame. Today's price action came back down, was comfortably trading in the morning underneath that neckline.
And you see here we gapped down, put in a nasty bare flag and then all at 11:30 that sell pressure alleviated pushing price up on top of that gap down and then since chopped sideways all throughout the end of the day.
The good news for the spiders. It's still maintaining this pattern which does carry a measured move target all the way up here just above $800 at $800.92.
正如我所说,如果 10 年期收益率开始回落,那将让 SPY 得以在图表上继续上行。第一层阻力将是这条趋势线的顶部水平,大约在 79,464 美元,前提是我们能突破昨天的历史新高枢轴点。
但这将是维持这个反向头肩形态状态的一波很好的走势。
As I said, if that 10-year yield starts pulling back, that's going to allow the spiders to continue to push up on the chart. First area of resistance will be the top level of this trend line right around $79,464 if and when we can get above uh yesterday's all-time high pivot.
But a great move uh to maintain this inverse head and shoulder status.
有一点要注意,各位,我们在尾盘交易里是怎么讲突破的?我们希望看到像这样的一根突破K线,但我们希望看到第二天的K线继续走高并收在其上方。今天它没有做到,各位。所以,我们仍在等待这一点,这意味着价格有向下破位的风险,这也是为什么今天早上 11:30 的走势很了不起。
价格走势在图表上直接跳升,至少近期是救了自己。现在,我们看看未来几天能否出现一个确认性的、远离那条颈线的延伸走势。那无疑会有助于提高那个量度目标兑现的概率。
One thing to note, guys, what do we talk about with breakouts here in trading the close? We like to see a breakout candle like this, but we want to see the candle the following day push up higher and close above.
It did not do that today, guys. So, we're still waiting for that, which means it's vulnerable for price to break down underneath, which is why it's remarkable this morning at 11:30.
Price action just jumped right up on the chart, saving itself, at least for the near term. Now, let's see if we can get a confirming extended move away from that neckline in the coming days. that certainly will help increase probabilities of that measured move uh playing out.
这个频道对 $SPY 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 21 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。