STX 从 700 美元反弹,可能还有几天上行空间,但此后我仍预计会有更多下行,可能回撤至 860 美元并在该处遇阻;618 斐波那契位尚未触及,很可能仍需触及,而 Toshiba 的市场份额侵蚀仍是未来的不利因素。
逐段跳播
STX 最后是从低点回升收盘,还是收在高点?天哪,这只股票今早大幅下跌,跌破了 700 美元,现在收在 747 美元。让我画一个简单的工具来说明价格走势为何下跌、为何如此表现。
各位,你可以看到,这就是斐波那契回撤。现在,让我把所有斐波那契都放进来,说明一下。我坐在这里等着。是的。好。嘿,你说过它会触及,但猜猜怎么着?有时候它偏偏不会。看这个。700 美元这个心理整数关口。
所以,当你把这些因素考虑进去,各位,我们看到的斐波那契回撤显然今天并没有跌到那个水平。并没有真正进入超卖。获得了一次很棒的反弹。我认为,就像我在 SMH 上指出的那样,这可能会给 STX 带来几天更多的上行空间。
那种情形下会发生什么?我们已经出现了一次跌破。还没有从这条平行通道回撤。我们很可能会回撤。看,X 标记的位置。860 美元。然后回落行情就来了,因为各位,这个 618 还没有被触及。
未来它很可能仍需要被触及。现在,Toshiba 的消息正在侵蚀 STX 的市场份额。这很可能会在未来继续成为逆风。所以,尽管我预计 STX 在短期小幅上行之后,仍会有更多下行空间,正好到 X 标记的位置,并在那个位置遭到拒绝。
Where's STX finishing off the lows and at the highs? Goodness gracious, this uh stock had a huge drop this morning, piercing $700, now finishing up here at $747. Let me draw one simple tool to illustrate why price action came down and did what it did.
Guys, you can see here and it's the fib retracement. Now, let me get all the fibs in here and illustrate that one. I'm sitting here waiting. Yes. All right. Hey, you said it was going to hit, but guess what?
Sometimes they don't instead. Look at this. The $700 psychological whole round number. So when you take into these um elements into effect guys, we've got fib retraces obviously didn't g didn't get down to that level today.
Didn't get quite oversold. Received a fantastic bounce. One that I think like I've pointed out on the SMH could lead into a couple more days of upside something on STX. What would happen in that scenario?
We've had a breakdown. Have not yet had a retrace from this parallel. We likely will retrace. Look at X marks the spot. $860. And then the fade play comes in because guys, this 618 has not been hit yet.
It likely still will need to get hit in the future. Now, Toshiba news incur encroaching on the market share of STX. That's likely going to continue to be a headwind in the future.
So, I still though anticipate more downside with XTX after a little bit of near-term upside right into X marks the spot and a rejection from that location.
这个频道对 $STX 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 3 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。