$TSLA · The Motley Fool · 2026-11-06
特斯拉停产Cybertruck并将该产能转向Cyber Cab是合理的,但这引出一个问题:特斯拉是否还想做一家汽车公司——已有一段时间没有真正的产品更新,全球电动车销售承压,国际竞争对手进入大众市场低成本电动车细分领域比特斯拉更有效,其战略因此不明朗。
逐段跳播
在我们开始录制前几分钟,我确实想谈谈 Tesla。Elon Musk 宣布 Cybertruck 将相对较快地停产。Lou,我们现在已经看到 Tesla 停止生产 Model S,而我认为正是 Model S 真正成就了这家公司,还有 Model X。
现在轮到 Cybertruck,他们正完全专注于——他们要把那部分制造产能转给新的 Cyber Cab。
I did want to touch on Tesla before We started recording only a few minutes. Elon Musk announced that the Cyber Truck is going to be ending relatively soon. Lou, we have now seen Tesla stop producing the Model S, which is really what I think kind of made that company what it is today, the Model X.
And now the Cybertruck, they're focusing entirely on they're going to transition that manufacturing uh capacity to their new Cyber Cab.
嗯,从某种意义上说,你怎么花了这么久?好吧,它一直没成功。所以我认为他们能从中走出来是好事。但问题在于,他们想不想做一家汽车公司,尤其是如果这场大合并即将到来,那将是一家非常多元化的公司,能源、AI,还有自动驾驶,所有这些 Cyber 出租车,有很多方向可走。
他们甚至对自己现有的产品也很久没有做过产品更新了。是那种真正的更新,就像你在底特律看到的那样。我知道批评一直是,你不想变得像底特律,但在某种程度上,让消费者对你的产品不感到厌倦,是更好的卖产品方式。
我不认为这是真的,但我有时会想,如果这场合并发生,尤其是考虑到中国这个巨大的麻烦——国防承包商不应该在中国有大规模制造业务,而 SpaceX 就是一家国防承包商。我几乎会想,长期愿景的一部分是不是干脆把汽车业务剥离出去,或者干脆不再做这块了。
Well, in one sense, what you what took you so long? Okay, they it hadn't worked, you know. So, so, so I I think good on them for, you know, moving on from it. But there are questions like, do they want to be an auto company, especially if there is this big merger coming and there's going to be it's going to be a very diversified company, energy, AI, there's uh self-driving with all, you know, these cyber taxi, there's a lot of directions to go.
They haven't done a product refresh even with what they have in a while. Just a a real refresh like you see from Detroit. I know the criticism always been, you know, you don't want to be like Detroit, but to some extent having consumers who aren't bored with your product is a better way to sell product.
I I don't think this is true, but I sometimes wonder like if this merger happens and especially with so much kind of the China headache where defense contractors aren't supposed to have major manufacturing footprints in China and SpaceX is a defense contractor.
I do almost wonder if part of the long-term vision is is to just carve autos off or just kind of not do that anymore.
这似乎与之前的说法相比是一个很大的转变。仅仅四五年前,他们还应该每季度生产25万辆 Cybertruck。在我看来,这才是这里的关键所在,这并不是说 Tesla 反对创新,但这确实引出一个问题:你为什么要这么做,为什么现在这么做。
你可能会说,这是为了在潜在合并之前精简产品线、放弃某个细分市场,但我也觉得有意思的是,放眼全局,全球电动汽车的销售都面临挑战,而 Tesla 一直以来都说我们要成为大众市场、低成本的电动汽车生产商。
显然,Cybertruck 并不符合大众市场、低成本的定义。所以,你可以说这是 Tesla 在更真正地回归本源。但如果你看看他们的一些国际竞争对手,他们在进入大众市场、低成本汽车方面比 Tesla 有效得多。
所以我确实不得不怀疑,如果他们决定走高端路线,他们的战略究竟是什么。按你的说法,也许那就是 cyber cab,也许是 Cybertruck 之后的新创新,或者利用其中一部分产能真正回归本源,努力造出一款在美国上路、成本更接近 1.5 万或 2 万美元的电动汽车。
seems like a big shift from the narrative. only what four or five years ago they were supposed to be producing a quarter million cyber trucks that that in my opinion is the the big thing here which is not to say that Tesla is against innovation but it does beg the question of why are you doing this and why are you doing this now and um you could say it's simplifying a product line to lose point ahead of a potential merger but I also think it's interesting that when you look across the board sales of electric vehicles globally have been challenged and Tesla for forever has said we are going to be a mass market lowcost producer of electric vehicles Obviously, the Cybert truck does not meet that definition of mass market low cost.
So, you could say this is Tesla getting back trueer to its roots. But if you look at some of their international competition, they're entering the mass market lowcost vehicle a lot more effectively than Tesla is.
So, I do have to wonder here about what their strategy is if they decided to go premium. And to your point, maybe that's the cyber cap. Maybe it's new innovations post cyber truck.
Or if we use some of this capacity to really get back to the roots and try to get a vehicle that costs closer to 15 or$20,000 in electric vehicles on the road here in the United States.
与几年前的预期相比,Tesla 的销售情况并不理想。我知道你并不是说 Cybertruck 就等于电动汽车,因为整件事的关键,以及 Cybertruck 所发生情况的关键,就在于它不是人们想要的那种电动汽车。
Sales are not going great at Tesla compared to what expectations were a few years ago. I know you're not saying that Cybert truck equals EVs because the whole point and and the whole point with what happened to Cybertruck was is it wasn't what people wanted to EVs.
这个频道对 $TSLA 的历次判断
The Motley Fool 在这只股票上共 4 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。