$V · Verified Investing · 2026-11-02
Visa突破了2020年的平行通道，看起来是相对更安全的标的；量度目标指向约45687，接近450心理关口，可能出现获利了结。它明天需要再涨一天，但说话者预计只会有一波最后的冲刺，之后价格可能回落至通道顶部；盘整比继续上行更有可能。
逐段跳播
Visa涨了，宝洁涨了。很多防御性股票都在涨。所以股市里总有绿色（上涨）的板块可以找。
Uh Visa was up, Proctor and Gamble were up. A lot of defensive plays were up. So there are green uh elements to always find in the stock market.
好，接下来看今天的一个赢家。看看 Visa。这个情形下出现了漂亮的突破。现在看这里，这个更大的时间周期。自2020年低点以来，Visa 一直处在一个平行通道内。现在放大到突破发生的位置。
看看这里发生了什么。Visa 出现了漂亮的突破、回踩和反弹走势。所以 Visa 正在吸引一些关注。它在市场上算是相对更安全的标的。那么，我们怎么在图表上为这波走势寻找一个潜在目标位呢？
有几种方法。我这就给你们展示其中一种。这个杯柄形态可能不是最标准的，但至少在这个练习里我们就用它。你们可以看到我从之前的史上最高点画出的这条水平趋势线。当价格涨到这条线时，我们盘整，刺穿上方，又回落下来，再次盘整，然后拉升走高。
对我来说，这算是一个杯柄形态，虽然不是最标准的。这类形态带有测量方法，可以让你得到一个测量目标。你只需从杯底的低点枢轴画一条趋势线到颈线，然后把这条趋势线拖到价格突破上方的那个点，这就给了我们一个目标位，价格很可能会触及，大约在45687。
这说得通。如果我们继续上冲进入450区间，那是一个心理整数关口，很可能会有一些获利了结的人进场。你也可以从这里看到，从我在21年7月前一个枢轴高点画出的这条上升趋势线来看，我们正处于一个次级潜在突破观察中，这很好地说明了我在 Visa 这个测量目标上标出的可能走向。
现在，我们需要再堆一天来推动明天走高。然后这条近期趋势线就会变成支撑，之后可能出现最后一搏的上涨，油箱里最后一点油，然后价格就会回落到这个平行通道的顶部。毕竟，就像我们在标普500上描述的那样，从上升平行通道中突破后，要维持住是非常非常困难的。
价格回落并继续盘整的可能性，实际上比在图表上继续上涨更大。
All right, next up guys into a winner on the day. Look at Visa. Nice breakout in this scenario. Now look at here this larger time frame. We've had uh Visa contained in a parallel channel ever since the 2020 lows.
Now zoom close into where the breakout occurred. Look what happened here guys. Nice breakout retrace and bounce play up on Visa. So Visa is attracting some attention. It is somewhat of a safer play out there in the markets.
So, how do we go about finding a potential destination for for this very move on the charts? Well, a couple ways. And I'm going to show you one right here. One that may be not the cleanest of cup and handle patterns, but one that at least for this exercise we're going to use.
You can see this horizontal trend line I drew from the previous all-time high on the chart. When price ran up to it, we consolidated, pierced above it, came back down, put in consolidation before ripping to go higher.
For me, that's somewhat it's it's not the cleanest, but it is somewhat of a cup and handle pattern. And these do come with measurements that allow you to have a measured move. All you do is draw a trend line from the low pivot of that cup up to the neckline and then drag that trend line out to the point in which price broke above and this gives us a targeted destination for where price likely will hit the breaks right around 45687.
That makes sense. If we continue to surge up into the 450, that's a psychological whole round number that likely will have some profit takers uh come in. And you can see here too from this other inclining trend line that I've taken back from a previous pivot high in July of 21.
We are in a secondary potential breakout watch illustrating the very uh very much where I highlighted we could go on this measured move with Visa. Now, we need to stack up another day to push higher tomorrow.
And then this uh near-term trend line then becomes support for then what could be a lastditch effort push up, last little gas in the tank before we see price come right back down to the top of this parallel channel.
After all, much like what we described on the S&P 500, breaking out of inclining uh parallels is very, very hard to maintain. the likelihood that they come right back down and continue consolidating actually is greater than continuing up on the chart.