$SPY

尽管市场广度疲弱,标普指数依然强劲并创下历史新高;若更广泛的市场参与度回归,预计将有显著上行空间。

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《Oil Spikes, 10-Year Hits 5.32%: Iran Risk Rattles Wall St | PreMarket Playbook | October 8, 2026》
Benzinga发布 2026-10-08 · 20 段内容
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20 段内容
7:02144:11

SPY 下跌 0.33%,报 774.68 美元,

The SPY fell by 0.33% at $774.68,

所以,过去六周表面之下其实很有意思。整个市场在表面之下其实一直在走低。AI 股票,对吧?它们真的在支撑市场,或者至少支撑指数。指数在创历史新高,而市场表面之下的广度却一直在走低。

So, um it's been an interesting, you know, last six weeks under the hood. Uh the entire market really has been um underneath the hood has been going down. Uh AI stocks, right? uh really holding the market up or at least the indices.

The indices are making all-time highs while the breadth of the market underneath has been lower.

当我们看 S&P 时,你可以看到 S&P 表现相当不错。我在这里关注的是 7823。我们刚刚接近它。那是周线图。我们来看一下小时图。如果突破 7823 上方,就真的在寻找下一波拉升。

as we take a look at S&P you could see that S&P is doing quite well. I was looking for 7823 here. uh we uh were just coming up to it. That's on a weekly. Let's take a look at an hourly chart here.

Um really looking for that next pump if we break above 7823.

如果你想做 S&P,我会建议做 S&P 的借记价差。如果你不熟悉借记价差,它只是一种不同的交易工具,可以让你在盘整甚至可能有些下行走势中不受影响。它给你钻石手,对吧?

If you wanted to do S&P, I would suggest like a a debit spread on S&P. So, um, if you're not familiar with a debit spread, just a different type of trade vehicle that would allow for consolidation as well as maybe even some downward movement, but it really not affect you. It gives you diamond hands, right?

但如果你账户很小,也许买不起 S&P 上单张看涨或看跌期权,那就看看一日期的。这是 270 美元,对吧?对你来说太贵了吗?如果你想做一周后的,那也还不错。270 美元。但如果我们把它做成借记价差会怎样?

比如说,我们取那一周后的,大约 300 美元。让我点一下那个。这里是 275、27,呃,270,做借记价差。

But if you have a small account and maybe you can't afford uh a single call or put on S&P as an example, look at the one dayers. This is $270, right? Is it too expensive for you?

If you wanted to go a week out, right? Uh still that's not bad. $270. But what happens if we take it and do it as a debit spread? So, let's say we take that week out and we're looking at about $300.

Uh, let me go ahead and click on that. It's 275 27 uh 270 here for a debit spread.

要做一日后到期的,你得花 2,130 美元才能买到那张一天后到期的 SPX 看涨期权。这钱有点多。如果你承受不了,能不能把它换成借记价差,也就是同时买入一张看涨期权并卖出一张看涨期权?

这两条腿合在一起就构成了借记价差。看看价格。我是说,那大概降了 10 倍吧?270 美元就能做同样的事。

Well, to take a do a one day out, you're looking at $2,130 to get that SPX call expiring in one day. Kind of a lot of money. If you can't handle that, could you then switch this to a debit spread where you're actually buying a call and selling a call at the same time?

Those two legs together create that debit spread. And look at the price. I mean, that like went down what, 10 times? $270 to do that same thing.

我关注的是哪个水平?我其实关注的是 7823。我们离它还差得远,但我们能不能在明天开盘前的一夜之间接近它?绝对可以。

And what was the what was the level I was looking at? I was actually looking at 7823. We're not even close to it, but could we get close to it like overnight for tomorrow's action? Absolutely.

我们要做一次直播,因为我们有一些整合。指数的表现与市场其他部分完全不同。不过,市场其他部分现在似乎正从六周的下跌期中企稳。对吧?所以,在表象之下,我们可能会迎来某种趋势转变。顺便说一句,如果指数在没有整个市场参与的情况下本身就已经表现良好,你觉得当市场开始上涨时,这些指数会不会像火箭一样起飞?我认为会。我确实这么认为。

We're going to do a call because we have some consolidation. The indices are acting completely different than what the rest of the market's doing. Though, the rest of the market seems to be stabilizing right now from their six-w week down period.

Right? So, we may get kind of a trend change here under the hood. And by the way, if the indices are already doing well by themselves without the entire market participation, do you think when the market starts to rise that those indices are going to start to take off like a rocket? I think so. I do think so.

现在,我买入了平值看涨期权。顺便说一句,我想看一下我们的平值标记价,是250。让我把它写下来,稍后我会向你展示原因,就因为我们正处于战争之中。各位,无论如何,我们仍然处于战争之中。

所以,我想确保我的订单上始终有一个上限。有点像是一个阻力位,就是说,我不愿意支付超过这个价格,对吧?以防出现疯狂的推文或炸弹爆炸之类的事情,让我不至于在合约上被宰。

Right now, I took the at the money call. I want to take a look, by the way, of our um our mark for at the money is 250. Let me write that down and I'll show you why in just a second, just because we're in a war.

We're still in a war, guys, regardless. So, I want to make sure that I always have a cap on my order. Um, kind of a resistance level of, hey, I'm not willing to pay more than this, right?

Just in case there's a crazy uh tweed or a bomb going off or whatever that I'm not going to be gouged in my contracts.

那么,当我们看平值时,平值在7,呃,77.90到77.95。我实际上在看7823。所以7823在这下面。让我在这里再加几个行权价。所以我们看到7823大概在这个位置。对。所以它说我的合约大约会是190。

但我得告诉你,当合约到7823时,它会涨到这里,到平值。这就是为什么我喜欢看标记价,那么标记价是什么,各位?标记价是买价和卖价之间的中间价,对吧?它是买价和卖价之间的中间价。我为什么需要标记价?

如果我看看平值,再看看中间价,对吧,这里显示大约270,我把它写下来。现在,我实际上就知道当2823到来时合约价格大约会是多少。那么这意味着那个垂直价差现在将处于平值。所以如果我想做点策略,说,我不愿意为它支付超过这个价格,我就必须知道当它实际触发时那个合约会在哪里。所以这就是为什么我喜欢看平值。

So, as we take a look at the at the money, the at the money is at 7 uh 77.90 to 77.95. I was actually looking at uh 7823. So 7823 is down here. Let me put a couple more strikes here.

So we're looking at uh 7823 right about here. Right. So it says that my contract's going to be about 190. But I got to tell you that the contract when it gets to 7823 is going to be up here to the at the money.

That's why I like to look at the mark which what is the mark guys? The mark is the between of the bid and the ask, right? It's the between of the bid and the ask. Why do I need the mark price?

Well, if I take a look at the at the money and I take a look at the middle, right, this says around 270 and I write that down. Now, I actually know what the contract price approximately will be when 2823 rolls around. then that means that that vertical now will be at the money.

And so if I want to kind of strategize and say, well, I'm not willing to pay any more than this price for it, I have to know where that contract's going to be when it actually triggers. So that's why I like to take the at the money.

所以现在我知道价格大约会在260、270,我可以拿起计算器,对吧?我可以说,好吧,我愿意为这个价格、为这份合约花多少钱?因为我们在战时波动中已经了解到,当有新闻推文或炸弹或什么奇怪的事情发生时,做市商实际上会抬高期权合约的价格,在这种情况下,这就是一个双输的局面。

你根本赚不到钱,因为他们把价格抬得太高,以至于即使你达到了目标,你也赚不到钱,因为你为合约付得太多了。他们通常会把那些价格抬高50%一直到500%。我们实际上在CBOE看过这个,我们看了其他市场出现混乱的时候,其他战争以及像COVID这样的时期。

情况正是如此。所以正因为如此,我们通过一开始就不做糟糕的交易来保护我们的资本。

So now that I know that the price is going to be around 260, 270, I can take my calculator, right? and I could say, "Okay, what am I willing to spend for that price uh for this contract?"

Because we've learned during the wartime volatility that when there's a news tweet or a bomb or something weird going on that the market makers, they actually jack up the prices of the option contracts, which in that case, it's a lose-lose situation. you're not going to be making any money because they jacked up the price so high that it doesn't even, you know, even if you were to make your target, you're not making any money because you paid too much for the contract.

They typically will jack up those prices between um, you know, 50% all the way up to 500%. We did actually um a look at this at CBOE and we were looking at other uh times where we had mayhem in the markets, other wars as well as like COVID.

That's exactly what took place. So because of that, we protect our capital by not getting into a bad um you know, a bad uh trade to begin with.

那么当我们看这份合约时,我对你说,好吧,如果平值的标记价大约在260,让我取260再加上25%,因为那是我唯一愿意为它支付的价格。算出来是325。所以现在当它实际发生时我就有了一个上限。

然而,如果当时合约的价格更低,比如说它只要260,thinkorswim会自动让我以260进场。所以不要害怕设置上限。这并不意味着,嘿,我想以那个价格买入。它只是意味着我不愿意超过这个价格。

所以突然之间,如果我们处于平值,它触发了我的水平,而价格高于那个价格,我就不会进场。这意味着什么?我省了钱。这也是你应该考虑的,不仅是赚钱,还要在这些类型的波动市场中省下你的钱。

So as we take a look at this contract, I say to you, okay, well, if the mark at the money is around that 260, uh let me take 260 and plus 25% cuz that's only what I'll be willing to pay for this.

And it comes out to 325. So now I have a ceiling for when it actually happens. However, you know, um if the if the price of the contract at the time is going lower, let's say it's going for 260, thinker swim will automatically get me in at 260.

So don't fear about putting a ceiling on. It doesn't mean, hey, I want to buy it at that price. It just means I'm not willing to go over this price. So all of a sudden, if we're at the money and it triggers my level and it's above that price, I won't get in it.

What does that mean? I save money. And that's what you should be thinking about, too, is not only making money, but saving your money during uh these types of volatile markets.

那么,我们说了7823。我就用78.25吧。我们先设置条件。如果你点击它,它会自动开始填写。所以如果你填了这个代码,你到这里来,它默认是标记价。那没问题。然后这些触发条件是小于或等于。

第二个是大于或等于。既然我们买的是看涨期权,就是大于或等于。顺便说一句,如果你对这些触发条件感到困惑,我一开始也觉得很难。当你点击它时,你可以往下看你的编程。我们正在把你变成程序员。

非常简单。它会说大于或等于。然后现在在阈值框里,我们可以填入我们之前看的那个价格。我看的是78.23。我们就填78.25。我们给它留一点缓冲,然后点出去。好。所以现在我们实际上是在告诉电脑,嘿,我想让你在SPX价格达到78.25或更高时让我进入这个看涨垂直价差。

So, we said 7823. I'm just going to do 78.25. Let's do the conditions first. So, if you just click on it, it'll start filling it out automatically. So if you fill out this symbol, you come over here, it defaults to mark.

That's fine. And then these triggers are less than or equal to. And then the second one is greater than or equal to. Since we're buying a call, it's greater than or equal to. And by the way, if you ever get lost with these triggers, they were hard for me in the beginning.

When you click on it, you could look down here at your programming. We're turning you into a programmer. It's very simple. and it'll say greater or equal to. And then now in the threshold box, we could put the price that we were looking at.

I was looking at 78.23. Let's put 78.25. We give it a little bit of a pad and click out. Okay. So now we're actually telling the computer, hey, I want you to get me into this call vertical spread when the price of SPX hits 78.20. 25 or greater.

所以现在因为我是在股票价格或指数价格上做触发,我不想用期权价格来做这个,但我确实想告诉他们,嘿,我有一个上限。我的上限是多少?我们已经算过了。是325。我希望现在这更清楚了。这是手动的,因为我实际上是手动创建了那个水平。

有效直到取消。我们希望这个,我们不在乎它今天触发。我们不在乎它周一触发。对吧?所以现在我保存它。所以现在我已经有了保存的订单,就这样。完成了。所以现在一旦我提交了这个,我就不必整天坐在电脑屏幕前了。

So now because I'm doing a trigger on the stock price or on the indicy price, I do not want to do this with an option price, but I do want to tell them that, hey, I have a ceiling.

And what's my ceiling? We did the math already. Is 325. I hope that's making more sense now. And this is manual because I actually manually created that level. Good till cancel.

We want this to go uh we don't care if it triggers today. We don't care if it triggers on Monday. Right? So now I save it. So now that I have the saved order, that's it. It's done.

So now I don't have to sit in front of my computer screen all day once I submit this.

但我现在确实想要一个止盈或止损。对吧?所以现在我们可以看看图表说,好吧,如果我看看78.25这个水平,我会用什么作为我的止损,我可以用这个7778吗,是的,但它大概低了50点,对吧,所以现在我得确定我的止损会在哪里,我可以把它用作触发条件,或者我可以把它用作百分比。

百分比要容易得多。我毫不怀疑,对吧?容易得多。所以现在我可以这么说,或者我可以直接留缓冲。我可以就用1%作为例子,或者2%。然后说如果我进入这笔交易,股票价格下跌1%或2%,就立即让我出场。

因为对我来说,那个水平实际上是关于我们这里正在进行的这个整合的延续。所以那会让我继续持有。但如果它下跌1%或2%,那我就出场了,对吧?所以你可以那样做。

But I do now want like a takerit or a stop-loss on this. Right? So now we could either look at the chart and say okay should I should I if I was to look at the 78 uh25 level what would I be using for my stop could I use this 7778 yeah but it's like 100 well it's about 50 points below it right so now I have to determine where is going to be my stop loss I can use it as a trigger or I can use it as a percent.

Percent is way easier to go. There's no doubt in my mind, right? Way easier. So now I can say or I can just pad. I could just use like 1% as an example or 2%. And say if I enter this trade and the stock price drops 1% or 2% just immediately get me out. because really that level for me is about a continuation from this consolidation that we're having right here.

And so that would allow me to continue. But if it drops down 1 or 2% then I'm out, right? So you could do it that way.

我一直很喜欢用基于百分比的方式。一般来说,50%对我来说很容易。在正常市场中,我通常用50%。50%止盈,50%止损,而在这个疯狂的市场中,早上的波动可能会让我出场。还有所有这些头条新闻。

所以有时候我喜欢降低我的止盈。不过,既然指数本身一直很强,而底层市场没那么强,我想我可能就用一个百分比,看看这最终会不会奏效。

I always really just like to use a percentagebased. Typically speaking 50% is is easy for me. I in a normal market I typically go 50%. 50% takeprofit, 50% stop-loss here with this crazy market, you know, uh the volatility on the morning may may get me out of it.

Uh as well as, you know, all these headlines. So sometimes I like to lower my my profit uh taking. However, since the indices itself has been strong, the market underneath not so much, I think I might just go with a percentage and see if this ends up working.

现在如果我回到我的订单界面,我要把它改成高级订单,因为我这里有一个单腿,但我想做一个OCO。所以我要做的是,先让第一个触发一个OCO,然后调出两个卖出订单。我在这里右键,选择创建一个反向订单,再创建一个重复订单,因为我需要两个单元格。

记住,因为我已经给这个编过程序,所以程序会出现在另一个订单上。所以你必须把它清除掉,除非你足够聪明,在这一切之前就把这些订单调出来。现在我要做的是进入齿轮图标,确保把它关掉。我只需要移除spx,程序就被去掉了。

然后从这里我当然可以按百分比来做。其实更简单的做法是直接到界面上,不用手动点击触发,然后你点击百分号,我们做一个50%的止损和50%的止盈。

Uh let's see here. So now if I go back to my uh order form, uh I'm now going to uh move this to an advanced order because I have a single here, but I want to do an OCO. So what I'm going to do is go first triggers an OCO and then I'm going to bring up two sell orders.

And so I just rightclick on here and say create an opposite order and uh create a duplicate order because I need two cells. And remember because I already programmed this that programming is going to be in the other one.

So you have to clear it unless you're smart enough to bring these orders up before all this. Right? So now what I want to do is I want to go into the gear icon and I want to make sure that I take that off.

And all I got to do is just remove uh spx and it takes the programming off. And then of course from here I can do a percentage. It's easier uh really then to just go to the face of this and instead of manual hit trigger and then you're going to click the percent sign and let's do a 50% stoploss and a 50% take profit.

我的灯刚才是不是灭了?等一下,各位。看看我的灯是不是亮了。刚才有点奇怪。抱歉,各位。现在你们能看到我了。刚才大概真的很暗。那么现在这里,这是标普上的50%止盈,对吧?然后这里,我要做一个触发,我要在这上面做一个负值。

让我确认一下我拿到负号。我要输入五,然后跳出。所以现在你可以看到我有一个50%的止盈和一个50%的止损。这就是一种方法,你可以直接看你的图表,如果你有一个价位,或者你可以用现有的支撑和阻力位,对吧?

然后用那个支撑和阻力作为价位,让你进场或出场一笔交易,或者用来制定策略,比如说,嘿,你知道,现在我们处在7790。如果它突破7835上方,我就做多一个看涨期权。如果它跌破这个价位,你其实可以取我们这里小时图的最低点771。

我会用7770做一个看跌期权,然后你的止盈在哪里?它可以在下一个价位,或者你直接按百分比来做。

Did my light just go out? Hold on, guys. Let's see if I got my lights. That was kind of weird. Sorry about that, guys. Now you can see me. It was probably like really dark. So now here, this is a 50% takerprofit on S&P, right?

And then here, I'm going to do a trigger and I'm going to do a negative on this. Let me make sure I get my negative. And I'm going to do a five and tab out. And so now you can see I have a 50% takeprofit and a 50% stop-loss.

And that's a way that you can just look at your chart if you have a level or you can use an existing kind of support and resistance uh levels there, right? and then use that support and uh uh that support and resistance as levels to get you in or out of a trade or to strategize about hey you know right now we're sitting at 7790.

If it breaks above 7835 I'm in for a a long call. If it breaks below this level you can actually take our low of the hour here 771. I would go 7770 for a put and then where's your takeprofit?

It could be at the next level or you could just do a percentage.

所以举个例子,这是一种简单的方法来提交你的订单并受到保护,对吧?这样你就不必整天坐在电脑前,或者开了一笔交易却没有止损或止盈。我的意思是,你知道,就是这样,你在一笔盈利的交易里,然后你离开电脑,突然回来就变成了一笔亏损的交易,对吧?

所以,这是一种简单的做法。那么,正如你可以看到的,如果我们读一下,它说,好,让我进入这个10月12日的借记价差。我们支付不超过325。而且我们只在触发价真正触及78.25时才进场。

同时让我以50%止盈出场,或者以50%止损出场。这就是现在你可以直接发送订单的方式。现在你的订单已经挂上了。

And so this is an easy way as an example to submit your order and be protected, right? To where you don't have to sit in front of your computer all day or put on a trade and not have a stop-loss or a take profit.

I mean, you know, that's how you, you know, you're in a winning trade and then you leave your computer and then all of a sudden you come back to a losing trade, right? So, this is an easy way to do that.

So, as you could see, if we just read it, it says, "Okay, get me into this October 12th uh debit spread. We're not paying any more than 325." Uh, and we're only getting into this when the trigger actually hits 78.25. also get me out with a 50% take-profit or get me out with a 50% stop-loss.

And this is how now you could go ahead and send it. And now you have your order already on.

我说我们就用这根K线的低点。这是小时图,各位,对吧?小时图。我要用今天这里的K线低点来做一笔看跌期权。我们的低点是777175。我可能会稍微加一点,说7770。如果它跌破那个价位,那我就进入一笔借记价差的看跌期权。

I say let's use this candle's low. This is an hourly chart, guys, right? Hourly chart. I'm going to use the the candle low here today to get into a put. And our low is 777175. I might um just pad that a little and say 7770.

If it breaks below that, then I'm going into a a debit spread uh put.

这个频道对 $SPY 的历次判断

Benzinga 在这只股票上共 6 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-10-08看涨本条
SPY 下跌 0.33%,报 774.68 美元,
2026-09-29看涨
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust 和 Invesco QQQ Trust ETF 分别追踪标普 500 指数和 NASDAQ 100 指数,周二盘前涨跌互现。SPY 下跌 0.038%,至 765.32 美元,
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