$USO · Verified Investing · 2026-11-02
USO周五在小时图下降趋势线处受阻回落，并收于关键突破位下方，避免了可能升至每桶$148的反向头肩形态走势；这对空头有利。9月盘整区顶部$93.73的近期支撑应会有争夺，可能令抛售停滞。下降趋势线仍是警示：若突破该线，油价可能升至令人痛苦的高位。
逐段跳播
标普500也一样，但很明显，尽管美国原油在图表上大幅下跌，目前我们仍由科技板块的情绪主导。上周我敲响了警钟，说那是一个关键位。现在，油价下跌让多头不高兴，但我们其他这些人会非常乐意看到油价继续下跌，毕竟我们去加油站付钱的时候。
Same with the S&P, but clearly we are driven by tech sentiment right now despite US oil crashing down on the charts. I rang I rung that bell last week about that being a key level.
And right now, bulls aren't happy on oil going down, but all of us uh other individuals are going to be very happy with oil continuing down when we go pay at the pump.
接下来看美国原油，各位，看看这个。谢天谢地，我们在这个位置看到了拒绝。现在，有意思的是，Gareth肯定也向我们在直播日内交易室里的所有人强调了这一点。看看美国原油的小时级别图，重点看这条下降趋势线。
看看周五3点的时候。我们先是冲高，然后直接跌穿那条线，收在一个关键突破位下方。而那个突破本会是反向头肩形态的突破，可能把美国原油推到每桶148美元。所以，这对美国原油的空头来说是好事。
价格在图表上暴跌，这条线被拒绝了。现在，美国原油的短期支撑在哪里？简单，拿出我的趋势线工具，从短期低点画一条枢轴到枢轴的线，你可以看到美国原油的短期支撑并不远，93.73美元，正好在9月前一段价格走势形成的盘整区上方。
说得通吧？在图表上多少都对得上。那应该会是一个争夺区域。很可能导致抛压出现一些停滞。但各位，把这条下降趋势线留在你的图表上。只要它还在，价格就有机会，而如果真的涨上去，天哪，那加油站的价格可能会非常难受。所以，把这条线留在图表上，作为一个警示信号。
Next up into US oil, guys, look at this. And thank goodness we're seeing a rejection at this location. Now, what was curious about this, and Gareth was certainly highlighting this to all of us here in the room, uh, in the live day trading room as well.
Look at the hourly time frame for US oil, highlighting this declining trend line to focus on. Look at this at 3:00 over on Friday. We surged and plunged rather straight through that line to close underneath a key breakout place.
And that breakout would have been for the inverse head and shoulders pattern that could take US oil up to $148 a barrel. So, good thing for bears on US oil. This line got rejected uh as far as price plunging down on the chart.
Now, where can we see support near-term for US oil? Simply just get my uh trend line tool out, draw a pivot to pivot right down from the near-term lows, and you can see near-term uh support not far away on US oil, $93.73, right on top of the consolidation from the previous price action in September.
Makes sense, right? It all somewhat aligns on the chart. That should be an area of contention. Uh likely could cause some stalling out in selling pressure. But guys, keep this declining trend line on your chart.
As long as that's present, it's got an opportunity for price and it does get above, man, we could be into uh some really tough prices at the gas pumps if that does occur. So, keep that on your charts as a warning sign.
这个频道对 $USO 的历次判断
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