看空TGT；图表走势转弱且技术指标偏空，预示进一步下行。
逐段跳播
你的第一个标的是 Target。我是我称之为黑洞的那家店的常客，它就在 Schwab Network 这条街往上一点。但你怎么看 Target，Don？
You've got Target as your first pick here. I am a regular at what I call the black hole as it's just up the street here from Schwab Network. But how are you looking at Target, Don?
是的，你知道吗？我对 Target 非常非常了解。所以，这个实际上会是一个看空交易。图表已经掉头向下了，对吧？它从 170 跌到了 155。
Yeah, you know what? I know I know that Target very very well. So, uh, this one's actually going to be a bearish trade. The chart rolled over, right? Um, it's rolled from 170 down to the 155.
我认为在这一点上，他们到来只是时间问题，也就是卖方开始冲着 Target 而来，而这对我来说就足以让我想买入一个虚值价差。
I think at this point, it's only a matter of time before they uh, they come. that is the sellers start coming for uh for Target and that's enough for me to want to purchase an out- of the money spread.
所以在 Target 上，我会一直做到 D18 期权到期日，用这个来给自己大约 77 天的时间。我会买入 145 看跌期权，同时卖出 135 看跌期权。这是一个完整的 10 美元宽跨式价差，成本为 260 美元借方。
So in target, I'm going to go all the way out to the D18 options expiration and I'm using that to give myself what 77 days, little bit of time. I'm going to buy the 145 puts. I'm going to sell the 135 puts against it.
It's a full $10 wide spread done for a $260 debit.
好的，Rick。我们来看 Target 的技术面，它今年以来上涨了近 60%，但这里在寻找一次小幅回调。145 引起了我的注意。原因是那是一个缺口位，也是随后的低点。所以这条绿线就是 Don 在这里讨论的那笔交易的上方行权价。
All right, Rick. So, as we look at the technicals here for Target, it is up almost 60% year to date, but looking for a small pullback here. Well, 145 caught my eye. The reason why is that was a gap level and also a subsequent low.
So that's this green line right here would be the upper strike for that trade that Don was discussing here.
不过与此同时，我们最近一直处在一个非常、相当窄的区间内。我们这里有一个大约 160 的旧低点，然后它变成了上限。接着区间的下限大约在 154、155 左右。
Uh in the meantime though, we've been in a very uh rather tight range recently. So we had an old low point here at around 160 and then that became the ceiling. Then the floor of the range was around 154 155 or so.
更大的图景是，我们这里有一条向上倾斜的白色趋势线。最近几天还有一条较短期的向下倾斜趋势线。所以交易者最近在 Target 股票上看到的是横盘震荡。
Uh the broader picture is that we've had an upward sloping white trend line here. A shorter term downward sloping trend line as well uh in the recent days. So a sideways grind is what traders have been seeing in uh target shares recently here.
我们还有两条移动均线的汇合。我们的 5 日和 21 日指数移动均线大约在 156 到 157 之间。
So we also have a confluence of our two moving averages. Our 5-day and our 21-day exponential moving averages between 156 and 157 or so.
不过我确实注意到，趋势在这里似乎有点走弱。我们较快的 5 日均线低于较慢的 21 日均线。这里我们用金色的 63 日均线代表一个季度。它落在 15149。如果我们真的开始跌破趋势线，那可能是另一个值得关注的点。
So I do notice though that the trend does seem to be slipping a little bit here. Our faster 5-day is below its slower 21-day counterpart. Here we have our 63-day in gold representing one quarter. 15149 is where that one comes in.
If we do start to break below our trend line, that could be another point to watch.
RSI 也表现出更多看跌的迹象。我们位于 50 中位线下方。我们有一条向下倾斜的趋势线在起作用。我们有望创出新的相对低点。所以也许根据这些指标，信号更指向一次破位。
RSI also exhibiting some more bearish behavior. We are below the 50 midline. We have a downward sloping trend line in play. We are on pace to make new relative lows. So perhaps uh uh the signs are pointing more toward a a breakdown based on these uh indicators.
到目前为止，我们的成交量分布研究显示，我们在 153 到 166 这里有一个节点。一旦我们真的开始跌破它——如果真跌破的话，我应该说——这里在 140 和 148 左右有几个非常小的活动区域。
但直到这下面接近 130 之前，没有什么真正重要的。
So far our volume profile study shows that we have a node here 153 to 166. Once we do start to get below that if if we do I I should say uh there's a couple very small pockets of activity here around 140 and 148 or so.
Uh but nothing really too significant until down here near 130.
好的。今天我们来看 Target，它这里下跌了大约 0.7%。
All right. And today we are looking at Target uh down about 7/10en of a percent here.
这个频道对 $TGT 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。