$SWK · Verified Investing · 2026-11-04
SWK 财报后大涨 13%，每股收益超预期 48.5%，但营收低于预期 0.15%，RSI 因此达到 83.47，所以盘整或回落至其平行区间顶部附近的可能性大于继续上涨。129.68 美元的阻力位可能引发大幅下跌，预计 SWK 会被拉回 110 美元上方枢轴附近；RSI 调整后，一种情景是反弹至 139.56 美元的 50% 斐波那契水平。
逐段跳播
首先是Stanley Black & Decker。天哪，看看这个走势，上涨了13%。这是这只股票有史以来表现最好的日子之一。
First, Stanley Black & Decker. Oh my God, look at this movement , a 13% increase. One of the best days this stock has ever seen.
现在，你也可以看到这一点。我们已经公布完财报，每股收益以48.5%的漂亮幅度领先。不过，营收略低于预期0.15%。
And now, you can see this too. We have finished announcing earnings, with a nice lead in earnings per share of 48.5%. However, revenues fell slightly short of expectations by 0.15%.
投资者对Stanley Black & Decker的送股做出了反应，推动其在图表上走高，突破了这条上升平行通道。
Investors reacted to the bonus share of Stanley Black & Decker, which drove it upwards on the chart, breaking through this ascending parallel channel.
这对他来说是个不错的走势，但请注意这里的相对强弱指数（RSI），即使已经从峰值回落，我们仍在83.47。这告诉我，这波走势开始盘整、甚至回落到平行区间顶部附近的可能性，实际上比继续上涨的可能性更大。
It's a nice move for him, but note here the Relative Strength Index (RSI), we are at 83.47, even with the pullback from the peak . This tells me that the likelihood of this move starting to consolidate, if not pull back near the top of the parallel range, is actually more likely than it continuing to rise.
现在，如果这在超买状态下发生，它会触及下一个阻力位，然后相当急剧地下跌。
Now, if this happens with an overbought condition, it will hit the next resistance level and then decline fairly sharply.
那么，那个位置会在哪里？你可以看到我已经标出了斐波那契水平，而且我有一条上升趋势线，如果图表上继续上涨，这条线很可能会限制价格。它就在130美元水平下方，位于129.68美元。
So, where will that level be? You can see that I have already identified Fibonacci levels, and I have an upward trend line that is likely to limit the price if we continue to rise on the charts . This is just below the $130 level at $129.68.
我预计，即使出现上冲甚至横盘走势，我们也很可能仍会被拉回到这个平行区间顶部附近。注意，这些枢轴点的上限在110美元。如果我们开始转为下行，这是合理的；如果这需要一些时间，它们可能都会恰好汇聚到这个平行区间上方的同一位置。
I expect that even with an upward push or even a sideways movement, we are likely to remain drawn back down near the top of this parallel range. Note that the upper limit of these pivot points is at $110.
This makes sense if we start turning downwards, and if it takes some time, it may all coincide at exactly the same location above this parallel range.
这大致把我们带到2月份，但这可能是SWK继续反弹、然后上攻下一个关键位之前的一种情景，即139.56美元的50%斐波那契回撤位，这是图表上下跌前的一个前期支撑位。
This puts us roughly in February, but this could be one scenario before SWK continues to bounce back and then attack this next key level , the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $139.56, which was a previous support level before the drop on the chart.
一切看起来都合乎逻辑，但它需要先调整相对强弱指数（RSI），才能继续进一步向上爬升，不过这对SWK来说是一个不错的走势。
Everything seems logical, but it needs to adjust its Relative Strength Index (RSI) before it can continue crawling upwards further, but it's a good move for SWK.