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$STRL

$STRL · Mark Roussin, CPA · 2026-11-05

AI 摘要 · Mark Roussin, CPA

买入 STRL,因为增长是真实的:第三季度营收增长近127%至近16亿美元,调整后每股收益增长约118%至7.58美元,积压订单约61亿美元,同比增长近80%(若计入未签约的设计阶段项目则为80亿美元)。过去十二个月跌幅超过25%,使远期市盈率仅为12.9倍,对应明年约28美元的每股收益。风险在于数据中心项目延迟、建筑成本上升或超大规模云厂商削减支出。

看涨他说的是几年内
《3 Stocks I Just BOUGHT》
Mark Roussin, CPA发布 2026-11-05 · 16 段内容
00:38/ —打开原视频

逐段跳播

16 段内容
0:3816:44

随着人工智能基础设施的需求持续上升,第二家公司正在经历非凡的增长。

The second company is experiencing exceptional growth as demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure continues to rise .

这是 Sterling Infrastructure Company 的股票,交易代码是 STRL。我认为,Sterling 是投资人工智能基础设施建设最值得关注的途径之一。

It is a stock of Sterling Infrastructure Company, and its trading symbol is STRL. I think Sterling represents one of the most interesting ways to invest in building AI infrastructure.

Sterling 为那些大型、关键任务型项目提供专业基础设施服务,包括场地开发和电气工程。Sterling 最了不起的地方在于,他们能很好地把握摆在面前的机会。他们有与建筑解决方案和运输解决方案相关的项目,但正如你们在屏幕上看到的,数据中心的涌入和需求已经把这项业务推向了新的高度,他们最新的财报也非常出色。

Sterling provides specialist infrastructure services, including site development and electrical works, for those large, mission-critical projects . The great thing about Sterling is how they adapt to the opportunity presented to them.

They have projects related to building solutions and transportation solutions, but as you can see on your screens, the influx and demand for data centers has pushed this business to new heights, and their latest earnings report was exceptional.

第三季度营收同比增长近127%,达到近16亿。这一增长部分来自收购,但有机营收增长仍约为70%。这简直难以置信。至于调整后每股收益,增长了约118%,达到每股7.58美元。

Third quarter revenues increased by nearly 127% year-on-year, reaching nearly 1.6 billion. Part of this growth came from acquisitions, but organic revenue growth was still around 70%.

This is unbelievable. As for adjusted earnings per share , they increased by approximately 118% to reach $7.58 per share.

但真正引起我注意的是这一点。Sterling 的业务总积压订单已达到约61亿美元。这比上一年增长了近80%。当管理层把仍处于设计阶段的项目和其他已识别的机会加进来后,总额升至80亿美元。

But here's what really caught my attention. Sterling's total backlog of business has reached approximately $6.1 billion . This is an increase of nearly 80% compared to the previous year.

When management adds projects that are still in the design phase and other identified opportunities, the total rises to $8 billion.

不过,这些都不代表已签署的合同,我希望你们明白这一区别,因为投资者不应把每一个潜在项目都当作有保证的收入来源。但这能说明 Sterling 所面临的需求水平。

Now, none of this represents signed contracts, and I want to make sure you understand this difference because investors should not treat every potential project as a guaranteed revenue stream.

But it gives an indication of the level of demand that Sterling is experiencing.

过去一周,我们听到了 Amazon、Alphabet 和 Microsoft 等公司的消息,这里仅举几例。它们传递的信息高度一致。它们继续在建设人工智能基础设施上投入巨额资金,有些公司投入更多。

在几个案例中,它们预计明年的资本支出还会再次增加。这些支出不会自动一比一地转化为 Sterling 的收入,但它强化了我刚才谈到的、也是 Sterling 所支撑的更广泛的需求环境。

Over the past week, we have heard from companies such as Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft, to name a few. The message was remarkably consistent. They continue to spend huge sums on building artificial intelligence infrastructure, some more than others.

In several cases, they expect capital expenditures to increase again next year. This spending does not automatically convert dollar for dollar into revenue for Sterling, but it reinforces the broader demand environment that I was talking about and that Sterling supports.

最新的管理层调查结果显示,公司正从中受益。电子基础设施解决方案的收入同比增长超过200%。管理层已上调全年指引。所以,我们看到强劲的需求正在转化为实际的收入和真实的利润增长。

The latest management findings indicate that the company is benefiting from this. Revenues from electronic infrastructure solutions have increased by more than 200% year-on-year.

The administration has raised its guidelines for the entire year. So, we are seeing strong demand translating into actual revenue and real profit growth.

回到 InvestingPro,我们看到 Sterling 的股价已经下跌,尤其是在最近的选举之后,因为投资者担心人工智能行业放缓。过去十二个月里,我们看到该股目前已下跌超过25%,但这一跌幅已经消化了大部分放缓影响,甚至更多。

Returning to InvestingPro, we see that Sterling shares have declined, especially after the recent elections, as investors fear a slowdown in the artificial intelligence sector.

Over the past twelve months, we see that stocks have now fallen by more than 25%, but this decline has already absorbed much of that slowdown and more.

投资模型仍显示公允价值约为每股445美元,而该股目前市值约为100亿美元。

Investment models still indicate a fair value of around $445 per share, and the stock's current market capitalization is around $10 billion.

再看盈利预测,我们看到分析师仍预计 Sterling 明年每股收益将达到约28美元,这意味着远期市盈率仅为12.9倍。对于一家今年盈利增长100%、明年增长25%的公司来说,即使把放缓考虑在内,也只有12倍利润。这简直难以置信。

Turning to earnings forecasts, we see that analysts still expect Sterling to achieve earnings per share of around $28 next year, which implies a forward price-to-earnings ratio of only 12.9 times.

Twelve times the profit for a company whose earnings are growing by 100% this year and 25% next year, even taking the slowdown into account. This is unbelievable.

现在说说风险。如果大型数据中心项目延期、建设成本上升,或者这些巨头最终决定削减支出,该股可能面临显著压力。还有一个细节值得关注。Sterling 已签署的积压工作量较上一季度略有下降,尽管同比仍显著更高。

这并不自动说明需求疲软,尤其是考虑到公司执行项目的速度如此之快,但这是需要关注的事情,因为我不想盲目假设积压工作量会永远增长。

Now, here are the risks. If major data center projects are delayed, construction costs rise, or the giant companies ultimately decide to cut spending, the stock could face significant pressure.

There is another detail that deserves attention. Sterling's signed backlog of work fell slightly compared to the previous quarter, although it remained significantly higher year-on-year.

This does not automatically indicate weak demand, especially given how quickly the company is executing its projects, but it is something to monitor because I don't want to blindly assume that the backlog of work will grow forever.

简而言之,我买入 Sterling 的股票,是因为增长是真实的。需求是明确的,而且我相信人工智能基础设施的投资周期仍有很大的空间。

In short, I bought Sterling shares because the growth is real. The demand is clear, and I believe the investment cycle in artificial intelligence infrastructure still has plenty of room to go.

这和我们之前看 Sterling 时的积压订单类似。

It's similar to the backlog of orders we were looking at with Sterling.

所以,这就是我最近买入的三只股票:UnitedHealth、Sterling 和 Vertief。Sterling 受益于建设大型数据中心。

So, these are the three stocks I recently bought: UnitedHealth, Sterling, and Vertief. Sterling benefits from building huge data centers.

但 Sterling 和 Vertief 有一个共同的主要风险。两者都在不同程度上依赖数据中心基础设施的持续投资。因此,尽管它们经营于不同行业,但并非完全独立的投资。

But Sterling and Vertief share one major risk. Both depend to varying degrees on continued investment in data center infrastructure. Therefore, although they operate in different sectors, they are not completely independent investments.

观察点

下一份季报中已签约订单储备的走势
已签约订单储备环比进一步下降
下一份季报季度财报
削弱需求论点

这个频道对 $STRL 的历次判断

Mark Roussin, CPA 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

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