$SPY

SPY 接近7707:略偏看涨,但仓位接近持平且对冲较重。他关注7400,因为200日移动均线正向该位上行;若跌破可能带来快速下跌,6900则像磁石一样吸引价格。

看涨他说的是几周内
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Drawbridge Finance发布 2026-10-20 · 6 段内容
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6 段内容
3:2621:17

我想把我的长期持仓,比如 SPY、SPLG 之类的,

I wanted to take my long-term holdings like um SPY, SPLG, whatever,

而不是有人看着标普 500 下跌 10%,然后说,我的百万美元投资组合在 10% 的回撤中可能会损失 100,000 美元。

Instead of somebody looking at a 10% draw down in the S&P 500 and saying, you know, my million-doll portfolio could lose $100,000 on a 10% draw draw down.

我有备兑看涨期权 ETF,嗯,标普 500 敞口,所以今天,我们来看看标普 500。我们来看看市场上发生了什么。

I've got covered call ETFs, um, S&P 500 exposure, So today, we're going to look at the S&P 500. We're going to look at what's going on in the market.

我们从标普 500 开始。目前价格走势不错。我对此非常兴奋。我们交易在 7707,我有一个日线交易,今天峰值在 7700。我们一直在顺势操作,或者说我最近一段时间一直在顺势操作。所以,那笔交易非常非常好。

So, we're going to start at the S&P 500. Nice little price action right now. I'm very excited about this. We're trading at 7707 and I have like a daily trade on that is today is is um the peak is sitting at 7700.

We've been kind of riding that or I've been kind of riding that for the last little while. So, that trade has been very very nice.

我目前的 delta 相对于标普是 25。所以相对持平,但我总是非常非常持平。嗯,很多时候我是负的。现在,我对这个市场略微看涨。所以,如果我们开始上涨,我不会亏钱;如果我们下跌,我也有大量对冲。我真的很关注下面这个水平,6920。

My deltas right now are 25 compared to the S&P. So, relatively flat, but I'm always very very flat. Um many times I'm negative. Right now, I'm slightly bullish on this market. So, if we do start to get a move up, I'm not going going to be losing money if we go down.

I have tons of hedges in. I'm really watching this level down here, the 6920.

我担心的是这种价格走势的重演。所以,如果我们跌破 200 日移动平均线,这就是我在寻找的那种走势。6,900 可能起到磁铁的作用。如果我们真的跌破 7,400 这个水平,那才是需要关注的水平,200 日移动平均线非常非常接近那里。

在这个区间,在 7,300 到 7,000 之间的交易区间,交易非常清淡,因为今年早些时候我们经历的那波上涨。所以,如果我们向下突破,呃,可能会相当快速地下跌,这是我正在关注的事情。

What I'm concerned about is a repeat of this kind of price action here. So, if we get into a draw down below this 200 day moving average, this is the kind of move I'm looking for.

This 6,900 could act as a magnet. If we were to break down below this 7,400 level really, that's the level to watch where the two the 200 day moving average is coming up very very close to that.

And in this range, in this trading range between 7,300 and 7,000, very light trading because of the move up that we experienced earlier this year. So, if we were to breach down, uh, it could be rather rapid descent and it's something I'm watching.

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