$SPY

SPY 自 8 月以来横盘震荡后,最终收涨于 766.17 的短期趋势线支撑位;除非收盘跌破该线,否则仍处于看涨盘整中,而日线收于 781.60 之上将提高下一波上涨至 800 美元关口的可能性。

看涨他说的是几周内
《Hot PPI Inflation Shocks Markets: Tech Rebounds Off Lows》
Verified Investing发布 2026-10-15 · 2 段内容
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2 段内容

标普500指数收涨。

The S&P 500 finished in the green.

好,首先我们来看标普500指数。来了。好,可以看到在标普500指数的日线图上,我们实际上收涨了28%。我画了一条趋势线,就是昨天我强调过的那条,它可能是一个近期支撑位,而标普500指数至少近期确实就是这样走的。

它很好地守住了自己。它确实跌破了那个头肩形态,但至少在近期,我们从8月以来一直在标普500指数的这个区间里反复震荡。所以我们现在基本上就卡在这个区间里。跌一点,涨一点,但标普500指数实际上表现相当不错。

切到周线图,那看起来就是一大堆盘整。所以尽管科技股一片飘红,至少目前股市真的没什么好担心的。既然spiders、标普500指数一直保持强势,这就给了我们机会继续上攻到那个目标位,即使头肩、反向头肩形态已经从图表上消失了。

在价格开始收在这条趋势线下方之前,我们仍处于看涨的盘整形态中,而今天我们触及了这条趋势线。所以,766.17这个位置非常有可能。这就是明天进入周末前你需要关注的。我们会收在那下方吗?

如果不会,标普500指数近期就是安全的。然后我会关注任何收在78160上方的日线收盘,因为那将增加接下来向上走出下一波、触及800美元这个位置的概率。考虑到这是一个如此重要的心理整数关口,我想一旦我们收在781上方,几乎可以肯定我们会一路推升到800美元这个位置。

All right, so first off, let's get into the S&P 500. There we go. All right, you can see on the S&P 500 daily time frame, we actually finished in the green up 28%. I've got a trend line drawn, one of which that I highlighted yesterday, that this could be a near-term level of support, and that's exactly what occurred at least near-term on the S&P 500. great save for itself.

It did break down underneath that head and shoulders pattern, but at least in the near in the near term, we're all chopping sideways in this range on the S&P 500 all the way back since August, guys.

So, we've now been basically stuck in this range. A little bit down, a little bit up, but really the S&P 500 is doing quite well. You flip to the weekly time frame, that just looks like a whole bunch of consolidation.

So there's really nothing to worry about at least for now in the stock market despite all the red that was on the screen with tech. Now since the spiders the S&P 500 have remained strong that gives us the opportunity to still push up to that target even though the head and should inverse head and shoulders pattern is taken off the chart.

We're still in a bullish consolidation pattern until price starts closing underneath this uh trend line and which we touched today guys. So, it's very much possibility at 766.17.

That's what you need to be watching tomorrow going into the weekend. Do we close under that? If not, the S&P 500 for the near-term is safe. And then I would be looking for any daily closes above 78160 as that will increase probabilities for the next leg higher up here to tag this $800 mark.

And considering that's such a big psychological whole round number, I imagine it's almost a guarantee once we get a close over 781, we're going to be pressing up there to the $800 mark.

观察点

SPY日线收于781.60之上
收于781.60之上
短期内,从明天起至周末SPY每日收盘价
支持向800美元关口的上攻

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