SPY 长期目标为 800；仍有下跌空间，可能在通道中部附近反弹，但说话者认为其很有可能继续攀升至 800。他买入 2027 年 12 月看涨期权，因为隐含波动率排名为 16，使权利金便宜；若 SPY 突破 800，该交易将获利。
逐段跳播
因此，我目前正在考虑一个长期目标，即标普500指数在图表上达到800点。如你所见，我们还有下跌空间，如果触及这个通道的中部，我们可能会反弹。但最终，我认为我们很有可能继续沿着这条线攀升，直到达到800。
Therefore, I am currently thinking of a long-term target for the S&P 500 index to reach the 800 level on the chart. As you can see, we have room to fall, and if we reach the middle of this channel, we may bounce back.
But ultimately, I think we have a good chance of continuing to climb this line until we reach 800.
我正在看螺纹指标上的一个“Lip”合约。该合约于9月17日到期，不到一年。我想跳过这一年，转到2027年12月17日的合约到期日。现在我看的是这里的买入期权，因为我认为相关指标可能会继续上升，向800靠拢。
I'm looking at a "Lip" contract on the thread indicator. The contract expires on September 17, which is less than a year. I want to skip the year and move to the contract expiry date of December 17, 2027.
Now I'm looking at a buy option here because I think the correlation indicators could continue to rise towards 800.
几乎全都是0.5或0.6。是的，非常高。我是说，这很好。是的，对吧？我以前从未见过这样的情况。它很高，而现在如果我们为更高的delta付钱，那也没问题。
Almost all of them are 0.5 or 0.6. Yes, it is very high. I mean, it's good. Yes, correct? I have never seen anything like it before. It's high, and now if we're paying for a higher delta, fine.
那么，现在我们看趋势线，我们认为如果“spider”的走势突破800点，我们就已经获利了。我们的delta值仍然非常强，为0.551。
Well, now as we look at the trend lines, we believe that if the "spider" movement breaks above the 800 level, we will have made a profit. Our delta value is still very strong at 0.551.
在这个800的执行合约中，如果我们买入这个合约，目前买价和卖价之间的价差大约为30美分。
In this execution contract at 800, if we buy this contract, the price difference will currently be about 30 cents between the bid price and the ask price.
隐含波动率排名16。因此，在过去52周里回调更便宜，我们的隐含波动率百分比为34。因此，我们目前的期权金相对较低。因此，我们将买入一份delta为0.551的看涨期权合约。这份合约将花费大约5800美元。
Implied volatility rank 16. Therefore, the pullback is cheaper over the last 52 weeks, and the percentage is 34 on our implied volatility. Therefore, our bonuses are relatively low at the moment.
Therefore, we will buy a call option contract with a delta of 0.551. This contract will cost approximately $5800.
这笔交易是买入Spiders股票2027年12月的看涨期权。这份期权的价格是800美元，隐含波动率排名为16，这意味着期权金很便宜。我们本周早些时候谈过这一点。delta为0.5，这很惊人。
这份期权落在我们偏好的Delta范围内。时间周期为420天，所以时机对我们来说正合适，这也让我们的课程能够产生影响。
The deal is to buy a call option on Spiders stock for December 2027. The price of this option is $800, and the implied volatility rank is 16, which means the premium is cheap. We talked about that earlier this week.
The delta is at 0.5, which is amazing. This option falls within the range where we prefer Delta. The time period is 420 days, so the timing is right for us, and this allows our class to be impactful as well.
观察点
这个频道对 $SPY 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 25 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。