Visa在确认看涨旗形形态及50日移动均线交叉后处于向上突破之中;若357支撑位守住,结构依然良好。
逐段跳播
在金融板块,我要说有很多图表我并不太喜欢,但 Visa 是其中之一,我认为它完成了一个看涨旗形形态,类似于标普 500 指数自身的看涨旗形形态,而我认为那个形态在本周初就已经确定了。
现在我们看到本周到目前为止出现了一些向上的跟进。Visa 在周一即 5 日的交易时段收于一个清晰的看涨旗形形态之上,而今天它似乎也在继续上穿 50 日移动均线。提醒一下,看涨旗形形态是一种经典的图表形态,即先有一段大幅上涨,随后是一段高点更低、低点也更低的平行下跌。
在这种情况下,你等待突破上方趋势线,而我们刚刚在周一就得到了这个突破。今天,周二,看起来我们正在延续上行趋势。我认为移动均线仍然重要,所以我们已经突破 50 日这一水平,在我看来强化了这类突破。
如果出现任何形式的疲软,像这样的图表的好处在于,在 357 这一水平附近有清晰的支撑。那是 8 月的摆动低点。它实际上也是看涨旗形形态的最低点。所以,只要我们在回调期间能够守住这一点,我要说结构仍然良好。
目前,我把这视为一次向上突破,本质上是一个持续形态。看动能如何仍处于中性区间,这也令人鼓舞。
In the financial sector, I would say there are many charts that I don't really like, but Visa is one of those that I would argue completes a bullish flag pattern, similar to the S&P 500 with its own bullish flag pattern that, I would argue, was decided at the beginning of this week.
And now we have seen some upward follow-through so far this week. Visa, in Monday's session the 5th, closed above a clear bullish flag pattern, and today it appears to be continuing to move above the 50-day moving average as well.
As a reminder, the bullish flag pattern is a classic chart pattern where you have a large uptrend, followed by a parallel decline at lower highs and lows. In that case, you wait for a breakout above the upper trend line, which we just got on Monday.
Today, Tuesday, it appears that we are continuing on the upward trend. I think moving averages are still important, so the fact that we've broken through the 50-day level reinforces, in my view, this type of breakout.
If there is any kind of weakness, what's great about a chart like this is that there is clear support around the 357 level. Those are the swing lows from August. It is actually the lowest level of the bullish flag pattern as well.
So, as long as we are able to stick to that during setbacks, I would say the structure is still good. At the moment, I see this as an upward breakout, which is essentially a continuation pattern.
See how the momentum remains in that neutral range, which is also encouraging.
观察点
这个频道对 $V 的历次判断
StockCharts TV 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。