$U · The Motley Fool · 2026-11-04
Uber是一个乏味的复利机器:总预订额同比增长20%,预计下季度再增长20%;出行板块报告营收放缓是英国会计变更所致,并非盈利能力走弱,且营业利润率持续上升。配送业务增速已超过出行,货运业务重新增长,10月趋势改善,18倍远期市盈率和12倍自由现金流使其非常划算。
逐段跳播
Uber 今早发布了财报。Uber 确实今早发布了财报。你看了吗?我们可以简单聊聊。嗯,是的,我认为,首先股价涨了6%,我记得一度涨得更多。总预订量再次同比增长20%。我认为下个季度他们预计还会增长20%。
出行业务收入略有下降,但这也是因为他们在英国不得不做出的业务调整。所以,这影响了它,
Uber reported this morning. Uber did report this morning. Did you look at that one? We can chat about that quick. Uh yeah, I think well one the stock is up 6% was up I think a bit more.
Gross bookings was up 20% year-over-year again. I think next quarter they expected to be up again 20%. uh mobility revenue was down a bit, but that's also because of the business changes that they had to make in the UK. So, that impacted it,
对吧?那我们能简单解释一下吗?嗯,我调出来一下,因为解释这个最好的方式就是展示总预订量与收入的对比。所以当 Uber 有一笔行程时,他们把它记为总预订量,就是这里蓝色的部分。所以上个季度总预订量接近600亿美元,是590多亿,但他们计入收入的只是他们在英国保留的那部分比例。
这是英国的法律,对吧?这个,我不太清楚是谁做的决定,但我认为这不是 Uber 自己的决定,关于怎么——我认为是怎么计入的。但在英国,他们之前把总预订量计入收入,然后今年年初改成了净额。
所以结果就是,同比来看增长显得更慢。具体在英国,增长可能看起来是负的,但你的营业利润率会完全一样,你的销售成本、营业利润等等都会完全一样。所以看起来收入增长放缓了,但营业利润率——看,这些有点周期性。
所以我们就看过去12个月。营业利润率继续向右上方走。所以,如果你之前不知道的话,我只是想提供一些背景。
right? So, can we explain that for just a second? Um, and I'll let me pull up uh because the the way to the best way to explain it is is by showing the total gross bookings versus revenue.
So when um when Uber has a ride, they they book that as a gross booking, which is what you have in blue here. So last quarter 59 of almost $60 billion worth of gross bookings, but then what they account for as revenue is only the the percentage that they keep in the UK.
And this is a UK law, right? This isn't um I'm I'm not super clear on like who made the decision, but I don't think it was Uber's decision about uh how I think how how it was accounted for.
But in the UK, the total gross booking number was what they accounted for as revenue and then that changed at the beginning of this year to be the net number. So as a result, year-over-year the growth looks slower.
In the UK specifically, it probably looks like growth is negative, but your operating margin is going to be exactly the your like your cost of sales, your operating profit, all that kind of stuff is going to be exactly the same.
So, it looks like like revenue growth slows, you know, but operating margin and look at these are uh cyclical a little bit. So, we'll just do trailing 12 months. Operating margin continues to go up and to the right.
So, just I just want to give some context on that if you weren't weren't aware.
是的。但配送业务现在我认为是最大的业务板块。它现在已经超过了出行业务,这对我来说很棒,因为人们说出行业务要没了,但配送业务表现相当不错。货运业务现在也连续第二个季度增长。我们看到了很多增长。仍然仍未盈利,但正在接近盈亏平衡。
Yeah. But the delivery segment is now I think the the biggest segments. It has now outgrown uh mobility which to me is is great because people say oh mobility is going away but the delivery is doing is doing quite well.
Freight is also growing now for the second consecutive quarter. We're seeing a lot of growth. Still still unprofitable but but getting there to break even.
他们预计到今年年底大约有700辆完全自动驾驶汽车。到明年年底超过2000辆。顺便说一句,我有点意外这个数字没有更大。2000辆这个数字,如果你今年是700辆,如果没有更大,那我猜是因为他们的合作伙伴可能无法把供给增加那么多。
但不管怎样,就目前来看,这似乎对他们影响不大。嗯,他们没有需求问题。他们说有一些供应问题,这就是为什么业务在巴西、印度和另一个市场受到了一点影响,但他们说10月份的趋势看起来已经好多了。
They are expecting around 700 fully self-driving cars by the end of this year. Uh over 2,000 by the end of next year. And then I was surprised that that number wasn't bigger. By the way, the 2,000 number, if you're at 700 this year, if it's not bigger, then I guess it's because their partners might not be able to to increase the feed by so much.
But anyways, as of right now, it doesn't seem like this is affecting them that much. Um, they don't have a demand issue. they they said they had some supply issues which is why it impacted the business a little bit in I think Brazil, India and another market but they said that the trend in October looks already much better.
所以,是的,我认为这是个不错的季度。挺有意思的。嗯,我在这档节目之前刚做了 Molly Fool 播客,我们甚至没聊 Uber,因为 Uber 变得有点无聊了。就像他们就会像钟表一样每年增长20%。
他们的前瞻市盈率是18倍。市自由现金流是12倍。我认为这很划算。我喜欢这些无聊的、年复一年持续复利的公司。
So, yeah, I thought it was a good C. It was interesting. Um, I just did the the Molly Fool podcast uh before this show and we didn't even talk about Uber because Uber's become kind of boring.
It's like they're just going to grow 20% year-over-year like clockwork. Their price to earnings multiple on a forward basis is 18. Price to free cash flow is 12. I think that's a great deal.
I love these boring companies that just keep compounding year after year after year.
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