$SPY · Verified Investing · 2026-11-02
SPY今天跌破两条趋势线,但未确认破位,目前接近低点,近期表现不佳。支撑位于2022年10月上倾平行通道顶部;若未来几天出现抛压,约742是下一支撑。
逐段跳播
标普500也一样,但很明显,尽管美国原油在图表上大幅下跌,目前我们仍由科技板块的情绪主导。但我们先来看标普500,看看今天走出了什么行情。现在,在日线图上可以看得很清楚。上周是一根大阴线,各位。
记得我们周四谈过,周三我们重新站回了这条上升趋势线。周四守住了那条趋势线,但随后,我的天,一个多大的跳空低开。今天我们跌破了另外两条不同的趋势线。我们没有确认这次跌破。但我们确实仍徘徊在低点附近。
标普500短期来看一点都不好。现在,支撑位并不远。就是这条更长期的上升平行通道的上沿部分。你可以看到这个平行通道早在2022年10月就形成了。我们一直只是在它上方运行、在其上方反弹。
这也是我在讲突破回踩反弹策略时解释过的原因之一:当价格向上突破一条上升趋势线时,这些策略可以奏效。但如果没有价格立刻回到那个平行通道内部,就很难维持这种动能,因为毕竟突破一条上升趋势线或上升平行通道属于延伸走势。
所以,如果明天我们看到这种情况,还会有进一步的抛压。注意图上742附近有一个平台,那里有这么多天的盘整,那些K线的高点都收在这个位置。同时也有相反的情况,即K线收在上方、影线正好落在这个区间。
如果未来几天标普500遭遇抛压,这就是下一道支撑位。
Same with the S&P, but clearly we are driven by tech sentiment right now despite US oil crashing down on the charts. but let's get into the S&P 500 first to see what action we've got today.
Now, you can see here cleanly on the daily time frame. Last week was a big down candle, guys. Remember we were talking about on Thursday how we secured back into this inclining trend line on Wednesday.
Thursday held on to that trend line, but then my goodness, what a big gap down. We broke down beneath two different trend lines today. We didn't confirm the breakdown. Uh but we certainly are still hanging out near the lows.
Not good on the S&P 500 near-term whatsoever. Now, we do have support that's not that far away. That's this longer term uh top portion of the inclining parallel channel. You can see this parallel established back in October of 2022.
We've simply just been trying to navigate on top bouncing above. This is one of the reasons that I've explained on our breakout retrace bounce plays that they can work when they break out to the upside of an inclining breakout.
But it's just hard to maintain that momentum without price coming right back inside that parallel channel because after all it's extended to break out of an inclining trend line or inclining parallel channel.
So further selling pressure if we see that tomorrow. Notice that there's this shelf right here around 742 on the charts that has all these days of consolidation where the high end of those candles finish right on top.
And we also have the uh opposite where we have candles closing above made wicks right in that range. That's the next level of support should we see selling pressure hit the S&P 500 in the coming days.
这个频道对 $SPY 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 32 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。